The COVID-19 pandemic threatened global HIV Test and Treat Efforts. We assessed whether it affected (1) the number of antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiations and (2) the proportion of timely ART initiations in people living with HIV (PLWH) globally.

Quasi-experimental, regression discontinuity design using routinely collected data from HIV clinics.

360 HIV care clinics across primary and secondary levels of care, participating in the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS consortium, in 31 countries in Asia, Africa and the Americas.

177 391 PLWH (≥18 years old) who initiated ART 2 years before and 1 year after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in their country.

The primary outcome was the number of ART initiations per week; the secondary outcome was the proportion of timely ART initiations (ie, ART initiated within 7 days of enrolment). We assessed changes in these outcomes in the 52 weeks after compared to the 104 weeks before the pandemic onset, defined using each country’s peak Oxford Stringency Index score between January and June 2020.

Among 177 391 newly enrolled PLWH, 129 743 initiated during the pre-pandemic and 47 648 post-pandemic onset. 72.5% of ART initiations were timely pre-pandemic whereas 82.3% were during the pandemic. Absolute number of ART initiations remained stable during the pandemic period in 25 of 31 countries but decreased significantly in six countries: India (–5.0 p, 95% CI –9.2 to –0.7), Rwanda (–10.0 p, –18.6 to –1.4), Malawi (–33.4 p, –54.1 to –12.3), South Africa (–130.8 p, –188.6 to –73.1), Zimbabwe (–12.9 p, –20.0 to –5.8) and Togo (–19.6 p, –39.1 to –0.1). The proportion of timely initiations was stable in all countries except in Kenya (+4.2 pp, 95% CI +0.3 to +8.1) and in Mozambique (+2.7 pp, +0.5 to +4.9), where it increased significantly.

A deeper understanding of the factors that contributed to sustaining ART initiations, particularly in settings with stringent public health and social measures, is needed. These insights should inform preparedness strategies, resource allocation and policy development to ensure continuity of HIV services during future health emergencies, in line with World Health Organisation recommendations.

Research has increasingly underscored the impact of factors such as socioeconomic status, education, healthcare access, housing and environmental conditions in shaping population health outcomes. These factors, collectively called social determinants of health (SDOH), provide crucial context for understanding drivers of health outcomes. In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the study of SDOH is critical due to the region’s unique sociocultural and economic conditions. Understanding how SDOH interacts with health systems and capturing SDOH in data is crucial for informing modelling efforts and policies improving population health more effectively. This scoping review aims to map the types of data used to capture SDOH in research conducted in SSA, to identify research gaps and to summarise key findings.

This scoping review will follow the Arksey and O’Malley methodological framework, enhanced by Levac et al, providing best practices for identifying, selecting and analysing eligible studies. Key steps include (1) identifying the research question, (2) identifying relevant studies, (3) selecting eligible studies via a locally curated search, (4) extracting information, (5) collating, summarising and reporting results and (6) consultation with stakeholders.

Ethical approval is not required, as this review relies solely on published literature. Findings will be disseminated across academic channels (journals, conferences) and through targeted stakeholder engagement efforts, such as policy briefs and public health workshops, to reach policymakers, healthcare practitioners and community health organisations. This dissemination strategy aims to inform health policy and drive programme development in SSA.