One of the challenges in managing patients with hantavirus infection is accurately identifying individuals who are at risk of developing severe disease. Prompt identification of these patients can facilitate critical decisions, such as early referral to an intensive care unit. The identified prognostic factors could be of utility in guiding medical care to enhance the management of hantavirus infection.
To identify and evaluate prognostic factors associated with mortality in hantavirus infection.
We conducted a Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses-reported systematic review following Cochrane guidance adapted for prognosis. We searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Biblioteca Virtual de Saúde or Lilac and EMBASE, from 1 January 1993 to 2 October 2025. We included studies evaluating individual prognostic factors or risk assessment models of New World hantavirus infections, with no restrictions on study design, publication status or language. When feasible, we conducted meta-analyses for prognostic factors using the inverse variance-based method with random effect model. We assessed the certainty of the evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach.
We included 25 studies with a total of 7284 participants. We identified the following prognostic factors for which we found moderate to high certainty that are associated with increased mortality: age over 18 years, female sex, rural residence, elevated creatinine levels, increased haematocrit, signs of bleeding and the presence of infiltrates on chest radiographs.
Our systematic review identified prognostic factors for mortality in patients with New World hantavirus infection. These factors can inform clinicians in making more informed management decisions. Furthermore, our findings lay the groundwork for the future development of a clinical prognostic model, potentially enhancing patient care and outcomes.
CRD42021225823.
by Donato Koyalta, Zita Aleyo Nodjikouambaye, Jonathan Muwonga Tukisadila, Hachim Djamal Abdoulaye Bargo, Suitombaye Noubaramadji Yamti, Amine Akouya, Ralph-Sydney Mboumba Bouassa, Laurent Belec
BackgroundHigh-risk (HR) human papillomavirus (HPV) infection remains a great concern in sub-Saharan Africa in men who have sex with men (MSM). The prevalence of anal shedding of HPV and associated risk factors was estimated for the first time in a cross-sectional observational study covering MSM living in N’Djamena, the capital city of Chad.
MethodsMSM were recruited from the community in 21 sites in neighborhoods of 5 districts randomly selected in N’Djamena by respondent-driven sampling (RDS) method. Anal Collector V-Veil UP2™ device was used for anal canal self-sampling. Manual silica-extracted DNA was subjected for HPV detection and genotyping using BMRT Human Papillomavirus Genotyping Real Time PCR assay (Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technologies Co., Ltd., Taizhou, China). HIV serostatus was assessed using two rapid tests in series.
ResultsA total of 70 MSM (mean age: 29.9 years; range, 18–50) were included. The overall acceptability to practice veil-based anal self-sampling was 95.9%. The usability of the veil collector device was high (92.3%), with easy understandable instructions for use and correct placement in the anal canal. Satisfaction questionnaire reported high overall feeling, intimacy respect and lack of shame. The majority of MSM (44/70, 62.8%) showed anal shedding of HPV DNA, with HR-HPV frequently detected (38,70, 54.3%), including HPV-33 (30/70, 42.9%) HPV-68 (16/70, 22.9%), HPV-18 (4/70, 5.7%), HPV-35 (3/70, 4.3%), HPV-58 (2/70, 2.9%), and HPV-45 (1/70, 1.4%). The distribution of genotypes in HR-HPV DNA-positive MSM revealed that HPV-33 (30/70; 42.9%) was the predominant genotype, followed by the HPV-68 (16/70; 22.9%), HPV-18 (4/70; 5.7%), HPV-35 (3/70; 4.3%), HPV-58 (2/70; 2.9%), and HPV-45, HPV-51 and HPV-56 (each type, 1/70;1.4%).Among all HPV detected, only 42 HPV (36.8%) were covered by Gardasil-9® vaccine, including the HR-HPV-33, −18, −58 and −45, and the low risk-HPV-6 (5.7%) and HPV-11 (1.4%). The majority of detected HPV were non-covered by Gardasil-9® vaccine (63.1%). Overall HIV prevalence was 5.7%.
ConclusionsTaken together, these observations point the MSM population in N’Djamena as a very particular core group of HIV and HPV transmission. HIV prevalence was higher than that of general adult population, but limited to only one MSM of twenty. The RDS method of recruitment allowed to include MSM likely belonging to the same sexual network of HPV transmission leading to the selection of an atypical and specific profile of anal HPV distribution. The potential efficacy of HPV prophylactic vaccination in this population can be estimated at relatively weak.