MALDI-TOF MS for malaria vector surveillance: A cost-comparison analysis using a decision-tree approach

by Jonathan Karisa, Cassidy Rist, Mercy Tuwei, Kelly Ominde, Brian Bartilol, Zedekiah Ondieki, Haron Musani, Caroline Wanjiku, Joseph Mwangangi, Charles Mbogo, Martin Rono, Philip Bejon, Marta Maia

The use of MALDI-TOF MS for mosquito identification and surveillance is routinely used in developed countries as an affordable alternative to molecular methods. However, in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) where mosquito-borne diseases carry the greatest burden, the method is not commonly employed. Using the Kenyan national malaria program (NMCP) as a case study, we compared the costs of current methods used for malaria vector surveillance to those that would be incurred if MALDI-TOF MS were used instead.

A deterministic decision tree analytic model was developed to systematically calculate the costs associated with materials and labour, and time-to-results for two workflows, i.e., current molecular methods versus MALDI-TOF MS. The analysis assumed an annual sample size of 15,000 mosquitoes (representing the average number of mosquitoes analysed annually by the Kenyan NMCP) processed at a local laboratory in Kenya.

We estimate that if the Kenyan national entomological surveillance program shifted sample processing completely to MALDI-TOF MS, it would result in 74.48% net time saving, up to 84% on material costs and 77% on labour costs, resulting in an overall direct cost savings of 83%.

Adoption of MALDI-TOF MS for malaria vector surveillance can result in substantial time and cost savings. The ease of performance, the rapid turn-around time, and the modest cost per sample may bring a paradigm shift in routine entomological surveillance in Africa.