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Spatiotemporal patterns of asthma in Bhutan: a Bayesian analysis

Por: Tsheten · T. · Chateau · D. · Walsh · E. · Sargent · G. · Clements · A. C. A. · Gray · D. · Kelly · M. · Dorji · N. · Tenzin · P. · Adhikari · L. · Penjor · K. · Bagheri · N. · Wangdi · K.
Introduction

Asthma is a chronic respiratory disorder requiring ongoing medical management. This ecological study investigated the spatial and temporal patterns of notification rates for asthma from clinic visits and hospital discharges and identified demographic, meteorological and environmental factors that drive asthma in Bhutan.

Methods

Monthly numbers of asthma notifications from 2016 to 2022 were obtained from the Bhutan Ministry of Health. Climatic variables (rainfall, relative humidity, minimum and maximum temperature) were obtained from the National Centre for Hydrology and Meteorology, Bhutan. The Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and surface particulate matter (PM2.5) were extracted from open sources. A multivariable zero-inflated Poisson regression (ZIP) model was developed in a Bayesian framework to quantify the relationship between risk of asthma and sociodemographic and environmental correlates, while also identifying the underlying spatial structure of the data.

Results

There were 12 696 asthma notifications, with an annual average prevalence of 244/100 000 population between 2016 and 2022. In ZIP analysis, asthma notifications were 3.4 times (relative risk (RR)=3.39; 95% credible interval (CrI) 3.047 to 3.773) more likely in individuals aged >14 years than those aged ≤14 years, and 43% (RR=1.43; 95% CrI 36.5% to 49.2%) more likely for females than males. Asthma notification increased by 0.8% (RR=1.008, 95% CrI 0.2% to 1.5%) for every 10 cm increase in rainfall, and 1.7% (RR=1.017; 95% CrI 1.2% to 2.3%) for a 1°C increase in maximum temperature. An increase in one unit of NDVI and 10 µg/m3 PM2.5 was associated with 27.3% (RR=1.273; 95% CrI 8.7% to 49.2%), and 2.0% (RR=1.02; 95% CrI 1.0% to 4.0%) increase in asthma notification, respectively. The high-risk spatial clusters were identified in the south and southeastern regions of Bhutan, after accounting for covariates.

Conclusion

Environmental risk factors and spatial clusters of asthma notifications were identified. Identification of spatial clusters and environmental risk factors can help develop targeted interventions that maximise impact of limited public health resources for controlling asthma in Bhutan.

Use of Artificial Intelligence‐Driven Wound Care Management to Enhance Access to Care Rural and Northern Communities

ABSTRACT

Wound care remains a high-priority area for improvement in the Canadian health care system. Older adults aged 65 and older are disproportionately affected by chronic and non-healing wounds and often experience multiple co-morbid conditions, challenges which can be further complicated by living in rural and northern areas. A workshop-based multi-methods study was conducted to describe rural and northern perspectives on opportunities and feasibility to implement innovative wound care technologies. Each workshop included pre- and post- workshop surveys, a live demonstration of Swift Skin and Wound, a Q&A session, and facilitated discussion exploring the technology's feasibility, usability, and accessibility in northern and rural care contexts. Participants who volunteered for the study included care staff and healthcare executives (N = 11), described their perspectives on implementing AI-driven digital wound care management solutions with a focus on integration into health care settings. Three themes were identified including: confidence and optimism in improving wound care management, recognition of the superiority of AI-driven digital wound care solutions over current practices, and the importance of adaptable change processes for successful adoption. While generalizability may be limited, findings suggest that adopting AI-driven wound care tools could improve wound assessment accuracy and streamline care for aging populations in rural and northern areas.

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