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Efficacy of electro-acupuncture versus sham acupuncture for diabetic peripheral neuropathy: study protocol for a three-armed randomised controlled trial

Por: Zhuang · R. · Xiong · Z. · Yan · S. · Zhang · H. · Dong · Q. · Liu · W. · Miao · J. · Zhuo · Y. · Fan · X. · Zhang · W. · Wang · X. · Liu · L. · Cao · J. · Zhang · T. · Hao · C. · Huang · X. · Jiang · L.
Introduction

Specific treatment for diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is still lacking, and acupuncture may relieve the symptoms. We intend to investigate the efficacy and safety of electro-acupuncture (EA) in alleviating symptoms associated with DPN in diabetes.

Methods and analysis

This multicentre, three-armed, participant- and assessor-blind, randomised, sham-controlled trial will recruit 240 eligible participants from four hospitals in China and will randomly assign (1:1:1) them to EA, sham acupuncture (SA) or usual care (UC) group. Participants in the EA and SA groups willl receive either 24-session EA or SA treatment over 8 weeks, followed by an 8-week follow-up period, while participants in the UC group will be followed up for 16 weeks. The primary outcome of this trial is the change in DPN symptoms from baseline to week 8, as rated by using the Total Symptom Score. The scale assesses four symptoms: pain, burning, paraesthesia and numbness, by evaluating the frequency and severity of each. All results will be analysed with the intention-to-treat population.

Ethics and dissemination

The protocol has been approved by the Ethics Committee of the Beijing University of Chinese Medicine (Identifier: 2022BZYLL0509). Every participant will be informed of detailed information about the study before signing informed consent. The results of this trial will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

Trial registration number

ChiCTR2200061408.

Protocol for a randomised controlled trial: optimisation of perioperative analgesia protocol for uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery

Por: Wang · L. F. · Feng · H. X. · Shi · Y. H. · Li · Y. · Zheng · M. T. · Bu · T. · Zhang · Z. R.
Introduction

Postoperative pain after thoracic surgery impairs patients’ quality of life and increases the incidence of respiratory complications. Optimised analgesia strategies include minimally invasive incisions, regional analgesia and early chest tube removal. However, little is known about the optimal analgesic regimen for uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (uVATS).

Methods and analysis

We will conduct a single-centre, prospective, single-blind, randomised trial. The effects of postoperative analgesia will be tested using thoracic paravertebral block (PVB) in combination with patient-controlled intravenous analgesia (PVB+PCIA), erector spinae plane block (ESPB) in combination with patient-controlled intravenous analgesia (ESPB+PCIA) or PCIA alone; 102 patients undergoing uVATS will be enrolled in this study. Patients will be randomly assigned to the PVB group (30 mL of 0.33% ropivacaine with dexamethasone), ESPB group (40 mL of 0.25% ropivacaine with dexamethasone) or control groups. PCIA with sufentanil will be administered to all patients after surgery. The primary outcome will be total opioid consumption after surgery. Secondary outcomes include postoperative pain score; postoperative chronic pain at rest and during coughing; sensations of touch and pain in the chest wall, non-opioid analgesic consumption; length of stay; ambulation time, the total cost of hospitalisation and long-term postoperative analgesia. Adverse reactions to analgesics and adverse events related to the regional blocks will also be recorded. The statisticians will be blinded to the group allocation. Comparison of the continuous data among the three groups will be performed using a one-way analysis of variance to assess differences among the means.

Ethics and dissemination

The results will be published in patient education courses, academic conferences and peer-reviewed journals.

Trial registration number

NCT06016777.

Willingness of healthcare providers to perform population-based cancer screening: a cross-sectional study in primary healthcare institutions in Tianjin, China

Por: Zheng · S. · Zhang · X. · Greuter · M. J. W. · de Bock · G. H. · Lu · W.
Objective

To evaluate the willingness of healthcare providers to perform population-based screening in primary healthcare institutions in China.

Methods

Healthcare providers of 262 primary healthcare institutions in Tianjin were invited to fill out a questionnaire consisting of demographic characteristics, workload, and knowledge of, attitude towards and willingness to perform breast, cervical and colorectal cancer screening. Willingness to screen was the primary outcome. Multilevel logistic regression models were conducted to analyse the determinants of healthcare providers’ willingness to screen. ORs and 95% CIs were estimated.

Results

A total of 554 healthcare providers from 244 institutions answered the questionnaire. 67.2%, 72.1% and 74.3% were willing to perform breast, cervical and colorectal cancer screening, respectively. A negative attitude towards screening was associated with a low willingness for cervical (OR=0.27; 95% CI 0.08, 0.94) and colorectal (OR=0.08; 95% CI 0.02, 0.30) cancer screening, while this was not statistically significant for breast cancer screening (OR=0.30; 95% CI 0.08, 1.12). For breast, cervical and colorectal cancer screening, 70.1%, 63.8% and 59.0% of healthcare providers reported a shortage of staff dedicated to screening. A perceived reasonable manpower allocation was a determinant of increased willingness to perform breast (OR=2.86; 95% CI 1.03, 7.88) and colorectal (OR=2.70; 95% CI 1.22, 5.99) cancer screening. However, this was not significant for cervical cancer screening (OR=1.76; 95% CI 0.74, 4.18).

Conclusions

In China, healthcare providers with a positive attitude towards screening have a stronger willingness to contribute to cancer screening, and therefore healthcare providers’ attitude, recognition of the importance of screening and acceptable workload should be optimised to improve the uptake of cancer screening.

Preoperative pancreatic stent placement before the enucleation of insulinoma located in the head and neck of the pancreas in proximity to the main pancreatic duct: study protocol for a multicentre randomised clinical trial in Chinese tertiary medical cent

Por: Gao · R. · Yin · B. · Jin · J. · Tian · X. · Zhang · Y. · Wei · J. · Cao · F. · Wang · Z. · Ma · Z. · Wang · M. · Gou · S. · Cong · L. · Xu · Q. · Wu · W. · Zhao · Y.
Introduction

The surgical intervention approach to insulinomas in proximity to the main pancreatic duct remains controversial. Standard pancreatic resection is recommended by several guidelines; however, enucleation (EN) still attracts surgeons with less risk of late exocrine/endocrine insufficiency, despite a higher postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) rate. Recently, the efficacy and safety of preoperative pancreatic stent placement before the EN have been demonstrated. Thus, a multicentre open-label study is being conducted to evaluate the efficacy and safety of stent placement in improving the outcome of EN of insulinomas in proximity to the main pancreatic duct.

Methods and analysis

This is a prospective, randomised, open-label, superiority clinical trial conducted at multiple tertiary centres in China. The major eligibility criterion is the presence of insulinoma located in the head and neck of the pancreas in proximity (≤2 mm) to the main pancreatic duct. Blocked randomisation will be performed to allocate patients into the stent EN group and the direct EN group. Patients in the stent EN group will go through stent placement by the endoscopist within 24 hours before the EN surgery, whereas other patients will receive EN surgery directly. The primary outcome is the assessment of the superiority of stent placement in reducing POPF rate measured by the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery standard. Both interventions will be performed in an inpatient setting and regular follow-up will be performed. The primary outcome (POPF rate) will be tested for superiority with the X2 test. The difference in secondary outcomes between the two groups will be analysed using appropriate tests.

Ethics and dissemination

The study has been approved by the Peking Union Medical College Hospital Institutional Review Board (K23C0195), Ruijin Hospital Ethics Committee (2023-314), Peking University First Hospital Ethics Committee (2024033-001), Institutional Review Board of Xuanwu Hospital of Capital Medical University (2023223-002), Ethics Committee of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University (XJTU1AF2023LSK-473), Institutional Review Board of Tongji Medical College Tongji Hospital (TJ-IRB202402059), Ethics Committee of Tongji Medical College Union Hospital (2023-0929) and Shanghai Cancer Center Institutional Review Board (2309282-16). The results of the study will be published in an international peer-reviewed journal.

Trial registration number

NCT05523778.

Real-world treatment patterns and clinical outcomes from a retrospective chart review study of patients with recurrent or advanced endometrial cancer who progressed following prior systemic therapy in Europe

Por: Zhang · J. · Kelkar · S. S. · Prabhu · V. S. · Qiao · Y. · Grall · V. · Miles · N. · Marth · C.
Objective

To evaluate real-world treatment patterns and clinical outcomes in recurrent/advanced endometrial cancer patients who progressed following prior systemic therapy in clinical practice in Europe.

Design

Endometrial Cancer Health Outcomes-Europe (ECHO-EU) is a retrospective patient chart review study.

Setting

ECHO-EU is a multicentre study conducted in the UK, Germany, Italy, France and Spain.

Participants

Patients with recurrent/advanced endometrial cancer who progressed between 1 July 2016 and 30 June 2019 following prior first-line systemic therapy were eligible and data were collected until last available follow-up through November 2021.

Primary and secondary outcome measures

Data collected included patient demographics, clinical and treatment characteristics, and clinical outcomes. Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed since initiation of second-line therapy to estimate time to treatment discontinuation, real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

A total of 475 patients were included from EU5 countries. Median age was 69 years at advanced endometrial cancer diagnosis, 78.7% had stage IIIB–IV disease, 45.9% had Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group status ≥2 at second-line therapy initiation. In second line, a majority of patients initiated either non-platinum-based chemotherapy (55.6%) or endocrine therapy (16.2%). Physician-reported real-world overall response rate (classified as complete or partial response) to second-line therapy was 34.5%, median rwPFS was 7.4 months (95% CI 6.2 to 8.0) and median OS was 11.0 months (95% CI 9.9 to 12.3).

Conclusions

Patients had poor clinical outcomes with a median OS of

Supplements for cognitive ability in patients with mild cognitive impairment or Alzheimers disease: a protocol for systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

Por: Zhang · X.-Y. · Li · Y.-Q. · Yin · Z.-H. · Bao · Q.-N. · Xia · M.-Z. · Chen · Z.-H. · Zhong · W.-Q. · Wu · K.-X. · Yao · J. · Liang · F.-R.
Introduction

Considering the increasing incidence of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) worldwide, there is an urgent need to identify efficacious, safe and convenient treatments. Numerous investigations have been conducted on the use of supplements in this domain, with oral supplementation emerging as a viable therapeutic approach for AD or MCI. Nevertheless, given the multitude of available supplements, it becomes imperative to identify the optimal treatment regimen.

Methods and analysis

Eight academic databases and three clinical trial registries will be searched from their inception to 1 June 2023. To identify randomised controlled trials investigating the effects of supplements on patients with AD or MCI, two independent reviewers (X-YZ and Y-QL) will extract relevant information from eligible articles, while the risk of bias in the included studies will be assessed using the Rob 2.0 tool developed by the Cochrane Collaboration. The primary outcome of interest is the overall cognitive function. Pair-wise meta-analysis will be conducted using RevMan V.5.3, while network meta-analysis will be carried out using Stata 17.0 and ADDIS 1.16.8. Heterogeneity test, data synthesis and subgroup analysis will be performed if necessary. The GRADE system will be employed to assess the quality of evidence. This study is scheduled to commence on 1 June 2023 and conclude on 1 October 2023.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethics approval is not required for systematic review and network meta-analysis. The results will be submitted to a peer-reviewed journal or at a conference.

Trial registration number

PROSPERO (CRD42023414700).

Association of prepregnancy body mass index and gestational weight gain trajectory with adverse pregnancy outcomes--a prospective cohort study in Shanghai

Por: Ma · Z. · Chu · L. · Zhang · Z. · Hu · Y. · Zhu · Y. · Wu · F. · Zhang · Y.
Objectives

The objective was to investigate the associations of maternal prepregnancy body mass index (BMI) and gestational weight gain (GWG) trajectories with adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs).

Design

This was a prospective cohort study.

Setting

This study was conducted in Shanghai Pudong New Area Health Care Hospital for Women and Children, Shanghai, China.

Primary and secondary outcome measures

A cohort study involving a total of 2174 pregnant women was conducted. Each participant was followed to record weekly weight gain and pregnancy outcomes. The Institute of Medicine classification was used to categorise prepregnancy BMI, and four GWG trajectories were identified using a latent class growth model.

Results

The adjusted ORs for the risks of large for gestational age (LGA), macrosomia, gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) were significantly greater for women with prepregnancy overweight/obesity (OR=1.77, 2.13, 1.95 and 4.24; 95% CI 1.3 to 2.42, 1.32 to 3.46, 1.43 to 2.66 and 2.01 to 8.93, respectively) and lower for those who were underweight than for those with normal weight (excluding HDP) (OR=0.35, 0.27 and 0.59; 95% CI 0.22 to 0.53, 0.11 to 0.66 and 0.36 to 0.89, respectively). The risk of small for gestational age (SGA) and low birth weight (LBW) was significantly increased in the underweight group (OR=3.11, 2.20; 95% CI 1.63 to 5.92, 1.10 to 4.41; respectively) compared with the normal-weight group; however, the risk did not decrease in the overweight/obese group (p=0.942, 0.697, respectively). GWG was divided into four trajectories, accounting for 16.6%, 41.4%, 31.7% and 10.3% of the participants, respectively. After adjustment for confounding factors, the risk of LGA was 1.54 times greater for women in the slow GWG trajectory group than for those in the extremely slow GWG trajectory group (95% CI 1.07 to 2.21); the risk of SGA and LBW was 0.37 times and 0.46 times lower for women in the moderate GWG trajectory group and 0.14 times and 0.15 times lower for women in the rapid GWG trajectory group, respectively; the risk of macrosomia and LGA was 2.65 times and 2.70 times greater for women in the moderate GWG trajectory group and 3.53 times and 4.36 times greater for women in the rapid GWG trajectory group, respectively; and the women in the other three trajectory groups had a lower risk of GDM than did those in the extremely slow GWG trajectory group, but there was not much variation in the ORs. Notably, different GWG trajectories did not affect the risk of HDP.

Conclusions

As independent risk factors, excessively high and low prepregnancy BMI and GWG can increase the risk of APOs.

Health-related quality of life after 12 months post discharge in patients hospitalised with COVID-19-related severe acute respiratory infection (SARI): a prospective analysis of SF-36 data and correlation with retrospective admission data on age, disease

Por: Wright · G. · Senthil · K. · Zadeh-Kochek · A. · Au · J. H.-s. · Zhang · J. · Huang · J. · Saripalli · R. · Khan · M. · Ghauri · O. · Kim · S. · Mohammed · Z. · Alves · C. · Koduri · G.

Long-term outcome and ‘health-related quality of life’ (HRQoL) following hospitalisation for COVID-19-related severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) is limited.

Objective

To assess the impact of HRQoL in patients hospitalised with COVID-19-related SARI at 1 year post discharge, focusing on the potential impact of age, frailty, and disease severity.

Method

Routinely collected outcome data on 1207 patients admitted with confirmed COVID-19 related SARI across all three secondary care sites in our NHS trust over 3 months were assessed in this retrospective cohort study. Of those surviving 1 year, we prospectively collected 36-item short form (SF-36) HRQoL questionnaires, comparing three age groups (

Results

Overall mortality was 46.5% in admitted patients. In our SF-36 cohort (n=169), there was a significant reduction in all HRQoL domains versus normative data; the most significant reductions were in the physical component (pemotional component (physical well-being versus CFS (the correlation coefficient=–0.37, p

Conclusion

There was a significant reduction in all SF-36 domains at 1 year. Poor CFS at admission was associated with a significant and prolonged impact on physical parameters at 1 year. Age had little impact on the severity of HRQoL, except in the domains of physical functioning and the overall physical component.

Assessment of the methodological, recommendation and reporting quality of global guidelines for neck pain and synthesis of evidence and recommendations: a systematic review protocol

Por: Li · J. · Ou · J. · Liu · Y. · Shen · C. · Chen · X. · Li · Y. · Zhao · J. · Xu · J. · Zhang · Y. · Wang · L.
Introduction

Neck pain is a global health problem that can cause severe disability and a huge medical burden. Clinical practice guideline (CPG) is an important basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment. A high-quality CPG plays a significant role in clinical practice. However, the quality of the CPGs for neck pain lacks comprehensive assessment. This protocol aims to evaluate the methodological, recommendation, reporting quality of global CPGs for neck pain and identify key recommendations and gaps that limit evidence-based practice.

Method

CPGs from January 2013 to November 2023 will be identified through a systematic search on 13 scientific databases (PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, etc) and 7 online guideline repositories. Six reviewers will independently evaluate the quality of CPGs for neck pain by using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation, the Appraisal of Guidelines Research and Evaluation-Recommendations Excellence and the Reporting Items for Practice Guidelines in Healthcare tools. Intraclass correlation coefficient will be used to test the consistency of the assessment. We will identify the distribution of evidence and recommendations in each evidence-based CPGs for neck pain and regrade the level of evidence and strength of recommendations by adopting the commonly used Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations system. The key recommendations based on high-quality evidence will be summarised. In addition, we will categorise CPGs by different characteristics and conduct a subgroup analysis of the results of assessment.

Ethics and dissemination

No subjects will be involved in this systematic review, so there is no need for ethical approval. The finding of this review will be summarised as a paper for publication in a peer-reviewed journal.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD42023417717.

Association of thyroid autoantibodies and diabetic kidney disease in hospitalised patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a cross-sectional study from a Chinese university hospital

Por: Wang · Z. · Wang · F. · Liu · C. · Zhang · L.
Objectives

To analyse and explore the association between thyroid autoantibodies and diabetic kidney disease (DKD) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Design

A cross-sectional study.

Setting

Patients were from the inpatient unit at The Second Endocrinology Department of Shengjing Hospital Affiliated to China Medical University (Shenyang, China) between January 2015 and September 2019.

Participants

A total of 150 Chinese adults with T2DM were included in the study, including 83 men and 67 women. Their age ranged between 25 and 92 years.

Methodology

They grouped by the presence of DKD, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR), estimated glomerular filtration rate, and levels of thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAb) and thyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb). Data on the patients’ general characteristics and laboratory measurements (levels of fasting plasma glucose, glycated haemoglobin, and albumin; renal function; and thyroid function) were collected. Binary logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors for DKD.

Results

The level of TPOAb, the positivity rates of TPOAb (p

Conclusions

TPOAb-positive status is in association with DKD in patients with T2DM. Large scale, prospective cohort studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Adjuvant chemotherapy and survival outcomes in older women with HR+/HER2- breast cancer: a propensity score-matched retrospective cohort study using the SEER database

Por: Ma · X. · Wu · S. · Zhang · X. · Chen · N. · Yang · C. · Yang · C. · Cao · M. · Du · K. · Liu · Y.
Objectives

This study aimed to investigate the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) on survival outcomes in older women with hormone receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2–) breast cancer (BC).

Design

A retrospective cohort study using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, which contains publicly available information from US cancer registries.

Setting and participants

The study included 45 762 older patients with BC aged over 65 years diagnosed between 2010 and 2015.

Methods

Patients were divided into two groups based on age: 65–79 years and ≥80 years. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to balance clinicopathological characteristics between patients who received ACT and those who did not. Data analysis used the 2 test and Kaplan-Meier method, with a subgroup analysis conducted to identify potential beneficiaries of ACT.

Outcome measures

Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS).

Results

Due to clinicopathological characteristic imbalances between patients with BC aged 65–79 years and those aged ≥80 years, PSM was used to categorise the population into two groups for analysis: the 65–79 years age group (n=38 128) and the ≥80 years age group (n=7634). Among patients aged 65–79 years, Kaplan-Meier analysis post-PSM indicated that ACT was effective in improving OS (p

Conclusions

Patients with HR+/HER2– BC ≥80 years of age may be considered exempt from ACT because no benefits were found in terms of OS and CSS.

Human umbilical cord mesenchymal stem cell therapy for renal dysfunction in Alport syndrome: protocol for an open-label, single-arm trial in China

Por: Huang · L. · Zou · J. · Zhang · Y. · Gu · J. · Wu · J. · Zhang · C.
Introduction

Alport syndrome (AS) is one of the most common fatal hereditary renal diseases in human, with a high risk of progressing to end-stage renal disease without effective treatments. Mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) have recently emerged as a promising therapeutic strategy for chronic kidney disease. However, the safety and therapeutic potential of MSC transfusion for patients with AS are still need to be confirmed. Therefore, we have designed a clinical trial to evaluate the hypothesis that intravenous infusion of human umbilical cord-derived MSC (hUC-MSC) is safe, feasible, and well-tolerated in children with AS.

Methods and analysis

We report the protocol of the first prospective, open-label, single-arm clinical trial to evaluate the safety and preliminary efficacy of hUC-MSC transfusion in children with early-stage AS. Paediatric patients diagnosed with AS who have persistent albuminuria will be candidates for screening. Twelve eligible patients are planned to recruit and will receive hUC-MSC infusions under close safety monitoring, and complete the efficacy assessments at scheduled follow-up visits. The primary endpoints include the occurrence of adverse events to assess safety and the albuminuria level for efficacy evaluation. Secondary endpoint assessments are based on haematuria and glomerular filtration measurements. Each patient’s efficacy endpoints will be evaluated against their baseline levels. Additionally, the underlying mechanism of hUC-MSC therapy will be explored through transcriptomic and proteomic analysis of blood and urine samples.

Ethics and dissemination

The protocol (V.1.0, date 17 January 2015) was approved by the institutional review board of the Affiliated Taihe Hospital of Hubei University of Medicine (ethical approval 03 March 2015). Written informed consent will be obtained from the patient and/or guardians before study specific process. In addition to publication in a peer-reviewed scientific journal, a lay summary of study will be available for participants and the public on the Chinese Organization for Rare Disorders website (http://www.cord.org.cn/).

Trial registration number

ISRCTN62094626.

Inhaled Nitric Oxide ReDuce postoperatIve pulmoNAry complicaTions in patiEnts with recent COVID-19 infection (INORDINATE): protocol for a randomised controlled trial

Por: Zheng · Z. · Wang · L. · Wang · S. · Fan · Q. · Zhang · H. · Luo · G. · Gao · B. · Yang · X. · Zhao · B. · Wang · X. · Dong · H. · Nie · H. · Lei · C.
Background

A history of SARS-CoV-2 infection has been reported to be associated with an increased risk of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs). Even mild PPCs can elevate the rates of early postoperative mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and prolong the length of ICU and/or hospital stays. Consequently, it is crucial to develop perioperative management strategies that can mitigate these increased risks in surgical patients who have recently been infected with SARS-CoV-2. Accumulating evidence suggests that nitric oxide (NO) inhalation might be effective in treating COVID-19. NO functions in COVID-19 by promoting vasodilation, anticoagulation, anti-inflammatory and antiviral effects. Therefore, our study hypothesises that the perioperative use of NO can effectively reduce PPCs in patients with recent SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Method and analysis

A prospective, double-blind, single-centre, randomised controlled trial is proposed. The trial aims to include participants who are planning to undergo surgery with general anaesthesia and have been recently infected with SARS-CoV-2 (within 7 weeks). Stratified allocation of eligible patients will be performed at a 1:1 ratio based on the predicted risk of PPCs using the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia risk index and the time interval between infection and surgery.

The primary outcome of the study will be the presence of PPCs within the first 7 days following surgery, including respiratory infection, respiratory failure, pleural effusion, atelectasis, pneumothorax, bronchospasm and aspiration pneumonitis. The primary outcome will be reported as counts (percentage) and will be compared using a two-proportion 2 test. The common effect across all primary components will be estimated using a multiple generalised linear model.

Ethics and dissemination

The trial is approved by the Institutional Review Board of Xijing Hospital (KY20232058-F1). The findings, including positive, negative and inconclusive results, will be published in scientific journals with peer-review processes.

Trial registration number

NCT05721144.

Deep learning model to predict lupus nephritis renal flare based on dynamic multivariable time-series data

Por: Huang · S. · Chen · Y. · Song · Y. · Wu · K. · Chen · T. · Zhang · Y. · Jia · W. · Zhang · H.-T. · Liang · D.-D. · Yang · J. · Zeng · C.-H. · Li · X. · Liu · Z.-H.
Objectives

To develop an interpretable deep learning model of lupus nephritis (LN) relapse prediction based on dynamic multivariable time-series data.

Design

A single-centre, retrospective cohort study in China.

Setting

A Chinese central tertiary hospital.

Participants

The cohort study consisted of 1694 LN patients who had been registered in the Nanjing Glomerulonephritis Registry at the National Clinical Research Center of Kidney Diseases, Jinling Hospital from January 1985 to December 2010.

Methods

We developed a deep learning algorithm to predict LN relapse that consists of 59 features, including demographic, clinical, immunological, pathological and therapeutic characteristics that were collected for baseline analysis. A total of 32 227 data points were collected by the sliding window method and randomly divided into training (80%), validation (10%) and testing sets (10%). We developed a deep learning algorithm-based interpretable multivariable long short-term memory model for LN relapse risk prediction considering censored time-series data based on a cohort of 1694 LN patients. A mixture attention mechanism was deployed to capture variable interactions at different time points for estimating the temporal importance of the variables. Model performance was assessed according to C-index (concordance index).

Results

The median follow-up time since remission was 4.1 (IQR, 1.7–6.7) years. The interpretable deep learning model based on dynamic multivariable time-series data achieved the best performance, with a C-index of 0.897, among models using only variables at the point of remission or time-variant variables. The importance of urinary protein, serum albumin and serum C3 showed time dependency in the model, that is, their contributions to the risk prediction increased over time.

Conclusions

Deep learning algorithms can effectively learn through time-series data to develop a predictive model for LN relapse. The model provides accurate predictions of LN relapse for different renal disease stages, which could be used in clinical practice to guide physicians on the management of LN patients.

Cost-effectiveness of the top 100 drugs by public spending in Canada, 2015-2021: a repeated cross-sectional study

Por: Gaudette · E. · Rizzardo · S. · Zhang · Y. · Pothier · K. R. · Tadrous · M.
Objectives

To assess the distribution and spending by cost-effectiveness category among those drugs with the highest public spending levels in Canada.

Design

Repeated cross-sectional study.

Setting

The Canadian provinces of Manitoba, Ontario, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island and Newfoundland.

Main outcomes and measures

Cost-effectiveness assessments by the Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health (CADTH) for top-100 brand-name outpatient drugs by gross public plan spending in any year between 2015 and 2021 in Canada Institute for Health Information’s National Prescription Drug Utilization Information System data. Gross public plan spending by cost-effectiveness category.

Results

From 2015 to 2021, 152 brand-name drugs occupied a top-100 rank and were included in the analysis. Of those, 117 had been assessed by CADTH. During the 7-year period, there was an increase in both top-100 drugs with cost-effective (from 18 to 24) and cost-ineffective (from 29 to 41) assessments, while drugs not assessed or with an unclear assessment declined (from 31 to 19 and from 22 to 16, respectively). As a share of spending on top-100 drugs with an assessment, spending on cost-effective drugs was mostly stable at 40%–46% from 2015 to 2021, while spending on cost-ineffective drugs increased from 30% to 45%.

Conclusion

A large and growing share of public drug spending has been allocated to cost-ineffective drugs in Canada. Dedicating large budgets to such treatments prevents spending with greater health impact elsewhere in the healthcare system and could restrain the capacity to pay for groundbreaking pharmaceutical innovation in the future.

Exposure to early-life adversity and long-term trajectories of multimorbidity among older adults in China: analysis of longitudinal data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

Por: Liu · H. · Zhang · M. · Zhang · X. · Zhao · X.
Objectives

This study aimed to identify long-term distinct trajectories of multimorbidity with ageing from 50 to 85 years among Chinese older adults and examine the relationship between exposure to early-life adversity (ELA; including specific types of adversity and accumulation of different adversities) and these long-term multimorbidity trajectories.

Design

The group-based trajectory models identified long-term multimorbidity trajectories. Multinomial logistic regression models were used to examine the relationship between ELA and the identified multimorbidity trajectories.

Setting

This study used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS, 2011–2018) and the 2014 Life History Survey.

Participants

We used data from 9112 respondents (aged 60 and above) of the 2018 wave of CHARLS.

Outcome measures

Each respondent’s history of chronic conditions and experiences of ELA were collected from the 2011–2018 waves of CHARLS and the 2014 Life History Survey.

Results

Four heterogeneous long-term trajectories of multimorbidity development were identified: ‘maintaining-low’ (19.1%), ‘low onset-rapidly increasing’ (23.3%), ‘middle onset-moderately increasing’ (41.5%) and ‘chronically-high’ (16.2%). Our findings indicated that the heterogeneity can be explained by ELA experiences. Across various types of different ELA experiences, exposure to food insufficiency (relative risk ratios from 1.372 (95% CI 1.190 to 1.582) to 1.780 (95% CI 1.472 to 2.152)) and parental quarrel/divorce (relative risk ratios from 1.181 (95% CI 1.000 to 1.394) to 1.262 (95% CI 1.038 to 1.536)) had the most prominent associations with health deterioration. The accumulation of more different ELA experiences was associated with a higher relative risk of developing more severe multimorbidity trajectories (relative risk ratio for five to seven ELAs and chronically high trajectory: 7.555, 95% CI 4.993 to 11.431).

Conclusions

There are heterogeneous long-term trajectories of multimorbidity in Chinese older adults, and the risk of multimorbidity associated with ELA accumulates over the lifespan. Our findings highlight the role of a supportive early-life family environment in promoting health development across the lifespan, advocating for the integration of life-course approaches to implementing health disparity interventions.

Adverse birth outcomes and childhood overweight at age of 3-8 years in a prospective cohort study in Tianjin, China

Por: Zhang · R. · Gao · M. · Li · W. · Liu · H. · Wang · S. · Wang · H. · Li · N. · Li · J. · Yu · Z. · Hu · G. · Leng · J. · Yang · X.
Objectives

To explore associations between adverse birth outcomes and childhood overweight at 3–8 years of age.

Design

A prospective cohort study.

Setting

Six central urban districts of Tianjin, China.

Participants

1681 woman–child pairs.

Methods

1681 woman–child pairs were followed up for 8 years in Tianjin, China. Demographic and clinical information including birth outcomes was collected longitudinally, commencing from first antenatal care visit till postpartum period. Offspring height and weight were measured at 3–8 years of age. High and low weight/length ratios (WLR) at birth were, respectively, defined as ≥90th and ≤10th gestational week and sex-specific percentiles. Overweight for children at 3–5 and 6–8 years of age were, respectively, defined as body mass index (BMI)-for-age and -sex above the 2 z-score and 1 z-score curves of the WHO’s child growth standards. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to obtain ORs and 95% CI with a stepwise backward selection method to select independent predictors.

Primary outcomes measures

Childhood overweight.

Results

Of 1681 children, 10.7% (n=179) and 27.8% (n=468) developed overweight at 3–5 and 6–8 years of age, respectively. Large for gestational age (LGA) was associated with increased risk of overweight at 3–5 years of age (aOR: 1.86, 95% CI: 1.27 to 2.72) while high WLR at birth was associated with increased risk of overweight at 6–8 years of age (1.82, 1.41 to 2.34). Low WLR at birth was associated with decreased risk of overweight at 6–8 years of age (0.52, 0.30 to 0.90).

Conclusions

LGA and high WLR at birth predicted childhood overweight at 3–5 and 6–8 years of age, respectively. Low WLR at birth was associated with decreased risk of childhood overweight at 6–8 years of age.

Differences in inpatient performance of public general hospitals following implementation of a points-counting payment based on diagnosis-related group: a robust multiple interrupted time series study in Wenzhou, China

Por: Zhu · T. · Chen · C. · Zhang · X. · Yang · Q. · Hu · Y. · Liu · R. · Zhang · X. · Dong · Y.
Objectives

This study measures the differences in inpatient performance after a points-counting payment policy based on diagnosis-related group (DRG) was implemented. The point value is dynamic; its change depends on the annual DRGs’ cost settlements and points of the current year, which are calculated at the beginning of the following year.

Design

A longitudinal study using a robust multiple interrupted time series model to evaluate service performance following policy implementation.

Setting

Twenty-two public general hospitals (8 tertiary institutions and 14 secondary institutions) in Wenzhou, China.

Intervention

The intervention was implemented in January 2020.

Outcome measures

The indicators were case mix index (CMI), cost per hospitalisation (CPH), average length of stay (ALOS), cost efficiency index (CEI) and time efficiency index (TEI). The study employed the means of these indicators.

Results

The impact of COVID-19, which reached Zhejiang Province at the end of January 2020, was temporary given rapid containment following strict control measures. After the intervention, except for the ALOS mean, the change-points for the other outcomes (p0.05), the uptrend of the CEI mean in tertiary institutions alleviated (p0.05).

Conclusions

This study showed a positive effect of the DRG policy in Wenzhou, even during COVID-19. The policy can motivate public general hospitals to improve their comprehensive capacity and mitigate discrepancies in treatment expenses efficiency for similar diseases. Policymakers are interested in whether the reform successfully motivates hospitals to strengthen their internal impetus and improve their performance, and this is supported by this study.

Willingness to purchase institutionalised elderly services and influencing factors among Chinese older adults: a nationwide cross-sectional study

Por: Zhu · R. · Hou · W. · Wang · L. · Zhang · C. · Guo · X. · Luo · D. · Wang · F.
Objectives

In view of the serious ageing of China’s population and the low desire of elderly people to purchase institutionalised elderly care services, we explored the willingness of Chinese elderly people to purchase institutionalised elderly care services and its influencing factors.

Design

This was a cross-sectional study. Three multivariate logistic regression analysis models of the willingness of elderly people to purchase institutionalised elderly care services were established (model 1: ‘reluctance – willingness’; model 2: ‘reluctance – hesitation’; and model 3: ‘hesitation – willingness’) to explore the factors that influence elderly people’s willingness to purchase institutionalised elderly care services.

Setting

This study was based on the 2022 Psychology and Behaviour Investigation of Chinese Residents database.

Participants

Research data from 4123 older adults who met the requirements of this study were screened from the database.

Results

Of the 4123 respondents, roughly equal numbers had negative and positive attitudes towards purchasing institutionalised senior care services (1125, 27.3% vs 1079, 26.2%, respectively), and 1919 (46.5%) had hesitant attitudes. The analysis of model 1 showed that medical insurance participation, the number of children and siblings, chronic diseases and per capita monthly household income had an influential effect on the willingness of elderly people to purchase institutional care. In model 2, we found that factors such as per capita monthly household income and anxiety led to hesitancy among older adults to purchase institutionalised senior care services. In model 3, we further found that social support and health literacy led to a shift from hesitation to willingness to purchase institutionalised elderly care services.

Conclusion

The number of children, number of siblings, per capita monthly income of the family, medical insurance participation, health status, health literacy and social support were found to be the main factors influencing the purchase of institutionalised care by elderly individuals.

Appraising the quality standard of clinical practice guidelines related to central venous catheter-related thrombosis prevention: a systematic review of clinical practice guidelines

Por: Zhang · J. · Wu · Y. · Zhang · S. · Yao · W. · Bu · F. · Wang · A. · Hu · X. · Wang · G.
Objective

To evaluate the quality and analyse the content of clinical practice guidelines regarding central venous catheter-related thrombosis (CRT) to provide evidence for formulating an evidence-based practice protocol and a risk assessment scale to prevent it.

Design

Scoring and analysis of the guidelines using the AGREE II and AGREE REX scales.

Data sources

Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, and the Chinese Biomedical Literature, and the relevant websites of the guideline, were searched from 1 January 2017 to 26 March 2022.

Eligibility criteria

Guidelines covering CRT treatment, prevention, or management were included from 1 January 2017 to 26 March 2022.

Data extraction and synthesis

Three independent reviewers systematically trained in using the AGREE II and AGREE REX scales were selected to evaluate these guidelines.

Results

Nine guidelines were included, and the quality grade results showed that three were at A-level and six were at B-level. The included guidelines mainly recommended the prevention measure of central venous CRT from three aspects: risk screening, prevention strategies, and knowledge training, with a total of 22 suggestions being recommended.

Conclusion

The overall quality of the guidelines is high, but there are few preventive measures for central venous CRT involved in the guidelines. All preventive measures have yet to be systematically integrated and evaluated, and no risk assessment scale dedicated to this field has been recommended. Therefore, developing an evidence-based practice protocol and a risk assessment scale to prevent it is urgent.

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