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Comparison of laboratory-based and non-laboratory-based WHO and GLOBORISK CVD risk scores: A cross-sectional analysis of the APCAPS cohort

by Hemant Mahajan, Poppy Alice Carson Mallinson, Judith Lieber, Santhi Bhogadi, Santosh Kumar Banjara, Anoop Shah, Vipin Gupta, Gagandeep Kaur Walia, Bharati Kulkarni, Sanjay Kinra

Background and Aim

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) represent a growing public-health challenge in India, where nearly one in four deaths is CVD-related. Accurate risk stratification underpins targeted prevention, yet laboratory-dependent tools are often impractical in resource-limited settings. The World Health Organization (WHO) and GLOBORISK initiatives both offer non-laboratory-based 10-year CVD risk algorithms alongside their laboratory-based counterparts. We aimed to compare laboratory- and non-laboratory-based WHO and GLOBORISK CVD risk scores, assess their concordance, and examine relationships with sub-clinical atherosclerosis in a rural Indian cohort.

Materials and Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 2,465 adults (1,184 men, 1,281 women) aged 40−74 years from the third wave (2010−12) of the Andhra Pradesh Children and Parents Study (APCAPS). Participants with prior CVD were excluded. Ten-year CVD risk was calculated using sex-specific WHO (South Asia) and India-calibrated GLOBORISK models, both laboratory-based (age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, total cholesterol) and non-laboratory-based (age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, BMI) algorithms. Categorical agreement was quantified via percentage agreement and quadratic weighted kappa (κ); continuous agreement by Bland-Altman analysis. We also evaluated linear associations between each risk score (categorical and continuous) and three sub-clinical atherosclerosis markers: carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), pulse-wave velocity (PWV), and augmentation index (AIx), through sex-stratified multi-level linear regression with random intercept at the household level, adjusting for multiple testing (p  Results

Median WHO-CVD-risk was 6.0% (IQR 4% − 9%) in men and 3.0% (2% − 4%) in women for both lab and non-lab models; median GLOBORISK-CVD-risk was 12.0% (9% − 16%) for lab-model vs. 15.0% (10% − 16%) for non-lab-model in men and 5.0% (3% − 9%) for lab-model vs. 5.0% (3% − 9%) for non-lab-model in women. Categorical agreement was substantial to almost perfect: WHO κ = 0.82 (overall), GLOBORISK κ = 0.72. Bland-Altman analyses demonstrated mean differences Conclusion

Non-laboratory-based WHO and GLOBORISK CVD risk scores exhibit high overall agreement with laboratory-based models and correlate strongly with subclinical atherosclerosis in rural India. However, modest underestimation in high-risk subgroups (diabetics, hypercholesterolemia) warrants cautious interpretation. These findings support the feasibility of non-lab risk assessment in resource-constrained settings, while underscoring the need for prospective validation against hard cardiovascular outcomes prior to large-scale implementation.

Organising maternal and newborn care in high-income countries: a scoping review of organisational elements and their association with outcomes

Por: Liebregts · J. · Goodarzi · B. · Valentijn · P. · Downe · S. · Erwich · J. J. · Burchell · G. · Batenburg · R. · de Jonge · A. · Verhoeven · C. J. M. · VOICE Study Group · Burzynska · de Graaf · van Heemstra · Rippen · Koster · van der Voort · Kaiser · Fransen · Berks · Haga · Vermo
Introduction

Countries face challenges in maternal and newborn care (MNC) regarding costs, workforce and sustainability. Organising integrated care is increasingly seen as a way to address these challenges. The evidence on the optimal organisation of integrated MNC in order to improve outcomes is limited.

Objectives

(1) To study associations between organisational elements of integrated care and maternal and neonatal health outcomes, experiences of women and professionals, healthcare costs and care processes and (2) to examine how the different dimensions of integrated care, as defined by the Rainbow Model of Integrated Care, are reflected in the literature addressing these organisational elements.

Results

We included 288 papers and identified 23 organisational elements, grouped into 6 categories: personal continuity of care; interventions to improve interdisciplinary collaboration and coordination; care by a midwife; alternative payment models (non-fee-for-service); place of birth outside the obstetric unit and woman-centred care. Personal continuity, care by a midwife and births outside obstetric units were most consistently associated with improved maternal and newborn outcomes, positive experiences for women and professionals and potential cost savings, particularly where well-coordinated multidisciplinary care was established. Positive professional experiences of collaboration depended on clear roles, mutual trust and respectful interdisciplinary behaviour. Evidence on collaboration interventions and alternative payment models was inconclusive. Most studies emphasised clinical and professional aspects rather than organisational integration, with implementation barriers linked to prevailing biomedical system orientations.

Conclusions

Although the literature provides substantial evidence of organisational elements that contribute to improved outcomes, a significant gap remains in understanding how to overcome the barriers in sustainable implementation of these elements within healthcare systems. Interpreted through a systems and transition science lens, these findings suggest that strengthening integrated maternity care requires system-level changes aligning with WHO policy directions towards midwifery models of person-centred care.

Long-term effects of psychotherapy in children and adolescents: protocol for database development and a systematic review in the LaKiJu META project

Por: Schäfer · S. K. · Burmeister · C. F. · Lottermoser · E. · Schäfer · C. G. · Cascant Ortolano · L. · Stoffers-Winterling · J. · Flasinksi · T. · Equit · M. · Schneider · S. · Lieb · K. · de Haan · A.
Introduction

Approximately one in every six children and adolescents is affected by mental disorders, which impose significant costs on patients, their families and societies. Psychotherapy is the first-line treatment for many of these disorders, and systematic reviews of post-intervention effects show small to moderate favourable outcomes compared with control groups. However, the long-term effects of psychotherapy remain less well understood.

Methods and analysis

The LaKiJu META project aims to address this gap by developing an open-access database, which will subsequently be used for data synthesis. This database will be established through literature searches in nine databases for (cluster) randomised controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the long-term effects (≥6 months) of any type of psychotherapy in school-aged children and adolescents (ages 6;00 to 17;11 years) with mental disorders. Outcomes will be prioritised based on their relevance to patients, caregivers and clinicians and will encompass a broad range of measures, including symptom changes, response rates and reliable changes. Syntheses will use multilevel meta-analyses to compare intervention and control groups at follow-up assessments, across both transdiagnostic and disorder-specific symptom outcomes. In secondary analyses, we will examine changes within intervention groups over time. Moderator analyses will focus on the effects of study-, intervention- and patient-level characteristics.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval for public involvement was obtained from the ethics committee of the Faculty of Psychology of the Ruhr University Bochum. For dissemination, we will employ tailored strategies to reach researchers, clinicians, patients and their caregivers, with all groups involved in the development of dissemination plans.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD420251003208 (preregistered on 10 March 2025).

Swedish Prescribed Drugs and Health Cohort (SPREDH): cohort profile update

Por: Xie · S.-H. · Santoni · G. · Gottlieb-Vedi · E. · Mattsson · F. · Lagergren · J.
Purpose

The Swedish Prescribed Drugs and Health Cohort (SPREDH) is a population-based cohort based on merged data from four nationwide health data registers in Sweden. SPREDH provides opportunities to investigate how the use of various medications influences cancer risk, cancer prognosis and many other outcomes. The cohort was recently updated to include a longer follow-up, more patients and additional drugs.

Participants

SPREDH currently includes 9 454 340 users of selected medications, who have been followed up for a total of 138 015 003 person-years from 1 July 2005 to 31 December 2024, that is, for up to 191/2 years.

Findings to date

SPREDH includes data from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register, Patient Register, Cancer Register and Cause of Death Register. Available data include participants’ characteristics, use of medication, healthcare utilisation, diagnoses (including detailed information on cancers), surgical procedures and dates and causes of death. The original version of SPREDH has been used for 10 original studies published in scientific journals, primarily in the fields of gastroenterology and oncology. The updated version of SPREDH includes 1 382 698 participants who have developed a cancer during the follow-up.

Future plans

The newly updated and extended version of SPREDH enables studies with a wide range of study designs and hypotheses, especially pharmacoepidemiological studies evaluating how the use of certain medications affects the risk and prognosis of cancer and other diseases. It also allows for comparative research across classes of medications, as well as investigations of drug utilisation, safety and effectiveness.

“Sandwiched Individuals” Exploring the Push and Pull Factors Influencing Retention Among Mid‐Career Nurses: An Integrative Review

ABSTRACT

Aim

To systematically analyse international empirical literature and establish a comprehensive understanding of the push and pull factors influencing retention and turnover among mid-career nurses.

Design

An integrative review.

Data Sources

PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, EMBASE (Ovid), and CINAHL (EBSCO) were searched for studies published between January 2001 and November 2024.

Methods

An integrative literature review was conducted following the five-step process outlined by Whittemore and Knafl. Articles were screened by title, abstract, and full text based on predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. The quality of eligible studies was assessed using the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT). Data were extracted and synthesised narratively, and the findings were presented according to the socio-ecological framework.

Results

A total of 1930 studies were identified, with 14 included for analysis: 10 qualitative, 3 quantitative, and 1 mixed-methods study. Guided by the socio-ecological framework, four themes and 10 subthemes emerged: (1) Intrapersonal (professional knowledge/skills, health issues, work-family balance); (2) Interpersonal (professional collaborative relationships, supervisor support); (3) Organisational (organisational characteristics, work characteristics, career development); and (4) Societal (salary/benefits, Social/governmental recognition).

Conclusion

This review reveals the heterogeneity of research on this topic and confirms previous findings. It identifies certain push-and-pull factors common to nurses across all stages of their careers. However, mid-career nurses face unique challenges, including more complex healthcare demands, declining health status, growing family caregiving responsibilities, unclear organisational roles, underutilisation of professional skills, career stagnation, and limitations on salary growth. These findings highlight the need for tailored retention strategies for mid-career nurses.

Implications for the Profession

A “one-size-fits-all” retention strategy does not meet the needs of all nurses. To improve nurse retention rates, it is essential to address the shifting demands and priorities that arise as nurses reassess and transition through different career stages. For mid-career nurses, acknowledging and valuing their expertise and capabilities, providing sufficient resources, and fostering a supportive work environment that promotes career development may be effective strategies for retaining these experienced professionals.

Reporting Method

Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.

Patient or Public Contribution

No Patient or Public Contribution.

Prediction of treatment outcome in patients receiving internet-delivered cognitive behavioural therapy for depressive and anxiety symptoms: a machine learning analysis of data from a healthcare-embedded longitudinal study

Por: Roemmel · N. · Bahmane · S. · Hadjistavropoulos · H. D. · Nugent · M. · Lieb · R. · Meinlschmidt · G.
Background

Digital therapeutics (DTx) show promise in bridging mental healthcare gaps. However, treatment selection often relies on availability and trial-and-error, prolonging suffering and increasing costs. Personalised prediction models could help identify individuals benefiting most from specific DTx.

Objective

The aim of this secondary analysis was to establish a machine learning-based prediction model for positive treatment outcomes in patients with depressive or anxiety symptoms after 8 weeks of internet-delivered cognitive behavioural therapy (iCBT).

Methods

We analysed a large real-world dataset of patients from the online therapy unit iCBT programme in Saskatchewan, Canada (2013–2021). Clinically significant changes in depressive symptoms or anxiety were measured using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and the Generalised Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7). We trained six prediction models using sociodemographic and mental health-related factors at baseline, compared model performances and calculated Shapley values for feature importance.

Findings

Data from 4175 patients using 34 features for prediction, identified by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, showed the Gradient Boosted Model (gbm) and logistic regression (log) performed best, with balanced accuracies of 0.76, 95% CI (0.70 to 0.83) and 0.70, 95% CI (0.63 to 0.77). Shapley values indicated GAD-7 scores at baseline as the most important predictor of clinically significant improvement, along with mental health history and sociodemographic variables.

Conclusions

The gbm and log models achieved comparable accuracy in predicting clinically significant improvement after iCBT, supporting the use of simpler, interpretable methods in clinical practice.

Clinical implications

These findings could help improve mental health treatment selection, iCBT assignment, enhance effectiveness and optimise treatment for patients.

Trial registration number

NCT05758285.

Positive mental states and their relation to psychosocial resources: protocol of a systematic review focusing on cultural moderators

Por: Supke · M. · Schäfer · S. K. · Meier · J. · Hamada · H. T. · Yamada · M. · Wessa · M. · Lieb · K.
Introduction

Fostering well-being and positive mental states are major aims of many strategies for the promotion of public mental health. Such strategies become increasingly important since many people worldwide suffer from psychological distress and mental disorders, resulting in substantial individual and societal costs. Within the last years, there is a shift from strategies solely focusing on the reduction of mental distress to those also aiming at the promotion of positive mental states. Correlates, that is, psychosocial resources, of positive mental states may represent a starting point for those interventions. To date, a comprehensive systematic review on those correlates is still missing as well as knowledge on culture-related differences.

Methods and analysis

A systematic review and meta-analysis on the longitudinal link between psychosocial resources (eg, income, optimism, social support and community coherence) and hedonic and eudaimonic positive mental states (eg, life satisfaction, happiness and forward-looking attitude) will be conducted. Using Hofstede’s dimensions of culture and global metrics of Education, Industrialisation, Richness and Democratic values (EIRDness), we will examine culture-related moderators of these associations. The systematic review will be conducted following standards of the Cochrane Collaboration and will be reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyse guidelines. Literature searches for primary studies will be carried out across four databases (APA PsycNet, Embase, Scopus and the Web of Science Core Collection), including all publications up to 27 January 2025. Screening at the level of titles and abstracts will be performed with the help of artificial intelligence software (ASReview). Study quality will be assessed using an adapted version of the Newcastle Ottawa Scale. We will employ multilevel meta-analyses of correlation coefficients, with cultural variables being examined as moderators.

Ethics and dissemination

This systematic review does not require ethics approval, as it solely uses previously published data. Materials and data used for this review will be shared via open repositories (https://osf.io/2xkhs/). Results will be published in an international, peer-reviewed journal and presented at conferences including plain language summaries.

OSF registration DOI

https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/K7X52

Behavioral and Functional Adaptation to Chronic Stress in Older Adults

imageBackground The wear and tear from chronic stress exposure has been linked to premature aging through allostatic load; however, it is unclear how chronic stress exposure affects physical functioning and physical activity in older adults. Objectives The study aims were to examine the behavioral and functional adaptation to chronic stress in older adults and its mediational pathways. Methods Data from the Health and Retirement Study 2016 and 2020 (N = 3075, mean age 66 years) were analyzed. Chronic and perceived stress exposure was quantified using Troxel’s Chronic Stressors Scale and Cohen’s Perceived Stress Scale. Physical activity was quantified using self-reported questionnaires, including light, moderate, and vigorous physical activity. Physical functioning was operated as a latent construct with four perceived physical limitations (i.e., difficulty in movement, hand strength, shortness of breath, and balance). The cross-sectional data were analyzed using latent regression analysis. The longitudinal data were analyzed using serial mediation based on MacKinnon’s bias-corrected bootstrap confidence intervals. Results Cross-sectionally, psychological stress, as a latent construct indicated by stress exposure and stress perception, explained more variances in perceived physical limitation than physical activity. Longitudinally, perceived stress and physical activity mediated the relationship between chronic stress exposure and perceived physical limitation with significant indirect effects. Furthermore, perceived physical limitation suppressed the effect of chronic stress exposure on physical activity levels. The effects of mediation and suppression remained significant after the adjustment for age, gender, years of education, race, number of comorbidities, working status, and marital status. Discussion The promotion of physical activity and physical functioning in older adults might not achieve the optimal outcome if the program design overlooks the target population’s chronic stress process and functional limitations.
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