The elimination of mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of syphilis has been set as a public health priority. However, an instrument to predict the MTCT of syphilis is not available. We aimed to develop and validate an intuitive nomogram to predict the individualised risk of MTCT in pregnant women with syphilis in China.

Retrospective cohort study.

Data was acquired from the National Information System of Prevention of MTCT of Syphilis in Guangdong province between 2011 and 2020.

A total of 13 860 pregnant women with syphilis and their infants were included and randomised 7:3 into the derivation cohort (n=9702) and validation cohort (n=4158).

Congenital syphilis.

Among 13 860 pregnant women with syphilis and their infants included, 1370 infants were diagnosed with congenital syphilis. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and multivariable logistic regression showed that age, ethnicity, registered residence, marital status, number of pregnancies, transmission route, the timing of syphilis diagnosis, stage of syphilis, time from first antenatal care to syphilis diagnosis and toluidine red unheated serum test titre were predictors of MTCT of syphilis. A nomogram was developed based on the predictors, which demonstrated good calibration and discrimination with an area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic of 0.741 (95% CI: 0.728 to 0.755) and 0.731 (95% CI: 0.710 to 0.752) for the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The net benefit of the predictive models was positive, demonstrating a significant potential for clinical decision-making. We have also developed a web calculator based on this prediction model.

Our nomogram exhibited good performance in predicting individualised risk for MTCT of syphilis, which may help guide early and personalised prevention for MTCT of syphilis.

Up to 78% of patients who had a stroke develop post-stroke dysphagia (PSD), a significant consequence. Life-threatening aspiration pneumonia, starvation, and water and electrolyte abnormalities can result. Several meta-analyses have shown that repeated transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) improves swallowing in patients who had a stroke; however, the optimum model is unknown. This study will be the first Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) to determine the best rTMS modalities for swallowing of patients who had a stroke.

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Google Scholar, Cochrane, the Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, the Chongqing VIP Database and WanFang Data will be searched from their creation to 2 September 2023. All randomised controlled trials associated with rTMS for PSD will be included. Only Chinese or English results will be studied. Two researchers will independently review the literature and extract data, then use the Cochrane Collaboration’s Risk of Bias 2.0 tool to assess the included studies’ methodological quality. The primary outcome is swallowing function improvement, whereas secondary outcomes include side effects (eg, paraesthesia, vertigo, seizures) and quality of life. A pairwise meta-analysis and NMA based on a Bayesian framework will be conducted using Stata and R statistical software. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation system will assess outcome indicator evidence quality.

As all data in this study will be taken from the literature, ethical approval is not needed. We will publish our work in peer-reviewed publications and present it at academic conferences.

CRD42023456386.

This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of the Trauma Rating Index in Age, Glasgow Coma Scale, Respiratory rate and Systolic blood pressure score (TRIAGES) in predicting 24-hour in-hospital mortality among patients aged 65 years and older with isolated traumatic brain injury (TBI).

A retrospective, single-centre cohort study.

This study was conducted at a government-run tertiary comprehensive hospital.

This study included 982 patients aged 65 years or older with isolated TBI, who were admitted to the emergency department between 1 January 2020 and 31 December 2021.

None.

24-hour in-hospital mortality was the primary outcome.

Among the 982 patients, 8.75% died within 24 hours of admission. The non-survivors typically had higher TRIAGES and lower GCS scores. Logistic regression showed significant associations of both TRIAGES and GCS with mortality; the adjusted ORs were 1.98 (95% CI 1.74 to 2.25) for TRIAGES and 0.72 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.77) for GCS. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis indicated an area under the ROC curve of 0.86 for GCS and 0.88 for TRIAGES, with a significant difference (p=0.012). However, precision–recall curve (PRC) analysis revealed an area under the PRC of 0.38 for GCS and 0.47 for TRIAGES, without a significant difference (p=0.107).

The TRIAGES system is a promising tool for predicting 24-hour in-hospital mortality in older patients with TBI, demonstrating comparable or slightly superior efficacy to the GCS. Further multicentre studies are recommended for validation.

To estimate the impacts of demographic factors and income disparities on the case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19 in Hong Kong, taking into account the influence of reporting delays (ie, the duration between symptom onset and case confirmation).

Retrospective observational longitudinal study.

A total of 7406 symptomatic patients with residence information reported between 23 January 2020 and 2 October 2021.

The study examined the disparity in COVID-19 deaths associated with the factors such as age (≥65 vs 0–64 years old groups), gender and the income level of districts (low income vs non-low income). The severe reporting delay (>10 days) was considered as the mediator for mediation analysis. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was constructed.

We found that CFR was 3.07% in the low-income region, twofold higher than 1.34% in the other regions. Although the severe reporting delay was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of about 1.9, its mediation effect was only weakly present for age, but not for gender or income level. Hence, high CFR in Hong Kong was largely attributed to the direct effects of the elderly (HR 25.967; 95% CI 14.254 to 47.306) and low income (HR 1.558; 95% CI 1.122 to 2.164).

The disparity in COVID-19 deaths between income regions is not due to reporting delays, but rather to health inequities in Hong Kong. These risks may persist after the discontinuation of test-and-trace measures and extend to other high-threat respiratory pathogens. Urgent actions are required to identify vulnerable groups in low-income regions and understand the underlying causes of health inequities.

To evaluate the knowledge, attitudes and practice (KAP) on ovarian reserve function among women of childbearing age in Chongqing and surrounding regions, China.

Cross-sectional study.

Chongqing and surrounding regions, China.

Women of childbearing age (18–48 years) by convenience sampling.

The demographic characteristics of the respondents and their KAP on ovarian reserve function were collected by administering 38-item questionnaires.

A total of 510 valid questionnaires were collected. The mean knowledge score of all respondents was 7.56±2.03 (possible range: 0–10), the mean attitude score was 29.12±3.98 (possible range: 8–40) and the mean practice score was 23.45±3.58 (possible range: 6–30). The multivariable analysis showed knowledge level (OR 1.175, 95% CI 1.049 to 1.317, p=0.002), attitude level (OR 1.249, 95% CI 1.167 to 1.337, p

The women living in Chongqing and surrounding regions had good knowledge, moderate attitude and good practice towards ovarian reserve function. The knowledge aspect can be further improved by education, which in turn might also improve practice among women of childbearing age.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant cause of perioperative stroke in aortic and mitral valve surgeries. Although several large studies have evaluated surgical left atrial appendage occlusion (SLAAO) during cardiac surgeries, their retrospective nature and an uncontrolled broad spectrum of conditions leave them subject to potential residual confounding. This trial aims to test the hypothesis that opportunistic SLAAO can prevent long-term stroke after cardiac surgery in patients receiving mitral or aortic valve surgeries without a history of AF and with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2 or higher.

This study is a single-blinded, multicentre, randomised controlled trial. A total of 2118 patients planning to undergo aortic or mitral surgery without AF will be recruited and equally randomised into intervention or control arms at a 1:1 ratio. In the intervention arm, suture excision of the left atrial appendage (LAA) will be performed during the operation in addition to the original surgery plan. In the control arm, the operation will be performed according to the surgery plan without any intervention on the LAA. The primary outcome is a composite of newly occurred ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack and cardiovascular mortality during a 1-year follow-up. Secondary outcomes include postoperative AF, cardiovascular mortality, newly occurred ischaemic stroke, newly occurred transient ischaemic attack, newly occurred haemorrhagic stroke, bleeding events, and AF-associated health utilisation.

The Ethics Committee in Fuwai Hospital approved this study. Patients will give informed consent to the study. An information leaflet will be provided to participating patients to introduce the SLAAO procedure. Patients and the public will not get involved in developing the research hypothesis, study design or any other part of this protocol. We plan to publish several papers in peer-reviewed journals about the current research and these will include a description of the study’s development and the main findings of the study.

ChiCTR2100042238.

This study aimed to examine the differential magnitude of associations between specific dimensions of patient experience and overall patient satisfaction.

A descriptive, cross-sectional design was used to collect patient experience and overall satisfaction data.

Participants were recruited at one tertiary general hospital, one tertiary specialised hospital, and one secondary hospital in Shanghai, China. These three institutes represent the main kinds of hospitals in the Chinese healthcare system.

1532 inpatients were recruited, and 1469 were included. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) having received inpatient service for at least 2 days; (2) able to understand the questions in the questionnaires; and (3) aged>18 years old. Patients who had impaired cognitive function and completed the questionnaires with missing information were excluded.

Patient experience was measured using the Inpatient Experience with Nursing Care Scale, which is widely used in the China. The overall patient satisfaction was measured with 10-point response option.

The LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression results showed that as the penalty factor () = 0.0162, age, marriage status, financial status, length of hospital stay and numbers of previous of hospitalisation and six dimensions of nursing care remained in the model. As increases to 0.1862, only four patient experience variables, potentially the most influential on patient satisfaction, remained in the model. Patient experience with emotional support was the most significant dimension explaining patient satisfaction (β=0.1564), the second most significant dimension was admission and discharge management (β=0.1562), and the third was monitoring and coping with the progress of diseases (β=0.0613).

Patient experience with emotional support, admission and discharge management, monitoring and coping with the progress of diseases, and information and education are the most significant dimensions explaining patient satisfaction.

There are limited therapeutic options to efficiently treat patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. This trial aims to explore the efficacy and safety of human umbilical cord-derived mesenchymal stem cells (UC-MSCs) for the treatment of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.

This study is an open-label, dose-escalation, one-armed phase I trial. A single injection of UC-MSCs will be administered in a predetermined dose in each cohort (5.0x10⁷, 1.0x10⁸, 1.5x10⁸ or 2.0x10⁸ cells) according to the ‘3+3’ rule. The primary evaluation measures will include the incidence of adverse events and the change in the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score from baseline to the 28th day. Secondary evaluation measures will be evaluated at baseline and at each follow-up point. These measures will include the change in the MELD score from baseline to each follow-up point, the incidence of each complication associated with decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplant-free survival and the incidence of liver failure, among other relevant measures. All patients will be followed up for 24 months. This study will evaluate whether the use of UC-MSCs to treat patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis is safe and tolerable.

The study has been approved by the Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital (Approval#: 2018-107-D-4). Once conducted, the results from the study will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

NCT05227846.

Exercise rehabilitation is crucial for promoting the rehabilitation of limb motor function in people who had stroke and is related to a better prognosis. However, the exercise adherence of patients is low, which affects the effect of exercise rehabilitation. This study aims to evaluate the effects of the Innovative Telerehabilitation Enhanced Care Programme (ITECP) on exercise adherence in young and middle-aged patients with haemorrhagic stroke. We hypothesise that patients trained with ITECP will show greater improvement in exercise adherence and muscle strength than patients with routine exercise rehabilitation.

This is a randomised controlled, evaluator-blinded multicentre superiority trial to be implemented at four tertiary grade-A hospitals in eastern, western, northern and central China. Patients in the experimental group will receive ITECP while those in the control group will receive routine exercise rehabilitation. Both groups will receive routine care. The primary outcome measure is exercise adherence, while secondary outcome measures include muscle strength, activities of daily living, exercise self-efficacy, quality of life, rate of exercise-related adverse events and readmission. These will be measured at baseline, predischarge as well as 1 and 3 months postdischarge.

The study has obtained ethical approval from the Medical Ethics Committee of Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School (2021-381-02). The results will be shared with young and middle-aged patients with haemorrhagic stroke, policy-makers, the general public, as well as academia.

Chinese Clinical Trials Registry (ChiCTR 2200066498).

Postoperative delirium is a prominent and clinically important complication in older adults after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery, resulting in prolonged hospital stay, long-term cognitive impairment and increased morbidity and mortality. Many studies have shown that cerebral desaturation is associated with increased risk of postoperative delirium during on-pump cardiac surgery. However, few studies have focused on the effect of optimising regional cerebral oxygen saturation (rSO₂) on postoperative delirium during off-pump CABG. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether intraoperative anaesthetic management based on percutaneous cerebral oximetry monitoring decreases the incidence of postoperative delirium in older adults undergoing off-pump CABG.

This single-centre randomised controlled trial will randomly assign 200 patients to the intervention group or the control group at a ratio of 1:1. The patients in the intervention group will be observed by percutaneous cerebral oximetry monitoring that the desaturation (a drop of more than 20% from baseline value or rSO₂ less than 55% for >60 consecutive seconds at either probe) during the procedure triggered the intervention strategies, while the cerebral oximetry data of the control group will be hidden from the clinical team and patients will be anaesthetised by the usual anaesthetic management. The primary outcome will be the incidence of postoperative delirium during the first 7 days after off-pump CABG. Delirium will be comprehensively evaluated by the combination of the Richmond Agitation Sedation Scale and the Confusion Assessment Method for the intensive care unit. The secondary outcomes will include the incidence of postoperative acute kidney injury and myocardial infarction during the hospital stay, as well as the intensive care unit and hospital length of stay.

This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Fuwai Hospital (No 2022–1824). Written informed consent will be obtained from each patient or their legal representatives before enrolment. The results of this trial will be published in an international peer-reviewed scientific journal.

ChiCTR2300068537.

Although the herpes zoster vaccine has been available in mainland China since June 2020, residents’ knowledge of herpes zoster and the herpes zoster vaccine is poor, and vaccination rates are low, especially among the elderly, who are at high risk for herpes zoster. This study assessed willingness to be vaccinated against herpes zoster and factors associated with vaccination among urban residents in China.

A mixed-methods study was conducted in community health centres from August 2022 to September 2022. We used convenience sampling to select 2864 residents from 9 Chinese cities for the quantitative study and 67 adults for the qualitative study. A structured questionnaire was used for the quantitative study, and data were collected through face-to-face interviews. Multinomial logistic regression was used to analyse factors associated with willingness to vaccinate. Qualitative data were analysed using thematic analysis of barriers to herpes zoster vaccination.

A total of 2864 eligible respondents were included in the study. Of these, 42.67% intended to receive the herpes zoster vaccine, 21.44% refused and 35.89% were hesitant. The results of the quantitative and qualitative analyses showed that the factors associated with respondents’ willingness to be vaccinated against herpes zoster included: personal characteristics such as gender, age and income; knowledge and attitudes about herpes zoster and the vaccine; vaccine characteristics such as efficacy, safety and price; and other factors such as pain tolerance and accessibility to vaccination.

The low willingness to vaccinate, especially among the elderly, is mainly related to their poor knowledge and negative attitude towards the infection and vaccination. Therefore, health education about herpes zoster, immunisation promotion, and improvement of accessibility and affordability would be valuable in China.

Evidence linking dietary potassium and serum potassium is virtually scarce and inconclusive. The aim of the study was to investigate the association between serum potassium level and potassium intake measured by 24-hour urine. We also explored whether the association differed across health conditions.

A cross-sectional study conducted from September 2017 to March 2018.

48 residential elderly care facilities in northern China.

Participants aged 55 years and older and with both serum potassium and 24-hour urinary potassium measured were classified as having a low (apparently healthy), moderate (with ≥1 health condition but normal renal function) and high (with ≥1 health condition and abnormal renal function) risk of hyperkalaemia.

Potassium intake is measured by 24-hour urinary potassium.

Serum potassium in association with potassium intake after adjustment for age, sex, region and accounting for the cluster effect.

Of 962 eligible participants (mean age 69.1 years, 86.8% men), 17.3% were at low risk, 48.4% at moderate risk and 34.3% at high risk of hyperkalaemia. Serum potassium was weakly associated with 24-hour urinary potassium among individuals with moderate (adjusted β=0.0040/L; p=0.017) and high (adjusted β=0.0078/L; p=0.003) but not low (adjusted β=0.0018/L; p=0.311) risk of hyperkalaemia.

A weak association between dietary potassium intake and serum potassium level existed only among individuals with impaired renal function or other health conditions but not among apparently healthy individuals. The results imply that increasing dietary potassium intake may slightly increase the risk of hyperkalaemia but may also decrease the risk of hypokalaemia in unhealthy individuals, both of which have important health concerns.

NCT03290716; Post-results.