To characterise long-term trajectory of recovery in individuals with long covid.
Prospective cohort.
Single-centre, specialist post-COVID service (London, UK).
Individuals aged ≥18 years with long covid (hospitalised and non-hospitalised) from April 2020 to March 2024.
Routine, prospectively collected data on symptoms, quality of life (including Fatigue Assessment Scale (FAS) and EuroQol 5 Dimensions (EQ-5D), return to work status and healthcare utilisation (investigations, outpatient and emergency attendances). The primary outcome was recovery by self-reported >75% of ‘best health’ (EQ-5D Visual Analogue Scale) and was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression models over 4 years. Linked National Health Service England registry data provided secondary care healthcare utilisation and expenditure.
We included 3590 individuals (63.3% female, 73.5% non-hospitalised, median age 50.0 years, 71.9% with ≥2 doses of COVID-19 vaccination), who were followed up for a median of 136 (0–346) days since first assessment and 502 (251–825) days since symptom onset. At first assessment, 33.2% of employed individuals were unable to work. Dominant symptoms were fatigue (78.7%), breathlessness (68.1%) and brain fog (53.5%). 33.4% of individuals recovered to >75% of best health prior to clinic discharge (recovery occurred median 202 (94–468) days from symptom onset). Vaccinated individuals were more likely to recover faster (pre: HR 2.93 (2.00–4.28) and post: HR 1.34 (1.05–1.71) COVID-19 infection), whereas recovery hazard was inversely associated with FAS (HR 0.37 (0.33–0.42)), myalgia (HR 0.59 (0.45–0.76)) and dysautonomic symptoms (HR 0.46 (0.34–0.62)). There was high secondary care healthcare utilisation (both emergency and outpatient care). Annual inpatient and outpatient expenditure was significantly lower in hospitalised individuals while under the service. When compared with the prereferral period, emergency department attendances were reduced in non-hospitalised patients with long covid, but outpatient costs increased.
In the largest long covid cohort from a single specialist post-COVID service to date, only one-third of individuals under follow-up achieved satisfactory recovery. Fatigue severity and COVID-19 vaccination at presentation, even after initial COVID-19 infection, was associated with long covid recovery. Ongoing service provision for this and other post-viral conditions is necessary to support care, progress treatment options and provide capacity for future pandemic preparedness. Research and clinical services should emphasise these factors as the strongest predictors of non-recovery.
The Clinical Frailty Scale is an ordinal scale from 1 (very fit) to 9 (terminally ill) commonly used to assess frailty in older patients. It is simple for clinicians to apply and can help identify patients who may benefit from discussions around end-of-life care. We externally validated the Scale to assess its performance for predicting 90-day mortality in a cohort of admitted older patients who had screened positive for being at risk of nearing the end of life.
We used data from a randomised controlled trial assessing a tailored feedback loop for reducing non-beneficial care. Our study included patients aged 75 and above admitted between May 2020 and June 2021 from 3 Australian hospitals. We assessed whether the Scale could be used in a frail population to identify patients who were at risk of short-term mortality. Predictive performance was assessed using the c-statistic, smoothed calibration curves and decision curves. Models were tested for coefficient stability.
Our dataset contained 4639 patients and 956 deaths within 90 days. The Clinical Frailty Scale had a c-statistic of 0.62 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.64) or 0.63 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.65) by adding age and transforming the Scale using a cubic spline. Risks were underestimated without a non-linear transformation as scores of 8 and 9 had a higher risk that diverged from a linear association. The net benefit of using the tool was greatest between 5 and 8 on the Scale.
The utility of the Clinical Frailty Scale may be as a flag to encourage clinicians to become more comfortable with discussing ageing and death, rather than as a highly discriminating model to classify patients as high risk or low risk. Statistical uncertainty over mortality should not be a barrier to initiating end-of-life care discussions with frail older patients.
To explore experience and prevalence of vulval lichen sclerosus (VLS) diagnosis in general practice using an anonymous patient survey.
Quantitative descriptive cross-sectional survey informed by previous qualitative interviews and developed with patient representatives, sent to people recorded in general practice as having a VLS diagnosis.
General practices (n=24) in the UK (West Midlands).
n=177 respondents.
One in five respondents reported that they had been misdiagnosed, and about a third reported that it was a struggle to get treatment. Only one third said they received regular check-ups, recommended in clinical guidelines. One-fifth reported they were not being treated with topical corticosteroids, the main first-line treatment for VLS. Less than one in 10 were members of a support group, and around four in 10 felt they had to hide their condition and did not speak to anyone else about it. Survey respondents prioritised improving education and awareness among healthcare professionals (HCPs).
General practitioners and other primary care HCPs have a key role in recognising, diagnosing and managing VLS. Improving education and awareness among HCPs was a key priority for this patient group. Patients should be made aware of the need for ongoing treatment and yearly check-ups to prevent or manage disease progression. VLS is a highly stigmatised condition, and appointments with HCPs may be the only opportunity for people to talk about their experience.
To describe the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) at the time of diagnosis of adult-onset type 1 (T1D) and type 2 (T2D) diabetes, in a recent cohort and compare to a previous cohort from the same region. Further, to explore factors influencing the prevalence of pre-existing CVD, including age, sex, body mass index (BMI) and C-peptide; in the later cohort also heart failure, hyperlipidaemia, tobacco use and physical activity.
Two prospective cross-sectional cohort studies compared.
All primary health care centres and hospitals in Kalmar and Kronoberg counties in Southeastern Sweden.
Adults with newly diagnosed T1D or T2D (classified by combination of islet antibodies and C-peptide) in 1998–2001 and 2016–2017.
Prevalence of hypertension and CVD at diagnosis of diabetes, and associations with beta-cell function, in two cohorts collected 15 years apart. Further, to explore factors influencing the prevalence of hypertension and CVD, and level of C-peptide.
In patients with newly diagnosed T2D, mean age-at-onset had decreased (66±14.1 years vs 63±12.6, p≤0.001) and mean BMI had increased (29.0±5.4 vs 31.4±5.8 kg/m2, p≤0.001). Prevalence of pre-existing myocardial infarction had decreased in both T1D (18% vs 7%, p=0.03) and T2D (25% vs 11%, p≤0.001). Pre-existing hypertension had increased in both T1D (23% vs 40%, p=0.01) and T2D (44% vs 61%, p≤0.001). C-peptide level was lower and was associated with several cardiovascular conditions in newly diagnosed T2D in 2016–2017 (p=0.048 p≤0.001).
Patients with newly diagnosed T2D were younger, with higher BMI, compared with 15 years earlier, a challenge for diabetes care. Prevalence of pre-existing myocardial infarction had decreased notably, in line with, but still less than in the general population; while pre-existing hypertension had increased, in both diabetes types. C-peptide was associated with several cardiovascular conditions in newly diagnosed T2D in the recent cohort, which warrants further investigation.