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Disability severity transitions in the community-dwelling Swiss ageing population: secondary analysis of the Swiss version of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) using multistate models

Por: Hodel · J. · Rothacher · Y. · Moreira · B. · Fellinghauer · C. · Pacheco Barzallo · D. · Weisstanner · D. · Ehrmann · C. · Sabariego · C.
Objective

To describe disability severity transitions in the ageing population in Switzerland using an overall functioning score to define four disability severity states (no, mild, moderate and severe) and death, and to investigate the association of multimorbidity and further predictors with these transitions.

Design

Secondary analysis of the Swiss version of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE).

Setting

Switzerland.

Participants

Community-dwelling population aged 50+ with at least two interviews in SHARE (N=3505).

Interventions

Not applicable.

Main outcome measures and methods

Primary outcome measures are the disability severity as assessed by a previously developed overall functioning score, and death status as assessed by the SHARE end-of-life interview. Transition analysis between disability severity states and death was conducted using multistate Markov models. The association between predictor variables and transition intensities was quantified using the proportional hazards assumption. Two distinct operationalisations of multimorbidity (count, burden) were used and analysed according to two separate models (A, B).

Results

The findings for both models were similar: Estimated HRs for transition intensities suggest that being multimorbid or having a higher disease burden score increases the risk of transitioning to higher disability severity states and death for most transitions (HRs between 0.90 and 2.34 for model A compared with not being multimorbid; HRs between 0.95 and 1.46 for model B for a one-point increase in the disease burden score). In addition, most transitions to higher disability severity states and death are more likely for higher age (HRs between 1.00 and 1.14 for model A, and between 1.00 and 1.15 for model B for a 1 year increase in age), and transitions to death are less likely for women, compared with men (HRs between 0.34 and 0.88 for model A, and between 0.38 and 0.71 for model B).

Conclusions

This study is a first attempt to understand disability severity transitions in the older population in Switzerland. Although we believe that such an approach is suitable to inform resource allocation to LTC, rehabilitation and prevention, more detailed information on contextual factors will be important to consider for future research. Moreover, our study contributes to the discussion on how to operationalise multimorbidity in healthy ageing research.

Indigenous Peoples' Experiences in Palliative and End‐of‐Life Care in Canada: A Scoping Review

ABSTRACT

Aim

This scoping review aimed to explore what is known about Indigenous peoples' experiences with palliative and end-of-life care in Canada.

Design

A scoping review.

Data Sources

A systematic search was performed from database inception to May 2022: CINAHL, Academic Search Complete, ERIC, Cochrane, Medline, PsychINFO, Indigenous Collections, Indigenous Peoples of North America and EMBASE. No date limitations were applied. Unpublished and grey literature was searched using the Google search engine. A search update was conducted in April 2024.

Methods

This scoping review was conducted in accordance with the Joanna Briggs Institute methodology for scoping reviews. Titles, abstracts and full text were screened for inclusion by two reviewers. Mapping and thematic analysis were used to analyse, collate and summarise extracted data.

Results

Fifty-three sources were included in the review. While the methods, locations and context vary across the literature, common themes emerged: Disparities in Indigenous representation in palliative and end-of-life care literature, challenges in accessing palliative and end-of-life care, priorities related to palliative and end-of-life care and experiences specific to end of life.

Conclusions

This scoping review revealed several key insights into Indigenous peoples' experiences with palliative and end-of-life care.

Impact

Findings identify the need to enhance cultural safety in palliative and end-of-life care and support community capacity to develop and lead palliative and end-of-life care research and initiatives. Furthermore, findings suggest the need for palliative and end-of-life care initiatives that are Indigenous-led, grounded in Indigenous research methods and distinctions-based.

Reporting Method

We have adhered to relevant EQUATOR guidelines. We followed the PRISMA-Scr in the reporting of this scoping review.

Patient or Public Contributions

No patient or public contribution. This study did not include patient or public involvement in its design, conduct or reporting.

Factors Associated with Retention in Routine Well-Care Visits Among Children of Adolescent Mothers Living With and Without HIV: A Community-Based Study in the Eastern Cape, South Africa

Por: Wittesaele · C. · Toska · E. · Cluver · L. D. · Weiss · H. A. · Doyle · A. M.
Objective

To describe well-care visit attendance among children of adolescent mothers living with HIV and HIV-negative adolescent mothers and identify factors associated with optimal retention in the well-care visit schedule up to 18 months.

Design, setting, participants

Cross-sectional data were used from a community-based observational cohort study of adolescent mothers (10–19 years; n=481) and their children (≥19 months old; n=502) in the Eastern Cape, South Africa.

Outcome

Optimal well-care visit retention up to 18 months was defined as attending visits within 4 weeks of the recommended child age, attending the 18-month visit and missing no more than one scheduled visit.

Results

Attendance was highest at the 6-week visit (88.4%; 95% confidence interval (CI) 85.6% to 91.3%) and lowest at the 18-month visit (58.0%, 95% CI 53.6% to 62.3%). About one-third (36.1%; 95% CI 31.8% to 40.3%) of children were retained to 18 months. Retention was highest among children living in rural vs urban areas (adjusted odds ratio (aOR)=2.01, 95% CI 1.32 to 3.06), those born to mothers whose highest education at pregnancy was secondary versus primary school (aOR=2.73, 95% CI 1.60 to 4.65), born via caesarean section vs vaginal birth (aOR=1.65, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.60) and living closer to the clinic (aOR=0.52, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.96 for long vs short distance). There was weak evidence that retention was lower among children of mothers living with HIV (aOR=0.64, 95% CI 0.40 to 1.02) and higher among food-secure children (aOR=2.18, 95% CI 0.96 to 4.96) and those receiving the child support grant (aOR=1.71, 95% CI 0.92 to 3.16).

Conclusions

Universal interventions are needed for retention beyond the neonatal period for children of adolescent mothers living with HIV and HIV-negative adolescent mothers. Interventions must address structural barriers, especially for adolescent mothers with primary education and in urban areas. Future research should examine the underlying mechanisms linking mode of delivery with well-care retention.

Evaluating AI-based comprehensive clinical decision support for sepsis and ARDS: protocol for a Clinician Turing Test

Por: Angeli Gazola · A. · Bishop · N. S. · Schmid · B. E. · Pirracchio · R. · Valley · T. S. · Bhavani · S. V. · Krutsinger · D. C. · Giannini · H. M. · Lu · Y. · Ungar · L. H. · Meyer · N. J. · Kerlin · M. P. · Weissman · G. E.
Introduction

Few artificial intelligence (AI) clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) are ever evaluated in practice. Although some signal of clinical effectiveness may be needed to justify AI deployment and testing, such data are typically unavailable in early-stage research. This conundrum is especially relevant in the intensive care unit (ICU), where conditions like sepsis and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) require high-stakes decisions. Our group developed the AI ventilator assistant (AVA), a novel AI CDSS for patients with sepsis ARDS receiving invasive mechanical ventilation. But the promising results of predictive performance estimates are not sufficient to assess AVA’s clinical safety and appropriateness prior to future evaluation and deployment. Therefore, we propose a Clinician Turing Test as a novel validation approach to determine whether clinicians can distinguish AVA-generated treatment recommendations from those enacted by real human clinicians. If AVA’s recommendations are consistently indistinguishable from those of real clinicians, thereby ‘passing’ this Turing test, this would provide a strong preclinical signal of safety and appropriateness.

Methods and analysis

This multisite, randomised, electronic, vignette-based Phase 1b study will use a Clinician Turing Test design. We aim to recruit 350 critical care clinicians, including physicians and advanced practice providers from six US hospitals. Participants will review nine clinical vignettes of patients with sepsis and ARDS derived from the Molecular Epidemiology of Severe Sepsis in the ICU cohort and an associated profile of a suggested treatment plan. For each participant–vignette combination, the source of the treatment profile will be randomly assigned (AI-generated by AVA vs the actually enacted treatment from real human clinicians) in a 1:1 allocation. The primary endpoint is the participants’ accuracy in identifying whether a treatment profile was AI-generated or human-generated, assessed using equivalence testing through a mixed-effects logistic regression model with random effects for participants and vignettes. Secondarily, a fitted binary classifier will assess discrimination ability using the C-statistic. Secondary endpoints include clinicians’ perceptions of the safety and appropriateness of the treatment profiles, confidence in distinguishing AI-generated and human-generated recommendations, interest in AI CDSSs for sepsis and ventilator management and the time to complete the survey. This novel Phase 1b design provides preliminary but essential information about an AI CDSS’s clinical appropriateness without the risk or cost of actual deployment, thereby informing decisions about future clinical implementation and evaluation in real clinical environments.

Ethics and dissemination

This protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Pennsylvania (Protocol #858201). Results are expected in 2026 and will be submitted for publication in peer-reviewed journals and presented at scientific conferences.

Trial registration number

NCT07025096.

Do professional experience and qualification influence knowledge about law concerning informed consent and end-of-life decisions? A quantitative online survey among German intensive care physicians

Por: Schumann · C. · Wachter · M. · Eslauer · E. · Angeli · R. · Girrbach · F. · Weiss · M. · Friedrich · S. · Simon · P. · Heller · A. R.
Background

Recently, legal questions have increasingly arisen in intensive care medicine (ICM), especially when it comes to end-of-life decisions. Still, for Europe, there is not much evidence about doctors’ situational legal knowledge and legal education during medical studies and further qualification. The present study was initiated to analyse these hitherto unexplored aspects in Germany.

Design

A quantitative online survey has been performed among German intensive care physicians. The voluntary participants of the anonymous online survey were asked to answer legal questions related to end-of-life policies, informed consent, surrogate decision making or advance directives. We tested pure factual knowledge in five questions. The other five questions tested situational knowledge using case vignettes. Every question could be answered with ‘yes’, ‘no’ or ‘do not know’. Furthermore, the participants were asked to assess their subjective certainty on a Likert scale and to provide information about their professional experience (PE) and qualification.

Setting

All members of the two German professional societies for anaesthesiology who work in ICM were asked to take part in the survey.

Participants

952 completed questionnaires were analysed. 86% of the participants were specialists, and 56% held the additional qualification in ICM. 78% had more than 10 years of general clinical experience, and 62% had more than 5 years of experience in ICM.

Results

On average, the participants answered the five facts–questions in 90.8% correctly. However, only 73.6% of the five case vignettes were answered correctly. Specialists, physicians with a lot of PE or physicians holding the additional qualification in ICM did not perform better than assistants or physicians with little PE.

Conclusion

German intensive care physicians have relevant gaps regarding situational legal knowledge, which are independent of their PE or qualification and persist. This may be due to difficulties in interpretation and implementation of law. Since these knowledge gaps can lead to liability and criminal prosecution, these gaps should be closed through awareness-raising and continuous education.

Side effect profile and comparative tolerability of newer generation antidepressants in the acute treatment of major depressive disorder in children and adolescents: protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis

Por: Türkmen · C. · Sacu · S. · Furukawa · Y. · de Cates · A. N. · Schoevers · R. A. · Kamphuis · J. · Chevance · A. · Weisz · J. R. · Emslie · G. J. · Strawn · J. R. · Hetrick · S. E. · Efthimiou · O. · Salanti · G. · van Dalfsen · J. H. · Furukawa · T. A. · Cipriani · A.
Introduction

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is among the most common psychiatric disorders in children and adolescents. While previous meta-analyses have synthesised evidence on the efficacy and acceptability of newer-generation antidepressants in this population, specific adverse events (AEs) remain poorly characterised. This is of high clinical importance, as AEs are burdensome for patients, can reduce treatment adherence and lead to discontinuation. Here, we present a protocol for a network meta-analysis designed to evaluate the specific AE profile and comparative tolerability of newer-generation antidepressants in children and adolescents with MDD.

Methods and analysis

The planned study will include double-blind randomised controlled trials that compared one active drug with another and/or placebo for the acute treatment of MDD in children and adolescents. The following antidepressants will be considered: agomelatine, alaproclate, bupropion, citalopram, desvenlafaxine, duloxetine, edivoxetine, escitalopram, fluoxetine, fluvoxamine, levomilnacipran, milnacipran, mirtazapine, paroxetine, reboxetine, sertraline, venlafaxine, vilazodone and vortioxetine. The primary outcomes will include the number of patients experiencing at least one AE, specific non-serious AEs, serious AEs (eg, suicidal ideation) and AEs leading to treatment discontinuation. Published and unpublished studies will be retrieved through a systematic search in the following databases: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library (including the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials), Web of Science Core Collection, PsycInfo and regulatory agencies’ registries. Study selection and data extraction will be performed independently by two reviewers. For each outcome, a network meta-analysis will be performed to synthesise all evidence. Consistency will be assessed through local and global methods, and the confidence in the evidence will be evaluated using the Confidence in Network Meta-Analysis web application. All analyses will be conducted in the R software.

Ethics and dissemination

The planned review does not require ethical approval. The findings will be published in a peer-reviewed journal and may be presented at international conferences.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD420251011399.

Development of intersectoral medical care for patients with 'chronic critical illness: protocol for a telemedicine interventional study with a pre-post design in out-of-hospital intensive care facilities (E=MC{superscript 2})

Por: Edel · A. · Jöbges · S. · Weiss · B. · Paul · N. · Lyall · M. L. · Hoffmann · C. · Schüürhuis · S. · Piper · S. K. K. · Konietschke · F. · Berger · E. · Busse · R. · Marschall · U. · Kraufmann · B. · Witzenrath · M. · Eckardt · K.-U. · Spies · C.
Introduction

Patients receiving long-term ventilation (LTV) in out-of-hospital intensive care facilities often suffer from persistent impairments of their cognition, mental health and physical health, limiting their social participation. Chronically ill patients are often unable to express their care preferences. Thus, their medical care often lacks integration of patients’ wishes and values. Telemedicine may be used to collect patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) from these patients to align medical care with their preferences. Early integration of teleconsultation to provide rapid support for specific patient symptoms can reduce economic costs.

Method and analysis

This is a multicentre, prospective, non-blinded, single-arm interventional trial with a pre-post design and follows the Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials statement. 10 out-of-hospital intensive care facilities in Berlin and Brandenburg, Germany, are grouped into three clusters. The study population includes adult patients (≥18 years) receiving LTV and residing in participating care facilities. During the preintervention phase, standard patient care remains unchanged. From the start of the intervention phase, enrolled patients receive telemedicine rounds in addition to standard care. These telemedicine rounds, conducted at least weekly, involve on-site healthcare professionals, patients and their relatives. Data are collected at predefined time points—study months 1,3, 9, 15 and 21—with a target of 57 participants at each time point. The study aims to evaluate whether a structured telemedicine intervention (1) increases the proportion of patients receiving record-documented PROMs in routine care and (2) reduces hospital readmissions. Secondary outcomes include the evaluation of post-intensive care syndrome, healthcare costs and the usability, applicability and perceived benefits of telemedicine. Additionally, qualitative interviews with patients, their relatives and healthcare professionals will explore individual experiences with chronic critical illness, the perceived quality of life of the patients and how team members manage moral distress in caregiving contexts. A mixed-effects logistic regression model will be used to analyse patients’ access to PROMs, while a mixed-effects Poisson regression model will be employed to evaluate hospital readmission rates. The findings may provide valuable insights into how telemedicine can improve patient-centred care for this particular patient group.

Ethics and dissemination

This study protocol received approval from the Ethics Committee of Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Germany (EA2/136/22). The findings will be disseminated through publication in a peer-reviewed scientific journal and presented at international conferences.

Trial registration number

This study was registered in the ‘German Register of Clinical Studies’ (DRKS; DRKS00029326).

Study protocol for healthy hearts: a prospective observational cohort study on dyadic management of HIV and cardiometabolic comorbidities in couples from Malawi

Por: Conroy · A. A. · Bidwell · J. T. · Ruark · A. · Neilands · T. B. · Weiser · S. D. · Butterfield · R. M. · Mulauzi · N. · Mkandawire · J.
Introduction

As the HIV epidemic stabilises in Sub-Saharan Africa with effective antiretroviral therapy, cardiometabolic disorders (CMDs) remain the next major challenge for people living with HIV. Relationship dynamics and spousal support are important for the medical management of single diseases such as HIV, yet little is known about how couples manage the complexity of multiple competing health conditions and their synergistic effects on health. The Healthy Hearts study aimed to develop a conceptual model of dyadic management of HIV and CMDs, inform interventions for couples in Sub-Saharan Africa, and ultimately improve clinical practice and disease management for HIV and CMD comorbidities.

Methods and analysis

This study will enrol 250 couples who have at least one partner living with HIV and CMD (either hypertension or diabetes) for a prospective observational cohort study. Patients will be recruited from HIV and CMD clinics in Zomba and Blantyre, Malawi. Couples will attend four study visits at quarterly intervals over 12 months. Both partners are given interviewer-administered surveys and complete a clinical assessment. Regression techniques will be used to test associations between key constructs in our conceptual model, including communal coping, multimorbidity illness perceptions, relationship quality, psychosocial health, disease management (eg, adherence to lifestyle advice and medications) and disease outcomes (eg, viral suppression and CMD control). Findings will be used to identify elements to target in a couple-based intervention for CMD and HIV.

Ethics and dissemination

This study was approved by the University of California, San Francisco (HRPP (Human Research Protection Program); Protocol number 20–32126), and the National Health Sciences Research Committee of Malawi (Protocol number 21/04/2677). The results will be disseminated at local community meetings and conferences focused on relationships, CMDs and HIV and published in scientific journals.

Visual perception and cognitive functioning in MCI and mild Alzheimers disease: a cross-sectional study protocol from the DEM-VIS study in Germany

Por: Roloff · J. · Stemmler · M. · Graessel · E. · Krakat · L. · Weis · J. · Lehfeld · H. · Jascenoka · J. C. · Daseking · M.
Introduction

Visual perception is a fundamental skill that plays a central role in sensing the external environment. Deficits can lead to impairments in everyday activities. Visual perception is known to be impaired in Alzheimer’s disease (AD). However, the extent to which visual perception is impaired in mild cognitive impairment (MCI), often a prodromal state of AD, has not been sufficiently investigated. This study aims to assess visual perceptual abilities in people with MCI and mild AD compared with healthy controls. It will also investigate whether executive functions, activities of daily living and intelligence are affected in this context, providing new insights into the research of visual perception together with MCI and mild AD.

Methods and analysis

People with MCI, mild AD and healthy controls will be assessed for cognitive deficits using the Syndrom-Kurztest (SKT). Visual perceptual performance will be assessed using the German version of the Developmental Test of Visual Perception-Adolescent and Adult: Second Edition (DTVP-A:2; Frostings Entwicklungstest der visuellen Wahrnehmung – Jugendliche und Erwachsene 2. Auflage). Activities of daily living will be assessed through the Erlangen Test of Activities of Daily Living in Persons with Mild Dementia or Mild Cognitive Impairment (ETAM) and the Bayer Activities of Daily Living Scale (B-ADL). Executive functions will be measured using the German adaptation of the Behaviour Rating Inventory of Executive Function - Adult (BRIEF-A) and intelligence will be assessed using the Matrix Reasoning and Vocabulary Test of the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale - Fourth Edition (WAIS-IV). Data analysis will involve descriptive analyses, linear regression analyses, multivariate analysis of variance, mediation analysis and structural equation modelling.

Ethics and dissemination

This study has received approval from the Ethics Committee of Helmut Schmidt University/University of the Federal Armed Forces Hamburg, Germany (number: 2023_009). Findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and presentations at national and international conferences.

Trial registration number

Registered at OSF https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/PM5AV

Cluster randomised controlled trial of a household-level, group preconception nutrition awareness and norm intervention (SUMADHUR) combined with multiple micronutrient supplements (MMS) for newly married households: a protocol

Por: Diamond-Smith · N. · Puri · M. C. · Borak · L. · Walker · D. · Charlebois · E. · Weiser · S. D. · McDonald · C. M.
Introduction

Micronutrient deficiencies remain prominent drivers of adverse maternal and child health outcomes in Nepal. Gender-based inequalities and norms around women’s status and access to nutrition exacerbate poor nutritional status. Many newly married, preconception women lack adequate nutrition due to delayed engagement with the health system and limited autonomy to prioritise their own health. To address this gap, the Sumadhur trial provides multiple micronutrient supplements (MMS) alongside a household-level behavioural intervention targeting newly married women, their husbands and mothers-in-law.

Methods and analysis

This will be a village-cluster randomised controlled trial across three districts in Nepal, enrolling 700 households, each comprising a triad of newly married woman, husband and mother-in-law. Villages will be randomised to receive either Sumadhur behavioural intervention+MMS (intervention) or standard of care (control). In intervention villages, participants will join weekly group sessions for 5 months, covering maternal and reproductive health, equitable household food allocation and nutrition information, and gender norms and household relationships. Women will receive three bottles of MMS (180 tablets each) over 18 months. Quantitative data collection at baseline, 6, 12 and 18 months will include surveys, venous blood draws (not at 12 months) and anthropometry. Primary outcomes will be anaemia prevalence and micronutrient status (iron, folate, vitamin B12). Secondary outcomes will include reproductive behaviours, birth outcomes and intrahousehold relationship dynamics. A nested qualitative component will employ longitudinal in-depth interviews with triads to understand the mechanisms of behavioural change. Impact will be measured through an intention-to-treat approach using mixed-effects logistic regression analyses.

Ethics and dissemination

The study is approved by institutional review boards in the Ethics Board of the Nepal Health Research Council and the University of California, San Francisco IRB. Results will be disseminated to participating communities, local stakeholders and international audiences through workshops, peer-reviewed publications and policy briefs.

All data will be made publicly available (deidentified) after the publication of the main impact paper.

Trial registration number

NCT06810440.

Economic burden of PTSD in the UK: a systematic review and economic analysis

Por: Montgomery-Marks · P. · Bandyopadhyay · S. · Weisman · C. B. · Bose · T.
Objectives

Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) constitutes a significant anxiety disorder that exerts substantial societal and familial impacts, while concurrently imposing an additional as well as a substantial burden on the healthcare system. Beyond the direct expenses incurred in its treatment, PTSD also gives rise to broader economic costs. The details of these costs in the UK are currently, we believe, unknown.

Design

Our methodology was developed collaboratively with a collaborative advisory group of clinicians, patients, carers and other stakeholders. A comprehensive search strategy was devised to identify articles, including systematic reviews evaluating the economic costs linked to PTSD. We adhered to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence checklist for economic evaluations. After applying our search strategy, the selected included papers were analysed to identify various cost categories contributing to the economic burden of PTSD.

Data sources

PubMed, PsycInfo, PTSDpubs, EMBASE and Google Scholar were searched from January 1990 until January 2023; the search was revised and re-run in September 2024.

Eligibility criteria for selecting studies

The articles must have been published originally in English and include a detailed evaluation of costs related to PTSD.

Data extraction and synthesis

Two independent reviewers used standardised methods to search, screen and code included papers. After applying our search strategy, selected included papers were analysed to identify various cost categories contributing to the economic burden of PTSD. Detailed information on per-contact and per-session costs of healthcare variables was obtained at 2020/2021 prices. Additionally, with the advisory group, we ensured the validity of frequencies and unit cost figures associated with variables linked to PTSD. Further, indirect socio-economic costs arising from PTSD were computed.

Results

By extrapolating from cost components identified, our findings indicate an average annual cost exceeding £14 780 per person. Given current 2020/2021 prevalence rates, this translates to an annual societal burden of £40 billion, a figure that does not encompass the many additional financial burdens stemming from PTSD, such as poor or inconsistent employment. This figure does not include the myriad intangible costs ranging from reduced quality of life to suicidality and countless other issues a person may suffer from as a result of PTSD. Finally, this number does not capture the breadth of impact, as it is difficult to quantify how the families, communities and social systems are adversely affected (both financially and otherwise) by the condition.

Conclusion

The economic and societal burden of PTSD in the UK is far greater than what extant research and common understanding indicate, as there is minimal awareness and information relating to indirect costs or ancillary effects such as discrimination, joblessness, substance use and other comorbidities. Ultimately, we found that there exists, conservatively, an annual excess societal burden of £40 billion, or approximately £14 780 per person. We demonstrated that PTSD is a significantly larger burden on society and individuals than estimated and that we are gravely underquantifying the cost of this increasingly prevalent condition.

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