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Machine Learning–Based Approach to Predict Last-Minute Cancellation of Pediatric Day Surgeries

imageThe last-minute cancellation of surgeries profoundly affects patients and their families. This research aimed to forecast these cancellations using EMR data and meteorological conditions at the time of the appointment, using a machine learning approach. We retrospectively gathered medical data from 13 440 pediatric patients slated for surgery from 2018 to 2021. Following data preprocessing, we utilized random forests, logistic regression, linear support vector machines, gradient boosting trees, and extreme gradient boosting trees to predict these abrupt cancellations. The efficacy of these models was assessed through performance metrics. The analysis revealed that key factors influencing last-minute cancellations included the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, average wind speed, average rainfall, preanesthetic assessments, and patient age. The extreme gradient boosting algorithm outperformed other models in predicting cancellations, boasting an area under the curve value of 0.923 and an accuracy of 0.841. This algorithm yielded superior sensitivity (0.840), precision (0.837), and F1 score (0.838) relative to the other models. These insights underscore the potential of machine learning, informed by EMRs and meteorological data, in forecasting last-minute surgical cancellations. The extreme gradient boosting algorithm holds promise for clinical deployment to curtail healthcare expenses and avert adverse patient-family experiences.

Shared decision-making for non-operative management versus operative management of hip fractures in selected frail older adults with a limited life expectancy: a protocol for a nationwide implementation study

Por: Zeelenberg · M. L. · Oosterwijk · P. C. · Willems · H. C. · Gosens · T. · Den Hartog · D. · Joosse · P. · Loggers · S. A. I. · Nijdam · T. M. · Pel-Littel · R. E. · Polinder · S. · Schuijt · H. J. · Wijnen · H. H. · Van der Velde · D. · Van Lieshout · E. M. M. · Verhofstad · M. H. J
Background and purpose

Recent research has highlighted non-operative management (NOM) as a viable alternative for frail older adults with hip fractures in the final phase of life. This study aims to guide Dutch physicians and hospitals nationwide in a standardised implementation of shared decision-making regarding surgery or NOM in selected frail older adults with a hip fracture.

Methods and analysis

The patient population for implementation includes frail older adults aged ≥70 years with an acute proximal femoral fracture, nursing home care or a similar level of care elsewhere and at least one additional criterion (ie, malnutrition, severe mobility impairment or ASA≥4). The 2-year implementation study will be conducted in four phases. In phases 1 and 2, barriers and facilitators for implementation will be identified and an implementation protocol, educational materials and patient information will be developed. Phase 3 will involve an implementation pilot in 14 hospitals across the Netherlands. The protocol and educational material will be improved based on healthcare provider and patient experiences gathered through interviews. Phase 4 will focus on upscaling to nationwide implementation and the effect of the implementation on NOM rate will be measured using data from the Dutch Hip Fracture Audit.

Ethics and dissemination

The study was exempted by the local Medical Research Ethics Committee (MEC-2023-0270, 10 May 2023) and Medical Ethics Committee United (W23.083, 26 April 2023). The study’s results will be submitted to an open access international peer-reviewed journal. Its protocols, tools and results will be presented at several national and international academic conferences of relevant orthogeriatric (scientific) associations.

Trial registration number

NCT06079905 .

Analysis of risk factors affecting wound healing and wound infection after meningioma resection

Abstract

To analyse the risk factors affecting wound healing and infection after spinal meningioma resection surgery. The surgical incision healing of 137 patients who underwent spinal meningioma resection at our hospital from January 2021 to January 2024 was analysed. The data collected included physical examination findings, haematological and biochemical measurements, and various scales assessed upon admission and after surgery. These data were then analysed. The surgical wound healing, infection and postoperative complications were statistically analysed. Multiple logistic regression analysis method was used to conduct risk factor analysis on corresponding indicators; the odds ratio and p value of 95% confidence interval were calculated. Factors such as age and smoking history were significantly negatively correlated with wound healing after meningioma resection (odds ratio < 1.000, p < 0.05), while preoperative albumin and platelet count were significantly positively correlated with wound healing (odds ratio > 1.000, p < 0.05). Age, WHO Meningioma Grading, preoperative albumin and preoperative platelet were significantly negatively correlated with wound infection after meningioma resection (odds ratio < 1.000, p < 0.05). The history of virus infection and history of neurological disorders were significantly positively correlated with wound infection (odds ratio > 1.000, p < 0.05). The influence of each factor is different. Age, smoking history, WHO Meningioma Grading, preoperative albumin, preoperative platelets, history of virus infection and history of neurological disorders had the greatest influence on wound healing and infection after meningioma resection.

Exploring the impact of OSA on short-term survival in patients with AECOPD admitted to the ICU

by Liangfeng Liu, Yang Chen, Guanwen He, Bingbang Lin, Zhongshou Zhu, Rifu Wei, Yangbin Xu

Background

Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is characterized by a sudden worsening of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) symptoms, which significantly contributes to hospitalizations related to COPD symptoms. Previous research has mainly focused on the correlation between obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and COPD. However, there were few studies that investigated the short-term mortality rate of AECOPD patients with or without OSA.

Methods

Data for our research was taken from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Database IV. A total of 1332 patients were included in the study based on well-defined criteria for selection and exclusion. By analyzing the characteristics of AECOPD patients, we compared those with and without OSA.

Results

There were 1122 AECOPD patients without OSA, 210 patients with OSA. In comparison to those without OSA, patients with OSA exhibited lower 30-day and 90-day ICU mortality with unadjusted HR, as well as lower hospital mortality with unadjusted OR. However, after adjustments were made, there were no significant associations observed between OSA and short-term mortality, including 30-day ICU mortality, 90-day ICU mortality, ICU mortality, and hospital mortality in AECOPD patients. Subgroup analysis revealed that OSA may act as a risk factor for AECOPD patients with a BMI lower than 30 kg/m2.

Conclusions

There is no impact on short-term survival in AECOPD patients with OSA under intensive care unit (ICU) management and nursing.

Evaluating the effectiveness of echocardiographic guidance in diminishing postoperative wound complications for left atrial appendage closure: A clinical retrospective study

Abstract

Echocardiographic guidance in left atrial appendage (LAA) closure procedures is increasingly recognized for its potential to enhance patient outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF). This retrospective study assesses its impact on hospital stay duration, readmission rates and surgical site wound complications in 200 AF patients. Divided equally into an echocardiographically guided group (Group E) and a non-guided group (Group N), the analysis focused on detailed patient data encompassing hospital stay, 30-day readmission and wound complications. Findings revealed that Group E experienced a significantly shorter average hospital stay of 3.5 days, compared with 6.5 days in Group N, along with a lower 30-day readmission rate (5% vs. 18% in Group N). Furthermore, Group E showed a considerable reduction in surgical site wound complications, such as infections and hematomas. The study concludes that echocardiographic guidance in LAA closure procedures markedly improves postoperative wound outcomes, underscoring its potential as a standard practice in cardiac surgeries for AF patients. This approach not only optimizes patient safety and postoperative recovery but also enhances healthcare resource utilization.

Prognostic and clinicopathological significance of the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score in patients with lymphoma: a meta-analysis

Por: Li · L. · Shou · L.
Objectives

The role of the Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) scores in predicting the prognosis of lymphoma cases has been extensively explored, with no consistent results. The present meta-analysis focused on accurately evaluating whether CONUT could be used to predict the prognosis of lymphoma cases and its clinicopathological value.

Design

The present meta-analysis was reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The prognostic significance of CONUT to overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in lymphoma was estimated by calculating pooled HRs with 95% CIs. The relationship between CONUT and clinicopathological characteristics was measured based on pooled ORs with 95% CIs.

Data sources

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were comprehensively searched from inception through 24 March 2023.

Statistical methods

Either a random-effects model or a fixed-effects model was selected depending on the level of heterogeneity among the included studies.

Results

This meta-analysis enrolled seven articles, containing 2060 patients with lymphoma. According to the pooled analysis, a higher CONUT score significantly predicted poor OS (HR=1.94, 95% CI 1.46 to 2.57, p

Conclusions

According to our results, higher CONUT scores were significantly associated with poor OS and PFS in lymphoma.

Scoping review of HIV-related intersectional stigma among sexual and gender minorities in sub-Saharan Africa

Por: Dada · D. · Abu-Baare · G. R. · Turner · D. · Mashoud · I. W. · Owusu-Dampare · F. · Apreku · A. · Ni · Z. · Djiadeu · P. · Aidoo-Frimpong · G. · Zigah · E. Y. · Nyhan · K. · Nyblade · L. · Nelson · L. E.
Objectives

Sexual and gender minority (SGM) populations in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are disproportionately impacted by HIV and often face multiple HIV-related stigmas. Addressing these stigmas could reduce SGM HIV vulnerability but little is known about how the stigmas operate and intersect. Intersectional stigma offers a lens for understanding the experiences of stigmatised populations and refers to the synergistic negative health effects of various systems of oppression on individuals with multiple stigmatised identities, behaviours or conditions. This review aims to (1) assess how often and in what ways an intersectional lens is applied in HIV-related stigma research on SGM populations in SSA and (2) understand how intersectional stigma impacts HIV risk in these populations.

Design

Scoping review following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis extension for Scoping Reviews.

Data sources

Public health and regional databases were searched in 2020 and 2022.

Eligibility criteria

Articles in French and English on HIV-related stigma and HIV outcomes among men who have sex with men, women who have sex with women and/or transgender individuals in SSA.

Data extraction and synthesis

Articles were screened and extracted twice and categorised by use of an intersectional approach. Study designs and stigma types were described quantitatively and findings on intersectional stigma were thematically analysed.

Results

Of 173 articles on HIV-related stigma among SGM in SSA included in this review, 21 articles (12%) applied an intersectional lens. The most common intersectional stigmas investigated were HIV and same-sex attraction/behaviour stigma and HIV, same-sex attraction/behaviour and gender non-conformity stigma. Intersectional stigma drivers, facilitators and manifestations were identified across individual, interpersonal, institutional and societal socioecological levels. Intersectional stigma impacts HIV vulnerability by reducing HIV prevention and treatment service uptake, worsening mental health and increasing exposure to HIV risk factors.

Conclusion

Intersectional approaches are gaining traction in stigma research among SGM in SSA. Future research should prioritise quantitative and mixed methods investigations, diverse populations and intervention evaluation.

Analysis of surgical site infection and tumour‐specific survival rate in patients with renal cell carcinoma after laparoscopic radical nephrectomy

Abstract

Surgical site infections (SSIs) may pose a significant risk to patients undergoing surgery. This study aims to explore the risk factors for SSIs in patients undergoing laparoscopic radical nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma and the impact of infection on tumour-specific survival (CSS) after nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma. To explore the risk factors for SSIs in patients undergoing laparoscopic radical nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma and the impact of infection on tumour-specific survival (CSS) after nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 400 patients in our hospital from June 2021 to June 2023. This study divided patients into two groups: those with SSI and those without SSI. Collect general data and information related to the operating room. Clearly defined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Select surgical time, laminar mobile operating room use, and intraoperative hypothermia as observation indicators. Perform statistical analysis using SPSS 25.0 software, including univariate, multivariate, and survival analyses of wound-infected and uninfected patients. Out of 400 patients, 328 had no SSIs, 166 died during follow-up, 72 had SSIs, and 30 died during follow-up. There was no statistically significant difference (p > 0.05) in comparing primary data between individuals without SSIs and those with SSIs. There were statistically significant differences (p < 0.05) in surgical time, nonlaminar flow operating room use, and intraoperative hypothermia. The postoperative survival time of SSI patients with a tumour diameter of 7.0–9.9 cm was significantly longer than that of SSI patients, and the difference was statistically significant (p < 0.05). The occurrence of severe infection in patients with other tumour diameters did not affect postoperative survival, and the difference was not statistically significant (p > 0.05). After multiple factor analysis, it was found that severe infection can prolong the postoperative survival of patients with tumour diameter exceeding 7 cm (HR = 0.749, p < 0.05). This study identified nonlaminar flow operating rooms, prolonged surgical time, and intraoperative hypothermia as significant risk factors for SSIs. After nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma patients with a tumour diameter of 7–9.9 μ m, perioperative infection can prolong their survival. However, it has no significant effect on patients with other tumour diameters.

Development and evaluation of a theory-based health promotion programme aimed at improving retirees psychological well-being and quality of life: a protocol for a mixed-method study

Por: Shoushtari Moghaddam · E. · Kaveh · M. H. · Karimi · M. · Tarrahi · M. J. · Soltani · E.
Introduction

The changes that retirees experience during their retirement years will challenge their ability to cope, potentially endangering their health and quality of life. This study aims to design and evaluate a theory-based health promotion programme to improve retirees’ psychological well-being and quality of life.

Methods and analysis

This mixed-method, non-blinded study uses an embedded design. The purposive sampling method will be employed for the qualitative aspect of the study. Qualitative data will be collected at baseline, focusing on retirement adjustment, through semistructured, in-depth individual interviews and focus group discussions. The data will be analysed using Graneheim and Lundman’s qualitative content analysis method. A pre–post test controlled group design will be conducted for the quantitative part of the study. A sample size of 80 is estimated for both the intervention and control groups. Systematic sampling and the block randomisation method will be employed for sampling. The training programme in the intervention group will consist of eight 60 min sessions and environmental support, implemented after assessing the research environment and obtaining approval from the relevant officials. A brief training programme unrelated to the intervention group’s focus (home safety) will be implemented for the control group. Quantitative measures will be collected in both groups at baseline, 3 months and 6 months after the intervention. These measures will include self-administered questionnaires covering demographic variables, retirement adjustment, retirement resources, quality of life, coping methods, spiritual well-being and psychological well-being. Analytical statistics will be performed using the generalised linear model, with p values≤0.05 considered significant.

Ethics and dissemination

This protocol has received approval from the ethics committee of Shiraz University of Medical Sciences. The research findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed manuscripts, presentation in abstracts at National and International Scientific Conferences, and data sharing among researchers.

Trial registration number

IRCT20180516039690N2.

Relationship between emotional intelligence and job stressors of psychiatric nurses: A multi‐centre cross‐sectional study

Abstract

Aim

To investigate the impact of socio-demographic factors and job stressors on the emotional intelligence of psychiatric nurses.

Background

Emotional intelligence plays a crucial role in enabling nurses to effectively manage their own emotions, comprehend the emotions of others and assist individuals in dealing with diverse stressors. Nevertheless, a comprehensive conceptualization of the relationship between job stressors and emotional intelligence remains lacking.

Design

This study employs a multi-centre cross-sectional design.

Methods

A multi-centre cross-sectional survey involving 1083 registered nurses from 11 psychiatric hospitals across four provinces in China was conducted. Non-probability sampling was utilised. The survey encompassed assessments of nurse job stressors, emotional intelligence using a scale and socio-demographic characteristics using a questionnaire. A multiple linear regression model was applied to identify significant variables associated with emotional intelligence based on demographic attributes and various nurse job stressors. The study adhered to the STROBE checklist.

Results

The findings revealed a noteworthy negative correlation between nurse job stressors and emotional intelligence. Socio-demographic factors and job stressors of certain nurses were able to predict emotional intelligence and its dimensions among psychiatric nurses, with percentages of 44.50%, 40.10%, 36.40%, 36.60% and 34.60%.

Conclusion

Providing emotional intelligence training for psychiatric nurses could enhance their capacity to cope effectively with workplace stress, particularly among younger nurses who engage in limited physical activities.

Relevance to Clinical Practice

The analysis of the relationship between emotional intelligence and nurse job stressors could facilitate early detection and intervention by managers based on pertinent factors. This, in turn, could elevate the emotional intelligence level of psychiatric nurses.

No Patient or Public Contribution

This study did not recruit participants, so details of participants were not be involved.

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