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Epidemiology of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis in Lithuania, 2012-2021: a retrospective cohort study

Por: Dereseviciene · G. · Gumbis · G. · Miltiniene · D. · Dadoniene · J.
Objectives

The aim of this study was to assess the incidence, prevalence and mortality of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) in Lithuania.

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting

Lithuanian National Health Insurance Fund and Causes of Death registries, covering 1 January 2012 through 31 December 2021.

Participants

Patients were identified from national healthcare registries in Lithuania. The following inclusion criteria were applied: 1) diagnosis of eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis (EGPA), granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) or microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) (diagnosis codes M30.1, M31.3 and M31.7, according to International Classification of Diseases 10th version (ICD-10)) recorded between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2021; 2) diagnosis of AAV was recorded in the database at least twice with at least 1-month period between the two timepoints; 3) a record of at least once prescribed reimbursed medication—glucocorticoids (prednisolone or methylprednisolone), conventional synthetic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (methotrexate, azathioprine, hydroxychloroquine and cyclophosphamide) or biological disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (rituximab or available biosimilars); and 4) age >18 years at the time of diagnosis.

Outcome measures

Data for the analysis included sex, age, ICD-10 code of AAV, the first date of AAV diagnosis and date of death. The study period was subdivided into periods 1 (2013–2015), 2 (2016–2018) and 3 (2019–2021). Temporal trends of the incidence of AAV were assessed. Point prevalence data were recorded. Sex- and age-standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated. The life expectancy of patients with AAV was estimated by standard single-decrement life-table analysis.

Results

We identified 236 patients with AAV (female, 58%) with an annual incidence of 8.22 per 1 000 000 adult inhabitants (period 1, 9.83; period 2, 6.88; period 3, 7.95). Increasing incidence was noted for MPA (period 1, 0.9; period 3, 2.49). The incidence of GPA (4.89 per 1 000 000 inhabitants per year) was three times higher than the total incidence of EGPA and MPA. The prevalence of AAV per 1 000 000 adult population increased from 35.92 in 2015 to 69.14 in 2021. 40 deaths were recorded during the study period, with a mean age at death of 65.2 (±13.03). AAV was associated with reduced life expectancy compared with the general population, especially when diagnosed at a young age. The SMRs for the total AAV cohort revealed a decreasing trend: 1.79 in period 1 and 1.67 in period 3.

Conclusions

AAV is associated with increased mortality. During the study period, the incidence of AAV was found to be stable, and the prevalence has increased.

From bedside to bug side: clinical, haematological and genetic markers of antibiotic-resistant bacterial isolates from children admitted with sepsis in Kaduna State, Nigeria - a protocol for a cross-sectional study

Por: Musa · S. · Aliyu · S. · Abdullahi · N. B. · Khalid · H. L. · Salihu · S. K. · Dahiru · A. U. · Muhammad · A. A. · Abdullahi · K. · Salisu · S. · Gumbi · S. A. · Tanko · Z. L. · Umaru · H. M. · Bello-Manga · H. · Dogara · L. G. · Musa · A. · Usman · I. K. · Lawal · U. W. · Cleary · D. W.
Introduction

Sepsis and antibiotic resistance constitute a deadly synergy, causing the loss of millions of lives across the world, with their economic and developmental consequences posing a threat to global prosperity. Their impact is disproportionately felt in resource-limited settings and among vulnerable populations, especially children. A key challenge is prompt diagnosis and timely commencement of appropriate antibiotic therapies. These challenges are compounded in low-income and middle-income countries by a lack of comprehensive epidemiological data, with Nigeria being one such country for which it is lacking. Kaduna is the third largest state in Nigeria, with over 10 million inhabitants, of whom more than half are children under 14 years old. While bacterial sepsis and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) are recognised as a growing problem in the state, there are huge gaps in the current understanding of their aetiology. This project employs a cross-sectional design to investigate the clinical and haematological markers of paediatric sepsis, alongside determining the bacterial cause and prevalence of AMR at four high-turnover hospitals in Kaduna State, Nigeria. Further, whole-genome sequencing of isolated bacterial pathogens will be performed to determine the genetic features of resistance. This project represents the largest surveillance study of paediatric sepsis in Kaduna to date. Additionally, we aim to use the clinical, haematological, microbiological and genomic data to derive predictive models for sepsis causes, treatment strategies and patient outcomes.

Methods and analysis

This is a hospital-based, cross-sectional study that will recruit up to 461 children with bacterial sepsis who were admitted at the two teaching and two general hospitals in Kaduna State, Nigeria. Children presenting with features of fever, subnormal temperature and body weakness would be recruited into the study and have their blood samples collected. The blood samples will be used for culture, complete blood count, HIV and malaria testing. Accordingly, we will capture clinical presentation, haematological characteristics, causative pathogen from blood culture and patient outcomes. Nutritional status, known congenital immunosuppressive diseases, HIV infection and malaria infection will also be determined and documented. The bacterial isolates will be phenotypically characterised for AMR and genotypically following whole genome sequencing. Known and potential confounders to the outcomes of bacterial sepsis would be assessed in all participants, and adjustment for confounding would be performed using logistic regression and/or stratification±Mantel-Haenszel estimator where applicable.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approvals were granted by the University of Birmingham (ERN_2115-Jun2024), the Ahmadu Bello University Teaching Hospital (ABUTHZ/HREC/H45/2023), Barau Dikko Teaching Hospital, Kaduna (NHREC/30/11/21A) and the Kaduna State Ministry of Health (MOH/AD M/744/VOL.1/1110018). The study will be conducted using the international guidelines for good clinical practice and based on the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. The results will be disseminated via oral and poster presentations in scientific conferences and published in peer-reviewed journal articles.

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