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Generating actionable insights to support point-of-care suicide risk decision-making in a safety-net healthcare system: a machine learning approach to predicting dynamic risk of intentional self-harm

Por: Sarkar · J. · Ghosh · A. · Liu · S. · Martinez · B. · Teigen · K. · Rush · J. A. · Blackwell · J.-M. · Shaikh · S. · Claassen · C.
Background

Suicide rates have increased over the last couple of decades globally, particularly in the United States and among populations with lower economic status who present at safety-net healthcare systems. Recently, predictive models for suicide risk have shown promise; however, a model for this specific population does not exist.

Objective

To develop a predictive risk model of suicide and intentional self-harm (ISH) for patients presenting at the psychiatric emergency department (ED) of JPS Health Network, a safety net medical and mental healthcare system in Texas.

Methods

The study used structured and unstructured electronic medical record (EMR) data (2015–2019) and local medical examiner data (2015–2020) to create predictors and outcome variables. All psychiatric ED notes during calendar years 2018 and 2019 were reviewed using natural language processing to identify presentations for any level of self-harm and subsequent manual review of identified visits to accurately classify ED presentations for treatment of an act of intentional self-harm meeting study criteria. Data from 15 987 patients were used to develop and validate a machine learning-based predictive model that leverages rolling window methodology to predict risk repeatedly across a patient’s trajectory. Feature engineering played a prominent role in defining new predictors.

Findings

The best model (XGBoost) achieved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.81 for 30-day predictions and demonstrated concentration of ISH and suicide attempt events in high-risk quantiles of risk (65% had events in top 0.1% quantile). The predicted risk can be translated into a propensity of events (80% at the highest predicted risk) to facilitate clinical interpretation.

Conclusions

Machine learning-based models can be used with standard EMRs to identify patients presenting at the psychiatric ED with a high risk of ISH and suicide attempts within the next 30 days.

Clinical implications

Integration of a predictive model can significantly aid clinical decision-making in safety-net psychiatric EDs.

When a fall leads to a hospital emergency department visit: a focus group study on factors influencing the adoption of falls prevention measures

Por: Reeck · N. · Völkel · A. · Mammes · M. · Urbahn-Schiefer · D. · Reineking · B. · Brushinski · E. · Stuckenschneider · T. · Zieschang · T. · Brütt · A. L.
Objectives

Studies have demonstrated the positive impact of falls prevention interventions for high-risk older adults who have experienced a severe fall. However, uptake and adherence rates remain low. The purpose of this study is to assess the capabilities, opportunities and motivations of older adults following a fall with subsequent presentation to the emergency department and direct discharge home in relation to falls prevention measures.

Design and setting

This study, conducted as part of the ‘Sentinel fall presenting to the emergency department’ project at the Carl von Ossietzky University Oldenburg in Germany, involved a participatory research team (PRT). It was a qualitative study based on focus group interviews undertaken between June and October 2022, analysed in accordance with qualitative content analysis following Kuckartz. The Theoretical Domains Framework forms the basis of the deductive category system. PRT members collaborated as co-researchers in conducting and analysing the focus groups.

Participants

12 focus groups were conducted (N=52). The participants were older adults (≥60 years) who had received outpatient care in an emergency department following a fall (N=41) and their relatives (N=11).

Results

Interviewees indicated that both knowledge of available support options and the ability to self-evaluate are important following a fall. Additionally, health circumstances, such as limitations resulting from fall-related consequences, influence the adoption of falls prevention measures. Social influences, as well as environmental context and resources, were also discussed, reflecting participants’ preferences for intervention design, such as having a central point of contact and specific courses on fall training. Moreover, the fall event itself may strengthen the perceived need for preventive measures, whereas a fear of falling can lead to reduced or modified activity levels.

Conclusions

To improve the engagement of older adults in falls prevention interventions following a fall, the establishment of a central point of contact could be considered. Individual tailored interventions, including psychological support as well as specific fall training, are needed.

Trial registration number

DRKS00025949.

Effectiveness of vestibular incision subperiosteal tunnel access (VISTA) technique with or without A-PRF in treatment of multiple adjacent gingival recession defects (MAGRD): A 12 months CBCT study

by Prabhnoor Tuli, Abhay P. Kolte, Rajashri A. Kolte, Vrushali N. Lathiya, Vinisha A. Bajaj, Shahabe Saquib Abullais, Manea M. Alahmari

Objectives

In order to treat MAGRD in the maxillary anterior region, the VISTA approach was evaluated and compared with and without A-PRF.

Materials and methods

A split mouth RCT was designed with 216 MAGRD that were assigned to VISTA alone and VISTA with A-PRF. The complete root coverage (CRC) and gingival thickness (GT) were measured using CBCT at baseline and 12 months post-operatively, while the clinical parameters of probing depth (PD), clinical attachment level (CAL), width of keratinized gingival (WKG), gingival recession depth (GRD), and gingival recession width (GRW) were recorded at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months.

Results

From baseline to 12 months, there was a significant decrease in the mean values of GRD and GRW with an increase in WKG. CBCT scans showed a significant increase in GT mean values. According to these results, the Test group’s CRC was higher (95.92%) than the Control groups (85.02%).

Conclusions

In contrast to the Control group, the Test group demonstrated superior MAGRD resolution in achieving a decrease in GRD and GRW as well as a higher increase in WKG and GT. These findings resulted into a substantially more CRC for the Test group.

Trial registration

Registration no. CTRI/2022/09/045845.Registered on: 26/09/2022

Protocol for a multicentre randomised controlled trial of the Pharmacy Homeless Outreach Engagement Non-medical and Independent Prescriber (PHOENIx) intervention for people facing severe and multiple disadvantages

Por: Lowrie · R. · McPherson · A. · Moir · J. · McGilvery · E. · Vickery · K. · OLoan · J. · Rushworth · G. · Paudyal · V. · Adam · A. · Thomson · E. · Rowe · A. · Ali Akbar · H. · Murphy · J. · Budd · J. · Raeburn · F. · Marshall · T. · Nelson · K. · Garstka · Z. · McKinney · E. · Melville · L.
Introduction

People experiencing severe and multiple disadvantage (SMD: homelessness, substance use and criminal offending) have multiple intersecting unmet health and social care needs and high mortality rates, often due to street-drug overdose. Pilot randomised controlled trials (RCTs) suggest an integrated, holistic, collaborative outreach intervention (Pharmacy Homeless Outreach Engagement Non-medical Independent Prescribing Rx (PHOENIx)) involving generalist-trained pharmacists, nurses or General Practitioners accompanied by staff from third sector homeless organisations may improve outcomes, including reducing overdose.

Methods

Multicentre, parallel group, prospective RCT with parallel economic and process evaluation. Set in six areas of Scotland, UK, 378 adults with SMD will be recruited and randomised (stratified by setting and previous non-fatal overdoses) to PHOENIx intervention in addition to usual care (UC) or UC. Aiming to meet participants weekly for 9–15 months, PHOENIx teams assess and address health and social care needs while referring onwards as necessary, co-ordinating care with wider health and third sector teams. During a person-centred consultation, in the participants’ choice of venue, and taking account of the participant’s priorities, the NHS clinician may prescribe, de-prescribe and treat, for example, wound care, and refer to other health services as necessary. The third sector worker may help with welfare benefit applications, social prescribing or advocacy, for example, securing stable housing. Pairings of clinicians and third sector workers support the same participants. The primary outcome is time to first fatal/non-fatal street-drug overdose at nine months. Secondary endpoints include health-related quality of life, healthcare use and criminal justice encounters. A health economic evaluation will assess cost per quality adjusted life year of PHOENIx relative to standard care. A parallel qualitative process evaluation will explore the perceptions and experiences of PHOENIx, by participants, stakeholders and PHOENIx staff.

Analysis

The primary and other time-to-event secondary outcomes will be analysed by Cox proportional hazards regression.

Ethics and dissemination

IRAS number 345246, approved 23/10/2024 by North of Scotland Research Ethics Service. Results will be shared with participants, third sector homelessness organisations, health and social care partnerships, then peer-reviewed journals and conferences worldwide, from the first quarter of 2027.

Trial registration number

ISRCTN12234059 registered on 20/2/2025 (ISRCTN).

Moral Resilience Is Distinct From General Resilience When Predicting Burnout Among Interprofessional Health Care Workers: Secondary Analysis

ABSTRACT

Introduction

Burnout, a form of moral suffering, has become more commonplace among health care workers in recent years. Measures of general resilience have been widely used to capture improvement in burnout but lack the ability to capture the anguish that comes with burnout from a moral standpoint. The purpose of this analysis was to understand whether moral resilience is uniquely related to burnout beyond a measure of general resilience in a sample of interprofessional health care workers.

Design

Secondary analysis of cross-sectional survey data.

Methods

In total, 702 interprofessional health care workers participated in a cross-sectional survey. Key measures included the Rushton Moral Resilience Scale (RMRS), the Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale (CD-RISC-10), and the Maslach Burnout Inventory-Human Services Survey (MBI-HSS). Hierarchical multiple regression modeling was used to examine the effect of moral resilience (RMRS) in predicting the three dimensions of burnout (MBI-HSS) over and above general resilience (CD-RISC-10).

Results

Moral resilience explained five, six, and 4% of variance for personal accomplishment, depersonalization, and emotional exhaustion, respectively, after accounting for general resilience (CD-RISC-10) and all covariates.

Conclusions

Findings highlight the clear conceptual differences between general and moral resilience and their unique relationship to burnout. Accounting for moral resilience will facilitate an improved multi-level response to moral suffering among health care workers.

Clinical Relevance

Measuring and understanding the differences between general resilience and moral resilience is vital for us to better facilitate the necessary support(s) for health care workers experiencing moral suffering. This will contribute to more sustainable clinical environments, reduced burnout and suffering, and improved patient outcomes.

Lived experiences of recovery following musculoskeletal trauma 6 months following injury in the UK: a qualitative study

Por: Middlebrook · N. · Heneghan · N. R. · Moffatt · M. · Silvester · L. · Falla · D. · Rushton · A. B. · Soundy · A.
Objectives

Traumatic musculoskeletal injuries are common and often life changing. The 6-month period following injury is a critical phase in recovery, during which engagement with rehabilitation professionals can be key to achieving positive outcomes. However, there is limited understanding of which aspects of recovery matter most to patients, how they define a successful recovery and what this looks like when captured during the lived recovery process. The aim of this study was to explore patients’ views and perceptions of recovery following musculoskeletal trauma and to understand what constitutes successful recovery at 6 months postinjury.

Design

Qualitative study using interpretative phenomenological analysis through semi-structured interviews.

Setting

Major trauma centre in the UK.

Participants

13 participants (mean age (SD) 51 (17) years, 69% male) completed the interview. Eligibility criteria: adults >18 years, musculoskeletal injury from a traumatic event and ability to communicate in English. Purposive sampling included age, gender, injury severity and injury type. Interviews were audio recorded and transcribed verbatim.

Results

Three main themes were identified: (1) The recovery journey: participants reflected on their recovery while still processing the accident/injuries. They often drew on other people’s experiences to make sense of their recovery. Recovery was accompanied by a range of negative emotions and personal challenges. (2) The outcome: participants used multiple strategies to work towards recovery, guided by personalised individual goals. A successful recovery was defined as their ‘normal’. (3) Healthcare/clinicians impact recovery: Participants reported confusion and mixed messages from healthcare professionals, leading to uncertainty around injury management. Fragmented care pathway and difficulties accessing healthcare and support were also highlighted.

Conclusions

Recovery at 6 months post injury involves a complex interplay of physical and emotional factors. This period can be particularly challenging to navigate, often with no or limited support. There is a need for a targeted, individualised approach to guide patients through this period of recovery. Participants’ focus was on the outcome following their injury, setting goals for the future, with successful recovery defined as ‘normal’. Further research is needed to support clinicians in developing effective psychologically informed rehabilitation plans.

Protocol for a virtual nominal group technique to develop expert consensus on graded return to sports, exercise and physical activity during intermediate and late-phase rehabilitation following spinal fusion in AIS

Por: Tucker · S. · Heneghan · N. R. · Gardner · A. · Rushton · A. B. · Russell · E. · Soundy · A.
Introduction

Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) is a common paediatric spinal deformity with large curves surgically managed through spinal fusion. However, postoperative rehabilitation remains inconsistent and varies depending on clinician, hospital or location. Our international e-Delphi consensus established a broad range of statements from preoperative care until 12 months postoperatively. However, rehabilitation and graded return to sport between 3 and 12 months remains vague and further consensus work is needed. This study aims to understand the intermediate and late stages of rehabilitation in order to guide return to sport, exercise and physical activity. The primary objective is to explore content of rehabilitation and milestones between 3 and 12 months postoperatively. This understanding of postoperative care will form the basis for future postoperative guidance.

Methods and analysis

This protocol for a nominal group technique (NGT) study is written in accordance with the Accurate Consensus Reporting Document guidelines. A national sample of expert surgeons, physiotherapists and nurses in AIS will be recruited. The NGT will take place virtually and will consist of six stages: stage 1: idea generation; stage 2: round robin idea sharing; stage 3: discussion and clarification; stage 4: anonymous voting; stage 5: results feedback; and stage 6: discussion and final voting. This NGT will be preceded by a scoping review which will be disseminated a priori to inform stage 1 idea generation. The population, concept, context framework will be used to explore postoperative rehabilitation towards sports, exercise or physical activities following any kind of spinal surgery. The study steering group and patient and public involvement representative have been involved from conceptualisation and will continue to be involved until final dissemination.

Ethics and dissemination

The University of Birmingham has provided ethical approval: ERN_4201-Jun2025. Dissemination will take place through conference presentation and peer-reviewed publications.

Pursuing Reduction in Fatigue After COVID-19 via Exercise and Rehabilitation (PREFACER): a protocol for a randomised feasibility trial

Por: Billias · N. · Pouliopoulou · D. V. · Lawson · A. · DAlessandro · V. · Bryant · D. M. · Peters · S. · Rushton · A. B. · Miller · E. · Brunton · L. · McGuire · S. · Nicholson · M. · Birmingham · T. B. · MacDermid · J. C. · Quinn · K. L. · Razak · F. · Goulding · S. · Galiatsatos · P. · Sa
Introduction

Over 777 million COVID-19 infections have occurred globally, with data suggesting that 10%–20% of those infected develop Long COVID. Fatigue is one of the most common and disabling symptoms of Long COVID. We aim to assess the feasibility and safety of a new, remotely delivered, multimodal rehabilitation intervention, paced to prevent post-exertional malaise (PEM), to support the conduct of a future, definitive randomised trial.

Methods and analysis

We will conduct a randomised, two-arm feasibility trial (COVIDEx intervention vs usual care). Sixty participants with Long COVID will be recruited and randomised prior to giving informed consent under a modified Zelen design using 1:1 allocation with random permuted blocks via central randomisation to receive either the COVIDEx intervention or usual care. The 50-minute, remotely delivered, COVIDEx intervention will occur twice weekly for 8 weeks. All participants will wear a non-invasive device throughout their entire study participation, to track heart rate, blood oxygen saturation, steps, sleep and monitor PEM. The primary feasibility objectives will be recruitment rates, intervention fidelity, adherence, acceptability (intervention and design), retention, blinding success and outcome completeness. Secondary objectives will include refined estimates for the standard deviation and correlation between baseline and follow-up measurements of fatigue. Feasibility and clinical outcomes will be collected at baseline, 4, 8, 12 and 24 weeks. Qualitative interviews with participants and physiotherapists will explore intervention acceptability and barriers/facilitators.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval for this study was obtained by the Western University Health Sciences Research Ethics Board (REB# 123902). Dissemination plans include sharing of trial findings at conferences and through open access publications and patient/community channels.

Trial registration number

NCT06156176

Application of implementation science methods and theories for cancer control planning in low-income and middle-income countries: a scoping review

Por: Kataria · I. · Selmouni · F. · Duggan · C. · Sullivan · R. · Purushotham · A. · Sankaranarayanan · R. · Taghavi · K. · Basu · P.
Introduction

Implementation science (IS) is increasingly recognised as vital in cancer control planning and integrating evidence-based interventions across the cancer care continuum. Contextual differences often cause variability in delivering optimised healthcare, which IS approaches could mitigate. While IS improves planning effectiveness, many programme and policy planners remain unaware of its benefits. To address this, we examined IS theories applied to national cancer control plans (NCCPs)/strategies across five domains: stakeholder engagement, situational analysis, capacity assessment, economic evaluation and impact assessment.

Methods

We conducted a scoping review using the Arksey and O’Malley framework to analyse NCCPs and strategies from 16 and 17 countries belonging to low and medium categories of Human Development Index (HDI), focusing on resource-constrained settings. We identified plans through the International Cancer Control Partnership portal, categorised them by WHO region and included only those available in English or French. We extracted data into a Microsoft Excel database and performed thematic analysis across five IS domains. Multiple IS experts, selected purposively based on their familiarity with resource-constrained settings, validated the findings, assessed policy relevance and helped develop a pathway for integrating IS into national cancer control planning. They reviewed structured questions in advance and provided feedback on analyses, practical utility, dissemination and simplifying IS application, which was used to refine the pathway and reach consensus.

Results

While many NCCPs incorporated key IS elements such as stakeholder engagement, situational analysis and impact measurement, these often needed to be more explicit and consistently applied. None of the plans assessed health system capacity to determine readiness for implementing new interventions. Although most plans described stakeholder engagement, it was typically unstructured and incomplete. Four low HDI and nine medium HDI countries included costed plans, generally using an activity-based approach. All plans included impact measures (eg, key performance indicators), but five lacked mechanisms for engaging stakeholders or responsible entities to achieve the targets. These findings informed a proposed pathway to integrate IS principles into cancer control planning.

Conclusion

Integrating IS into national cancer control planning offers a structured framework for achieving equitable and feasible cancer control policies, particularly in resource-constrained settings, by enabling realistic goal setting and benchmarking against regional and global standards.

Patient lumbar discectomy journey (DiscJourn) in the UK: a qualitative study

Por: White · L. · Heneghan · N. R. · Furtado · N. · Baraks · K. · Parvez · Z. · Masson · A. · Rushton · A. B.
Objectives

To gain insight into patients’ views, perceptions, experiences and expectations postlumbar discectomy.

Methods

A qualitative study using interpretative phenomenological analysis (IPA) purposively recruited patients undergoing lumbar discectomy at one UK spinal centre. Purposive criteria included age, sex, ethnicity, symptom duration, work/sick leave, education level and co-existing psychological issues. Semi-structured interviews were conducted using a patient co-constructed topic guide. Interview transcriptions were analysed in accordance with IPA. Strategies enhancing trustworthiness included suspension of judgements and presuppositions, reflexivity, iterative coding process and critique from co-investigators.

Results

Data from 14 participants (eight elective, 6 emergency surgery) informed four themes. The theme ready to move forwards was characterised by high satisfaction with post-operative improvement, positivity and optimism, with readiness to work towards personal goals. The theme post-operative fear and uncertainty was characterised by reflections on pre-operative difficulties fuelling fear about potential recurrence and long-term impacts. The theme of advice and guidance considered important was characterised by the expectation and value of support provided (verbal, written); instances of negative influences from healthcare interactions and access to unregulated patient information sources suggest scope for future improvement. The final theme, heterogeneity in peri-operative needs, was characterised by variation in depth/access to patient information, perceived post-operative support and wide-ranging preoperative activity/fitness.

Conclusions

Surgery offers physical and psychosocial changes which could be better harnessed to positively influence recovery through high quality verbal/written communication. Peri-operative advice and guidance was valued; while this was sufficient for some, personalised rehabilitation should be available owing to the identified heterogeneity.

Nursing Science: This I Believe

Por: Mogaka · Jerusha N.
No abstract available
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