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Effectiveness of transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) as adjunctive treatment for chronic headache in adults with clinically stable systemic lupus erythematosus (SHADE): a randomised double-blind multiarm sham controlled clinical trial

Por: Estiasari · R. · Tiksnadi · A. · Tunjungsari · D. · Maharani · K. · Aninditha · T. · Sofyan · H. R. · Savitri · I. · Pangeran · D. · Jeremia · I. · Widhani · A. · Ariane · A.
Background

Chronic headache is a ‘silent’ neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus symptom with heterogeneous prevalence, potentially reaching 54.4%. It may reduce quality of life by increasing the likelihood of depression and sleep disturbance. While pharmacotherapy remains the first-line treatment, the current management is still challenging and needs other non-invasive modalities. An effective, tolerable and disease-specific treatment modality including transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) is considered to reduce the frequency of chronic headaches, including in SLE. Until recently, there was no standard protocol for tDCS in treating headaches.

Methods and analysis

SHADE is a single-centre randomised double-blind multiarm sham-controlled trial for adults with clinically stable SLE, chronic headaches and without history of traumatic brain injury, brain infection, stroke or brain tumour. Random allocation is conducted to 88 subjects into 3 treatment groups (administration at primary motor, primary sensory and dorsolateral prefrontal cortex) and control group in 1:1:1:1 ratio. The primary endpoint is reduced number of headache days after adjunctive tDCS. The secondary endpoints are reduced headache intensity, increased quality of life, increased sleep quality, decreased depression and reduced analgesics use. The outcome is measured monthly until 3-month postintervention using headache diary, 36-Item Short Form Survey, Chronic Headache Quality of Life Questionnaire, Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index and Mini International Neuropsychiatry Interview version 10 (MINI ICD 10). Intention-to-treat analysis will be performed to determine the best tDCS electrode placement.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval had been obtained from the local Institutional Review Board of Faculty of Medicine Universitas Indonesia. Results will be published through scientific relevant peer-reviewed journals.

Trial registration number

NCT05613582.

Non-pharmacological fatigue interventions for patients with a primary brain tumour: a scoping review protocol

Por: Simms-Moore · R. · Dures · E. · Barua · N. · Cramp · F.
Introduction

Fatigue is the most prevalent symptom for patients with a primary brain tumour (PBT), significantly reducing quality of life and limiting daily activities. Currently, there are limited options for managing cancer-related fatigue (CRF) in patients with a PBT, using non-pharmacological methods. The objective of this scoping review is to identify current and emerging evidence in relation to non-pharmacological CRF interventions for patients with a PBT.

Methods and analysis

Electronic databases OVID and EBSCO platforms: MEDLINE, EMBASE and CINAHL will be searched. In addition, PROSPERO, The Cochrane Library and ISI Web of Science will be searched. Trials registries CENTRAL and the International Clinical Trials Registry platform will also be searched for ongoing research. Inclusion criteria: studies from 2006 onwards, primary research on non-pharmacological interventions in patients with a PBT (>18 years). A Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) flow diagram will be utilised to summarise the screening process and results.

Quantitative data will be analysed descriptively, while content analysis will be used for qualitative data.

Findings will map the existing and emerging evidence on non-pharmacological interventions for CRF in patients with PBTs. This will provide insights into the extent and nature of the evidence in this evolving field, identifying gaps in knowledge and research priorities, and guide further investigations in this area.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval is not required for this scoping review. Findings will be disseminated via relevant peer-reviewed journals, PhD thesis, conference presentations, and shared with relevant charities and health professionals.

Investigating trial design variability in trials of disease-modifying therapies in Parkinsons disease: a scoping review protocol

Por: Zeissler · M.-L. · Boey · T. · Chapman · D. · Rafaloff · G. · Dominey · T. · Raphael · K. G. · Buff · S. · Pai · H. V. · King · E. · Sharpe · P. · OBrien · F. · Carroll · C. B.
Introduction

Parkinson’s disease (PD) is a debilitating neurological disorder for which the identification of disease-modifying interventions represents a major unmet need. Diverse trial designs have attempted to mitigate challenges of population heterogeneity, efficacious symptomatic therapy and lack of outcome measures that are objective and sensitive to change in a disease modification setting. It is not clear whether consensus is emerging regarding trial design choices. Here, we report the protocol of a scoping review that will provide a contemporary update on trial design variability for disease-modifying interventions in PD.

Methods and analysis

The Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome and Study design (PICOS) framework will be used to structure the review, inform study selection and analysis. The databases MEDLINE, Web of Science, Cochrane and the trial registry ClinicalTrials.gov will be systematically searched to identify published studies and registry entries in English. Two independent reviewers will screen study titles, abstracts and full text for eligibility, with disagreements being resolved through discussion or by a third reviewer where necessary. Data on general study information, eligibility criteria, outcome measures, trial design, retention and statistically significant findings will be extracted into a standardised form. Extracted data will be presented in a descriptive analysis. We will report our findings using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Scoping Review extension.

Ethics and dissemination

This work will provide an overview of variation and emerging trends in trial design choices for disease-modifying trials of PD. Due to the nature of this study, there are no ethical or safety considerations. We plan to publish our findings in a peer-reviewed journal.

Differentiating Alzheimers disease from mild cognitive impairment: a quick screening tool based on machine learning

Por: Lü · W. · Zhang · M. · Yu · W. · Kuang · W. · Chen · L. · Zhang · W. · Yu · J. · Lü · Y.
Background

Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disorder characterised by cognitive decline, behavioural and psychological symptoms of dementia (BPSD) and impairment of activities of daily living (ADL). Early differentiation of AD from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is necessary.

Methods

A total of 458 patients newly diagnosed with AD and MCI were included. Eleven batteries were used to evaluate ADL, BPSD and cognitive function (ABC). Machine learning approaches including XGboost, classification and regression tree, Bayes, support vector machines and logical regression were used to build and verify the new tool.

Results

The Alzheimer’s Disease Assessment Scale (ADAS-cog) word recognition task showed the best importance in judging AD and MCI, followed by correct numbers of auditory verbal learning test delay recall and ADAS-cog orientation. We also provided a selected ABC-Scale that covered ADL, BPSD and cognitive function with an estimated completion time of 18 min. The sensitivity was improved in the four models.

Conclusion

The quick screen ABC-Scale covers three dimensions of ADL, BPSD and cognitive function with good efficiency in differentiating AD from MCI.

Predictive factors of poor outcome and mortality among anterior ischaemic stroke patients despite successful recanalisation in China: a secondary analysis of the CAPTURE trial

Por: Li · G. · Sun · Y. · Liu · T. · Yang · P. · Peng · Y. · Chen · W. · Zhang · L. · Chu · J. · Kuai · D. · Wang · Z. · Wu · W. · Xu · Y. · Zhou · B. · Geng · Y. · Yin · C. · Li · J. · Wang · M. · Peng · X. · Xiao · Y. · Li · M. · Zhang · X. · Liu · P. · Wang · N. · Zhang · Y.
Objectives

This work aimed to analyse the risk factors for poor outcomes and mortality among patients with anterior large vessel occlusion (LVO) ischaemic stroke, despite successful recanalisation.

Setting and participants

This study conducted a secondary analysis among patients who underwent successful recanalisation in the CAPTURE trial. The trial took place between March 2018 and September 2020 at 21 sites in China. The CAPTURE trial enrolled patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke aged 18–80 years with LVO in anterior circulation.

Interventions

Thrombectomy was immediately performed using Neurohawk or the Solitaire FR after randomisation in CAPTURE trial. Rescue treatment was available for patients with severe residual stenosis caused by atherosclerosis.

Primary and secondary outcome measures

The primary goal was to predict poor 90-day survival or mortality within 90 days post-thrombectomy. Univariate analysis, using the 2 test or Fisher’s exact test, was conducted for each selected factor. Subsequently, a multivariable analysis was performed on significant factors (p≤0.10) identified through univariate analysis using the backward selection logistic regression approach.

Results

Among the 207 recruited patients, 79 (38.2%) exhibited poor clinical outcomes, and 26 (12.6%) died within 90 days post-thrombectomy. Multivariate analysis revealed that the following factors were significantly associated with poor 90-day survival: age ≥67 years, internal carotid artery (ICA) occlusion (compared with middle cerebral artery (MCA) occlusion), initial National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥17 and final modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction (mTICI) score 2b (compared with mTICI 3). Additionally, the following factors were significantly associated with mortality 90 days post-thrombectomy: initial NIHSS score ≥17, ICA occlusion (compared with MCA occlusion) and recanalisation with more than one pass.

Conclusions

Age, NIHSS score, occlusion site, mTICI score and the number of passes can be independently used to predict poor 90-day survival or mortality within 90 days post-thrombectomy.

Trial registration number

NCT04995757.

Risk prediction and treatment assessment in glioma patients using SEER database: a prospective observational study

Por: Li · X. · Shao · Y. · Wang · Z. · Zhu · J.
Objectives

To use a nomogram to predict the risk of mortality and estimate the impact of current treatment on the prognosis of glioma patients.

Methods

A total of 3798 cases were obtained from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database according to the selection criteria. A nomogram was built on the independent clinical factors screened by the variance inflation factor, univariate analyses and a multivariate Cox regression model. Then, categorising the overall population into high-risk, medium-risk and low-risk groups using nomogram-derived risk scores, to study the impact of treatment on different subgroups’ survival outcomes. Furthermore, based on the postmatch cohorts, the influences of treatment on survival outcomes were assessed by the log-rank test.

Result

Age, race, stage of disease, histological type, histological grade, surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy were identified as the independent prognostic factors. A nomogram with good discrimination and consistency was built. Generally, the patients who underwent surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy were more likely to achieve better prognosis than those who did not, except for those who received radiotherapy in the low-risk cohort and those who underwent surgery in the high-risk cohort. Furthermore, the isocitrate dehydrogenase 1/2 (IDH1/2) wild-type patients with surgery, radiotherapy or chemotherapy tended to have higher survival probabilities, while some inconsistent results were observed in the IDH mutant-type cohort.

Conclusion

Surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy improved the prognosis, while appropriate selection of topical treatment for the low-risk or high-risk patients deserves further consideration. IDH status gene might be a reliable indicator of therapeutic effectiveness.

IC3 protocol: a longitudinal observational study of cognition after stroke using novel digital health technology

Por: Gruia · D.-C. · Trender · W. · Hellyer · P. · Banerjee · S. · Kwan · J. · Zetterberg · H. · Hampshire · A. · Geranmayeh · F.
Introduction

Stroke is a major cause of death and disability worldwide, frequently resulting in persistent cognitive deficits among survivors. These deficits negatively impact recovery and therapy engagement, and their treatment is consistently rated as high priority by stakeholders and clinicians. Although clinical guidelines endorse cognitive screening for poststroke management, there is currently no gold-standard approach for identifying cognitive deficits after stroke, and clinical stroke services lack the capacity for long-term cognitive monitoring and care. Currently, available assessment tools are either not stroke-specific, not in-depth or lack scalability, leading to heterogeneity in patient assessments.

Methods and analysis

To address these challenges, a cost-effective, scalable and comprehensive screening tool is needed to provide a stroke-specific assessment of cognition. The current study presents such a novel digital tool, the Imperial Comprehensive Cognitive Assessment in Cerebrovascular Disease (IC3), designed to detect both domain-general and domain-specific cognitive deficits in patients after stroke with minimal input from a health professional. To ensure its reliability, we will use multiple validation approaches, and aim to recruit a large normative sample of age-matched, gender-matched and education-matched UK-based controls. Moreover, the IC3 assessment will be integrated within a larger prospective observational longitudinal clinical trial, where poststroke cognition will be examined in tandem with brain imaging and blood biomarkers to identify novel multimodal biomarkers of recovery after stroke. This study will enable deeper cognitive phenotyping of patients at a large scale, while identifying those with highest risk of progressive cognitive decline, as well as those with greatest potential for recovery.

Ethics and dissemination

This study has been approved by South West—Frenchay Research Ethics Committee (IRAS 299333) and authorised by the UK’s Health Research Authority. Results from the study will be disseminated at conferences and within peer-reviewed journals.

Trial registration number

NCT05885295. Stage: Pre-results.

Key CT markers for predicting haemorrhagic transformation after ischaemic stroke: a prospective cohort study in China

Por: Wei · C. · Wu · Q. · Liu · J. · Wang · Y. · Liu · M.
Objectives

Limited studies have systematically addressed the CT markers of predicting haemorrhagic transformation (HT). We aimed to (1) investigate the predictive ability of the imaging factors on multimodal CT for HT and (2) identify the key CT markers that can accurately predict HT while maintaining easy and rapid assessment in the early stage of stroke.

Design and setting

This was a prospective cohort study conducted in a tertiary hospital in Southwest China.

Participants

Patients with ischaemic stroke admitted within 24 hours after onset were included.

Outcome measures

The primary outcome was measured as the overall HT. The secondary outcomes were the presence of parenchymal haematoma, symptomatic HT and spontaneous HT.

Results

A total of 763 patients were included. The early hypodensity >1/3 of the middle cerebral artery (MCA) territory, Alberta Stroke Programme Early CT Score≤7, midline shift, hyperdense middle cerebral artery sign (HMCAS), poor collateral circulation, infarct core and penumbra was independently associated with the increased risk of HT (all p 1/3 of the MCA territory, midline shift and HMCAS showed a good predictive performance for HT (area under the curve 0.80, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.84).

Conclusions

Seven imaging factors on multimodal CT were independently associated with HT. The high specificity of midline shift suggests the need to consider it as an imaging indicator when assessing the risk of HT. The early hypodensity >1/3 of the MCA territory, midline shift and HMCAS was identified as the key CT markers for the early prediction of HT. The coexistence of the three key factors might be a valuable index for identifying individuals at high bleeding risk and guiding further treatments.

Early monitoring of intravenous thrombolysis in acute ischaemic stroke using wearable intelligent vital sign devices: protocol for a prospective, multicentre, observational registry cohort study

Por: Liu · M. · Zhao · J. · Li · S. · Han · J. · Ma · G. · Wang · Y. · Chang · H.
Introduction

Continuous monitoring of vital signs during and after ischaemic stroke was recommended by the ‘Guidelines for the Early Management of Patients with Acute Ischaemic Stroke: 2019 Update to the 2018 Guidelines for the Early Management of Acute Ischaemic Stroke’. Vital sign data can be associated with disease conditions and prognosis, while there is limited evidence regarding continuous monitoring of vital signs during and after acute ischaemic stroke. The wearable intelligent vital sign monitoring device is small and lightweight and constantly monitors the health status during daily activities. However, wearable intelligent vital sign monitoring devices have not been widely used in clinical practice so far. Therefore, we will investigate the effectiveness and safety of wearable intelligent vital sign monitoring devices in early in-hospital management and monitoring programmes for patients with acute ischaemic stroke. This paper presents the study protocol.

Methods and design

This study is a prospective, multicentre, observational registry study starting from 20 March 2023 to 20 March 2025. A total of 5740 patients with acute ischaemic stroke from 10 Chinese hospitals are planned to be enrolled. Continuous vital sign data, demographics, medical history, medication history, treatments, laboratory tests, imaging scans and follow-up data will be collected. Follow-up time points were 30 days after discharge, 30 days after intravenous thrombolysis, 3 months after intravenous thrombolysis and 12 months after intravenous thrombolysis (until March 2026). The primary outcome included the evaluation of the modified Rankin Scale at 3 months, as well as the assessment of the rate of symptomatic and asymptomatic intracranial haemorrhage throughout the hospitalisation period.

Ethics and dissemination

This study has been approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University ([2022] 203). We plan to disseminate the research findings through publication in peer-reviewed scientific journals and presentations at international conferences.

Trial registration number

ChiCTR2300069512.

Synergistic effect of Tai Chi and transcranial direct current stimulation on memory function in patients with mild cognitive impairment: study protocol for a 2x2 factorial randomised controlled trial

Por: Wu · M. · Liu · H. · Huang · J. · Liu · W. · Liu · Z. · Xu · Y.
Introduction

Interventions at the mild cognitive impairment (MCI) stage prevent or delay the progression of cognitive decline. In recent years, several studies have shown that physical exercise combined with transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) effectively delays the disease and promotes cognitive recovery in patients with MCI. This study aims to determine whether Tai Chi (TC) combined with tDCS can significantly improve memory in patients with MCI compared with TC or tDCS alone.

Methods and analysis

This clinical trial will use a 2x2 factorial design, enrolling 128 community-dwelling MCI patients, randomly categorised into four groups: TC, tDCS, TC combined with tDCS and the health education group. Outcome measures will include the Chinese Wechsler Memory Scale-Revised, Auditory Verbal Learning Test and Rey-Osterrieth Complex Figure Test. All assessments will be conducted at baseline and 3 months after the intervention. All analyses will use intention-to-treat or per-protocol methods.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethics approval was obtained from the Ethics Committee of the Affiliated Rehabilitation Hospital of the Fujian University of Traditional Chinese Medicine (2022KY-002–01). The results of the study will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and at scientific conferences.

Trial registration number

ChiCTR2200059316.

Family functioning and patients depressive symptoms: comparison in perceived family function between patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke and their primary family caregivers - a cross-sectional study

Por: Li · J. · Kong · X. · Wang · J. · Zhu · H. · Zhong · J. · Cao · Y. · Wu · B.
Objectives

This study aims to compare perceived family functioning between Chinese patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) and family caregivers, and explore the association between family functioning and patients’ depressive symptoms.

Design

This is a cross-sectional study design.

Setting

Stroke centres of two tertiary hospitals in Nanjing, China.

Participants

One hundred and sixty-nine dyads of patients who had an AIS and family caregivers.

Primary and secondary outcome measures

Family functioning of patients who had an AIS and their primary family caregivers was assessed by the Family Assessment Device (FAD, Chinese version). Depressive symptoms of patients who had an AIS was assessed by the Centre for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale. We test the agreement and differences in family functioning. Multivariate linear regression models were used to test the association of differences of family functioning within dyads with patients’ depressive symptoms.

Results

AIS families demonstrated unhealthy family functioning. A total of 115 patients (76.9%) and 124 caregivers (73.4%) had a score of 2 or higher in FAD-general functioning (GF), indicating unhealthy family functioning. The intraclass correlation coefficient of FAD subdomain between patients who had an AIS and caregivers ranged from 0.15 to 0.55, which indicating the agreement of family functioning within dyads was poor to moderate. There was a significant difference between the FAD-GF scores of the patients and those of their caregivers (Z=–2.631, p=0.009), with caregivers reporting poorer general family functioning. Poor family functioning and greater difference of perceived family functioning within dyads were related to higher level of patients’ depressive symptoms (β=5.163, p

Conclusions

These findings indicate that healthcare professionals should assess family functioning in both patients who had a stroke and caregivers. Improvement of family function and decreasing discrepancies within dyads may be helpful for relieving patients’ depressive symptoms.

Protocol for SNOTOB study: radical prostatectomy without prostate biopsy following 18F-PSMA-1007 PET/CT based on a diagnostic model: a single-centre, single-arm, open-label study

Por: Wang · C. · Dong · Q. · Liu · X. · Ni · M. · Xie · Q. · Xiao · J. · Tao · T.
Introduction

Nowadays, invasive prostate biopsy is the standard diagnostic test for patients with suspected prostate cancer (PCa). However, it has some shortcomings such as perioperative complications, economic and psychological burden on patients, and some patients may undergo repeated prostate biopsy. In this study protocol, our aim is to provide a non-invasive diagnostic strategy we call the ‘prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) combined model’ for the diagnosis of PCa. If patients are diagnosed with PCa using PSMA combined model, we want to prove these patients can receive radical prostatectomy directly without prior prostate biopsies.

Methods

The SNOTOB trial adopts a prospective, single-centre, single-arm, open-label study design. The PSMA combined model consists of a diagnostic model based on what we previously reported and 18F-PSMA-1007 positron emission tomography/CT (18F-PSMA-1007 PET/CT) examinations in series. First, patients use the diagnostic model (online address: https://ustcprostatecancerprediction.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/) to calculate the risk probability of clinically significant PCa (csPCa). When the risk probability of csPCa is equal or greater than 0.60, 18F-PSMA-1007 PET/CT will be applied for further diagnosis. If patients are still considered as csPCa after 18F-PSMA-1007 PET/CT examinations, we define this condition as positive results of PSMA combined model. Subsequently, we will recommend these patients to accept radical prostatectomy without prostate biopsy directly. Finally, the diagnostic performance of PSMA combined model will be verified with the pathological results. Totally, 57 patients need to be enrolled in this clinical trial.

Ethics and dissemination

This study was approved by the ethics committee of The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC (No. 2022KY-142). The results of this study will be published in peer-reviewed journals and reported at academic conferences.

Trial registration number

NCT05587192.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with post-stroke epilepsy: protocol for an individual patient data meta-analysis from the International Post-stroke Epilepsy Research Repository (IPSERR)

Por: Mishra · N. K. · Kwan · P. · Tanaka · T. · Sunnerhagen · K. S. · Dawson · J. · Zhao · Y. · Misra · S. · Wang · S. · Sharma · V. K. · Mazumder · R. · Funaro · M. C. · Ihara · M. · Nicolo · J.-P. · Liebeskind · D. S. · Yasuda · C. L. · Cendes · F. · Quinn · T. J. · Ge · Z. · Scalzo · F. · Zela
Introduction

Despite significant advances in managing acute stroke and reducing stroke mortality, preventing complications like post-stroke epilepsy (PSE) has seen limited progress. PSE research has been scattered worldwide with varying methodologies and data reporting. To address this, we established the International Post-stroke Epilepsy Research Consortium (IPSERC) to integrate global PSE research efforts. This protocol outlines an individual patient data meta-analysis (IPD-MA) to determine outcomes in patients with post-stroke seizures (PSS) and develop/validate PSE prediction models, comparing them with existing models. This protocol informs about creating the International Post-stroke Epilepsy Research Repository (IPSERR) to support future collaborative research.

Methods and analysis

We utilised a comprehensive search strategy and searched MEDLINE, Embase, PsycInfo, Cochrane, and Web of Science databases until 30 January 2023. We extracted observational studies of stroke patients aged ≥18 years, presenting early or late PSS with data on patient outcome measures, and conducted the risk of bias assessment. We did not apply any restriction based on the date or language of publication. We will invite these study authors and the IPSERC collaborators to contribute IPD to IPSERR. We will review the IPD lodged within IPSERR to identify patients who developed epileptic seizures and those who did not. We will merge the IPD files of individual data and standardise the variables where possible for consistency. We will conduct an IPD-MA to estimate the prognostic value of clinical characteristics in predicting PSE.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethics approval is not required for this study. The results will be published in peer-reviewed journals. This study will contribute to IPSERR, which will be available to researchers for future PSE research projects. It will also serve as a platform to anchor future clinical trials.

Trial registration number

NCT06108102

Developing and externally validating a machine learning risk prediction model for 30-day mortality after stroke using national stroke registers in the UK and Sweden

Por: Wang · W. · Otieno · J. A. · Eriksson · M. · Wolfe · C. D. · Curcin · V. · Bray · B. D.
Objectives

We aimed to develop and externally validate a generalisable risk prediction model for 30-day stroke mortality suitable for supporting quality improvement analytics in stroke care using large nationwide stroke registers in the UK and Sweden.

Design

Registry-based cohort study.

Setting

Stroke registries including the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme (SSNAP) in England, Wales and Northern Ireland (2013–2019) and the national Swedish stroke register (Riksstroke 2015–2020).

Participants and methods

Data from SSNAP were used for developing and temporally validating the model, and data from Riksstroke were used for external validation. Models were developed with the variables available in both registries using logistic regression (LR), LR with elastic net and interaction terms and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Performances were evaluated with discrimination, calibration and decision curves.

Outcome measures

The primary outcome was all-cause 30-day in-hospital mortality after stroke.

Results

In total, 488 497 patients who had a stroke with 12.4% 30-day in-hospital mortality were used for developing and temporally validating the model in the UK. A total of 128 360 patients who had a stroke with 10.8% 30-day in-hospital mortality and 13.1% all mortality were used for external validation in Sweden. In the SSNAP temporal validation set, the final XGBoost model achieved the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (0.852 (95% CI 0.848 to 0.855)) and was well calibrated. The performances on the external validation in Riksstroke were as good and achieved AUC at 0.861 (95% CI 0.858 to 0.865) for in-hospital mortality. For Riksstroke, the models slightly overestimated the risk for in-hospital mortality, while they were better calibrated at the risk for all mortality.

Conclusion

The risk prediction model was accurate and externally validated using high quality registry data. This is potentially suitable to be deployed as part of quality improvement analytics in stroke care to enable the fair comparison of stroke mortality outcomes across hospitals and health systems across countries

Protocol for a mixed-method study to assess chronic cough in patients with renal cell carcinoma: the prevalence, impact on quality of life, trigger and potential clinical application of chronic cough as an early screening tool in patients with kidney canc

Por: Smith · W. · Loizidou · M. · Mazzone · S. · Mumtaz · F. · Gurusamy · K. · Ranieri · V. · Tran · M. G.
Introduction

Cough as a symptom of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) was first described by Creevy in 1935, and despite one (unpublished) study suggesting it may affect 31% of these patients, as well as cough being discussed in forums for patients with kidney cancer, few clinicians are aware of this association. The cough has been described as unusual in nature, resolving rapidly after treatment with nephrectomy/embolisation but returning if the tumour recurs.

Methods and analysis

A prospective study using a questionnaire will identify the prevalence of cough in patients with suspected or confirmed RCC attending the Specialist Centre for Kidney Cancer (London, UK). A longitudinal study in a representative sample of these patients, using EQ-5D-5L and Leicester Cough Questionnaires, together with the use of semi-structured interviews with patients, will identify the impact of cough in addition to having a diagnosis of suspected or confirmed RCC on quality of life. To investigate cough mechanisms, a pilot study using cough hypersensitivity testing will be performed on patients with RCC, with and without a cough. Clinical samples (urine, blood, phlegm and breath condensate) from patients with RCC, with and without a cough, will be collected and analysed for the presence of substances known to trigger or enhance cough and compared with the results obtained from healthy volunteers.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval has been granted (UK HR REC 22/PR/0791 dated 25/08/2022). Study outputs will be presented and published nationally and internationally at relevant conferences. This study will establish the prevalence of cough in patients with suspected or confirmed kidney cancer and support the education of clinicians to consider this diagnosis in patients with chronic cough (eg, recommending protocols to include both kidneys when investigating respiratory symptoms with chest CT scans). If substances known to trigger or enhance cough are identified and elevated in clinical samples, this research could offer potential targets for treatment for this distressing symptom.

Trial registration number

NIHR CRN portfolio CPMS ID:53 372.

Interventions to treat patients with blood blister-like aneurysms of the internal carotid artery: a protocol for a network meta-analysis

Por: Li · Y. · Yang · X. · Zhou · H. · Li · H. · Zheng · J. · Li · L. · Hui · X.
Introduction

Blood blister-like aneurysm (BBA) is a special type of intracranial aneurysm with relatively low morbidity and high mortality. Various microsurgical techniques and endovascular approaches have been reported, but the optimal management remains controversial. For a better understanding of the treatment of BBA patients, a network meta-analysis that comprehensively compares the effects of different therapies is necessary.

Methods and analysis

This protocol has been reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols. Related studies in the following databases will be searched until November 2022: PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), VIP and Wanfang. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and non-randomised studies comparing at least two different interventions in BBA patients will be included. Quality assessment will be conducted using Cochrane Collaboration’s tool or Newcastle-Ottawa Scale based on their study designs. The primary outcome is the composite of the incidences of intraoperative bleeding, postoperative bleeding and postoperative recurrence. The secondary outcome is an unfavourable functional outcome. Pairwise and network meta-analyses will be conducted using STATA V.14 (StataCorp, College Station, Texas, USA). Mean ranks and the surface under the cumulative ranking curve will be used to evaluate every intervention. Statistical inconsistency assessment, subgroup analysis, sensitivity analysis and publication bias assessment will be performed.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethics approval is not necessary because this study will be based on publications. The results of this study will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD42022383699.

Correlation between right-to-left shunt and sudden sensorineural hearing loss: protocol for a case-control study

Por: Zheng · J. · Zhan · Y. · Cheng · Y. · Liu · C. · Lu · B. · Yang · W. · Hu · J.
Background and purpose

Sudden sensorineural hearing loss (SSNHL) is a neurological and otolaryngological emergency during which rapid diagnosis and early treatment are of great importance. Clinical experience indicates that a considerable number of patients with SSNHL have concurrent right-to-left shunt (RLS). With limited reports, the association between SSNHL and RLS is yet unclear and there is a need for large observational studies to explore their latent relationship.

Methods and analysis

This proposed study is a prospective, observational case–control study. A total of 194 eligible participants matched in age and sex will be divided equally into two groups: 97 patients with SSNHL included in the case group and 97 individuals without SSNHL in the control group. Medical evaluations, including clinical characteristics, laboratory examination, audiological examination and ultrasonography examination, will be performed in all subjects. The primary outcome of the study is the difference in RLS rates between the groups. Differences in patent foramen ovale rates and other measured variables will be further assessed. A conditional logistic regression as a correlation analysis will be used to evaluate the relationship between RLS and SSNHL.

Discussion

This study may provide evidence on the correlation between RLS and SSNHL in order to enrich the aetiology of SSNHL.

Ethics and dissemination

The study protocol has been approved by the Ethics Committee of Peking University Shenzhen Hospital. A written informed consent form will be signed and dated by the participants and the researchers before the study begins. The results will be disseminated in peer-reviewed publications.

Trial registration number

ChiCTR2200064067.

Danish Prostate Cancer Consortium Study 1 (DPCC-1) protocol: Multicentre prospective validation of the urine-based three-microRNA biomarker model uCaP

Por: Fredsoe · J. · Glud · E. · Boesen · L. · Logager · V. · Poulsen · M. H. · Pedersen · B. G. · Borre · M. · Sorensen · K. D.
Introduction

The primary objective of the Danish Prostate Cancer Consortium Study 1 (DPCC-1) is to provide validation for a novel urine-based microRNA biomarker, called uCaP, for a diagnosis of prostate cancer.

Methods and analysis

Eligible participants are biopsy naïve men aged ≥18 years with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels ≥3 ng/mL, who are referred to prostate MRI due to suspicion of PC at one of the following three major urology/uroradiology centers: Aarhus University Hospital, Herlev & Gentofte University Hospital, or Odense University Hospital, where MRI and targeted biopsy are implemented in clinical use. Exclusion criteria include previous diagnosis of urogenital cancer, contraindication to MRI, gender reassignment treatment or PSA level >20 ng/mL. The participants will be asked to donate a urine sample in connection with their MRI. The study is observational, uses a diagnostic accuracy testing setup and will integrate into the current diagnostic pathway.

We will measure the levels of the three microRNAs in the uCaP model (miR-222–3 p, miR-24–3 p and miR-30c-5p) in extracellular vesicle-enriched cell-free urine samples, to assess if uCaP can improve specificity and retain sensitivity for International Society of Urological Pathology Grade Group ≥2 PC, when used as a reflex test to PSA ≥3 ng/mL. We hypothesise that uCaP can improve selection for prostate MRI and reduce the number of unnecessary scans and biopsies.

Ethics and dissemination

This study is approved by the Central Denmark Region Committee on Health Research Ethics (reference number: 1-10-72-85-22). All participants will provide written informed consent. Study results will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented in scientific meetings.

Trial registration number

NCT05767307 at clinicaltrials.gov.

Birth prevalence and risk factors of neural tube defects in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Por: Tesfay · N. · Hailu · G. · Habtetsion · M. · Woldeyohannes · F.
Objective

This study aims to estimate the prevalence of neural tube defects (NTDs) and to identify potential risk factors in the Ethiopian context.

Study design

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

Study participants

A total of 611 064 participants were included in the review obtained from 42 studies.

Methods

PubMed (Medline), Embase and Cochrane Library databases in combination with other potential sources of literature were systematically searched, whereby studies conducted between January 2010 and December 2022 were targeted in the review process. All observational studies were included and heterogeneity between studies was verified using Cochrane Q test statistics and I2 test statistics. Small study effects were checked using Egger’s statistical test at a 5% significance level.

Result

The pooled prevalence of all NTDs per 10 000 births in Ethiopia was 71.48 (95% CI 57.80 to 86.58). The between-study heterogeneity was high (I2= 97.49%, p

Conclusion

The prevalence of NTDs in Ethiopia is seven times as high as in other Western countries where prevention measures are put in place. Heredity, maternal and environmental factors are associated with a high prevalence of NTDs. Mandatory fortification of staple food with folic acid should be taken as a priority intervention to curb the burden of NTDs. To smoothen and overlook the pace of implementation of mass fortification, screening, and monitoring surveillance systems should be in place along with awareness-raising measures.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD42023413490.

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