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Predictors of sickness absence and intention to leave the profession among NHS staff in England during the COVID-19 pandemic: a prospective cohort study

Por: Scott · L. J. · Lamb · D. · Penfold · C. · Redaniel · M. T. · Trompeter · N. · Moran · P. · Bhundia · R. · Greenberg · N. · Raine · R. · Wessely · S. · Madan · I. · Aitken · P. · Rafferty · A. M. · Dorrington · S. · Morriss · R. · Murphy · D. · Stevelink · S. A. M.
Objectives

This study aims to determine key workforce variables (demographic, health and occupational) that predicted National Health Service (NHS) staff’s absence due to illness and expressed intention to leave their current profession.

Design, setting and participants

Staff from 18 NHS Trusts were surveyed between April 2020 and January 2021, and again approximately 12 months later.

Outcome measures

Logistic and linear regression were used to explore relationships between baseline exposures and four 12-month outcomes: absence due to COVID-19, absence due to non-COVID-19 illness, actively seeking employment outside current profession and regularly thinking about leaving current profession.

Results

22 555 participants (out of a possible 152 286 employees; 15%) completed the baseline questionnaire. 10 831 participants completed the short follow-up questionnaire at 12 months and 5868 also completed the long questionnaire; these participants were included in the analyses of sickness absence and intention to leave, respectively. 20% of participants took 5+ days of work absence for non-COVID-19 sickness in the 12 months between baseline and 12-month questionnaire; 14% took 5+ days of COVID-19-related sickness absence. At 12 months, 20% agreed or strongly agreed they were actively seeking employment outside their current profession; 24% thought about leaving their profession at least several times per week. Sickness absence (COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 related) and intention to leave the profession (actively seeking another role and thinking about leaving) were all more common among NHS staff who were younger, in a COVID-19 risk group, had a probable mental health disorder, and who did not feel supported by colleagues and managers.

Conclusions

Several factors affected both workforce retention and sickness absence. Of particular interest are the impact of colleague and manager support because they are modifiable. The NHS workforce is likely to benefit from training managers to speak with and support staff, especially those experiencing mental health difficulties. Further, staff should be given sufficient opportunities to form and foster social connections. Selection bias may have affected the presented results.

Short‐term incidence and risk factors of surgical site infection following trauma orthopaedic surgery in Northern Ghana

Abstract

Trauma and orthopaedic surgery (TOS) can result in surgical site infections (SSIs), and the repercussions include prolonged and increased cost of treatment. This study investigated the incidence and risk factors of SSI following TOS. A prospective cohort study was conducted at the Tamale Teaching Hospital from September 2023 to May 2024. Data on demographics, comorbidities, preoperative, intra-operative and postoperative parameters were collected from patients, medical records and the operation report. SSI was defined following the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention criteria. The incidence of SSI during the study period was determined, and univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the independent risk factors of SSI. A total of 210 patients were enrolled of which 6.7% (14) developed SSIs, including 1.0% (2) deep and 5.7% (12) superficial SSIs. The incidence of open fractures and closed fractures in this study was 3.3% (7) and 2.9% (6), respectively. According to multivariate regression analysis, blood transfusion before surgery (p = 0.034; OR = 3.53; 1.10–11.33) was identified as an independent risk factor of SSI following TOS. However, there was a significant association between the type of dressing used on the surgical site after surgery (p = 0.035; OR = 4.08; 1.10–15.08) and SSI. The study reported the overall incidence rate of SSI after TOS to be 6.7% (67 per 1000 surgical operations). Blood transfusion before surgery was an independent risk factor of SSI following TOS. Local and global measures that limit the rates of SSI after TOS should be adopted especially in managing high-risk patients such as those who require pre-operative blood transfusion.

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