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☐ ☆ ✇ BMJ Open

Development and validation of a postoperative risk calculator (POP-score) for patients undergoing cardiac surgery: a retrospective cohort study

Por: Pölzl · L. · Sutter · C. · Lohmann · R. · Eder · J. · Ioannou-Nikolaidou · M. · Engler · C. · Graber · M. · Naegele · F. · Hirsch · J. · Maier · S. · Ulmer · H. · Mathis · S. · Reinstadler · S. J. · Grimm · M. · Bonaros · N. · Holfeld · J. · Gollmann-Tepeköylü · C. — Diciembre 9th 2025 at 08:31
Objectives

This study aimed to identify intraoperative and perioperative factors influencing 30-day mortality after cardiac surgery and to develop a risk score (POP-score) for its prediction.

Design

Retrospective cohort study with multivariable regression analysis.

Setting

A tertiary care cardiac surgery centre in Austria; data from consecutive patients undergoing cardiac surgery between 2010 and 2020 were analysed.

Participants

A total of 8072 patients were included. The cohort was randomly divided into a derivation cohort (75%) and a validation cohort (25%).

Outcome measures

The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality. We analysed associations between intraoperative and perioperative variables and 30-day mortality, assessed via multivariable regression analysis.

Results

Several factors were significantly associated with 30-day mortality, including intraoperative RBC transfusion (OR 3.407 (95% CI 2.124–5.464)), postoperative high-sensitive cardiac troponin T cut-off levels (OR 2.856 (95% CI 1.958 to 4.165)), need for dialysis/haemofiltration (OR 2.958 (95% CI 2.013 to 4.348)) and temporary extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support (OR 5.218 (95% CI 3.329 to 8.179)) (p

Conclusions

The validated POP-score provides an improved tool for predicting 30-day mortality after cardiac surgery by incorporating intraoperative and perioperative factors alongside the EuroSCORE II. Although model performance was evaluated using 7-day peak troponin data, the score can be calculated within the first 72 hours postoperatively in most patients, supporting its clinical applicability for early decision-making, resource allocation and patient counselling. Further research is warranted to assess its clinical utility in diverse populations.

☐ ☆ ✇ BMJ Open

Evaluating health system expenditure across the rural-urban spectrum in New Zealand: a study protocol

Por: Liepins · T. · Atkinson · J. · Davie · G. · Leung · W. · Crengle · S. · Keenan · R. · Whitehead · J. · Stokes · T. · Nixon · G. — Noviembre 17th 2025 at 05:17
Introduction

Inequities in health status exist in New Zealand across the rural–urban spectrum. In parallel, rural–urban differences in health service utilisation vary by service type. Despite the New Zealand public health system being based on principles of universal access, equity and fairness, levels of health expenditure on rural and urban populations are not well understood. The purpose of the study is to undertake a rural–urban analysis of public health system expenditure, based on individual-level service utilisation and national pricing of health service events.

Methods and analysis

Individual-level service utilisation and pricing will be collated from national collection databases for all eligible users of publicly funded services. The analysis will include calendar years 2017–2024. Descriptive analysis and a two-part generalised linear regression model will be used to identify if rural–urban differences in expenditure exist, and what the association of rurality is with expenditure (if any). The model will also be used to identify geographic regions with expenditure levels that vary from those predicted using regression model weights. As the specific statistical approach will be determined by data attributes, this protocol outlines the intended approach to construct the analytical model.

Ethics and consultation

Ethics approval was obtained from the University of Otago Human Research Ethics Committee (HD23/052). Māori consultation has been undertaken with the Ngāi Tahu Research Consultation Committee and will continue throughout the research process.

☐ ☆ ✇ BMJ Open

Care accessibility and reasons for non-urgent emergency department visits in South Tyrol (Italy): protocol of the multicentre cross-sectional CARES study

Por: Ausserhofer · D. · Zaboli · A. · Mahlknecht · A. · Plagg · B. · Barbieri · V. · Marino · P. · Piccoliori · G. · Engl · A. · Wiedermann · C. J. — Octubre 3rd 2025 at 06:32
Introduction

Emergency departments (EDs) suffer from crowding due to patients with low urgency whose treatment is often inappropriate in many cases. Crowding in the ED may indicate inefficiencies in the primary care infrastructure. According to the literature, it is associated with individual and system-related factors, such as younger age, convenience of visiting the ED and a negative perception of care outside the hospital. However, patients’ motives driving decision-making for non-urgent visits to the ED in this post-pandemic period require further exploration. Therefore, this study aims to describe the proportion of potentially avoidable, non-urgent ED visits and to explore the associations between socio-demographic and clinical characteristics, patients’ motives, and potentially avoidable, non-urgent visits to the ED.

Methods and analysis

This multicentre cross-sectional study will be conducted in the ED of seven public hospitals in the South Tyrolean Health Service in the northern Italian Province of Bolzano-Bozen. A consecutive sample of 1000 adult patients (≥18 years) with clinical conditions that are triaged as ‘non-urgent’ (ie, Manchester Triage System priority level ‘blue’ or ‘green’) and consent to participate in the study will be included. Data will be collected in each ED over two full working weeks (24 hours, weekdays and weekends) between 1 September 2024 and 30 November 2024. For each patient, triage nurses and medical doctors will fill out a data collection sheet, including the triage code, diagnosis at discharge and avoidability of the ED visit. Patients will be surveyed using a structured questionnaire with standardised instruments (eg, the Patient Activation Measure and Mental Health Inventory) and self-developed items (eg, motives for ED visits and previous use of community care services). Data analysis will involve descriptive and inferential analyses (ie, 2 tests) to determine group differences. Multivariate multilevel modelling will be applied to explore the associations between individual, system and cultural factors and potentially avoidable, non-urgent visits.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval for this study was obtained from the Medical Ethics Committee of the South Tyrolean Health Service (Nr. 41-2024). The results will be published in relevant scientific journals and communicated to the public and relevant institutions through dissemination activities, including press releases and stakeholder meetings. The findings will inform recommendations aimed at refining health policies and optimising access to primary and emergency care services.

Registration details

ISRCTN registry (ISRCTN17355506).

☐ ☆ ✇ BMJ Open

Association of type 2 diabetes with reoperation, adverse events and mortality after hip and knee replacement: a Swedish register-based study including 109 938 hip and 80 897 knee replacements

Por: Vinblad · J. · Bülow · E. · Nyberg · F. · Eeg-Olofsson · K. · W-Dahl · A. · Limbäck · G. · Englund · M. · Abbott · A. · DellIsola · A. · Rolfson · O. — Septiembre 29th 2025 at 07:52
Objective

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and osteoarthritis (OA) are globally prevalent chronic diseases that affect millions of individuals in ageing populations. Hip and knee replacements are well established and effective treatments in patients suffering from end-stage OA. Understanding how T2DM influences the outcomes of these surgeries is important for optimising patient care and improving surgical results. This study aimed to explore the association of T2DM with reoperation (regardless of the reason), adverse events (AEs) and mortality after primary hip and knee replacement surgery.

Design

Observational study based on prospectively collected registry data analysed retrospectively.

Setting and participants

Data from several Swedish national quality registers and health data registers were used to create a study database. 109 938 and 80 897 primary hip and knee replacements due to OA, performed between 2008 and 2019 (hip) and 2009 and 2018 (knee), were included in the study.

Outcome measures

The risk of complications, such as reoperation, AEs and mortality, was investigated by estimating HRs using Cox regression, and OR using logistic regression, unadjusted and adjusted for confounding factors, such as patient characteristics, socioeconomic status and comorbidities, and mediators, such as surgical factors.

Results

Adjusted multivariable Cox-regression analysis showed no T2DM-associated risk of reoperation after hip or knee replacement, adjusted HR 1.10 (95% CI 0.99 to 1.23) and 1.09 (95% CI 0.96 to 1.24), respectively, while T2DM was associated with increased risk of death after hip and knee replacement, adjusted HR 1.40 (95% CI 1.34 to 1.47) and 1.38 (95% CI 1.31 to 1.45). Adjusted logistic regression analysis showed T2DM-associated increase of reoperation within 90 days (OR 1.23 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.43)) and increased mortality within 90 days (OR 1.42 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.95)) following hip replacement; however, this was not the case after knee replacement, OR 1.08 (95% CI 0.85 to 1.36) for reoperation and OR 1.29 (95% CI 0.84 to 1.94) for mortality. Several factors closely linked with T2DM, such as body-mass index and comorbidities, were identified as important when assessing risk of reoperation and mortality. Regarding AEs within 30 and 90 days, very slight but not statistically significant T2DM-associated increases were seen after either hip replacement, OR 1.01 (95% CI 0.91 to 1.11) and 1.07 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.16) or after knee replacement, OR 1.05 (95% CI 0.93 to 1.17) and 1.08 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.19).

Conclusion

The observed risk of reoperation suggests that T2DM alone was not a strong justification to advise against hip or knee replacement in individuals with T2DM deemed eligible for joint replacement. The T2DM-associated increased mortality after hip and knee replacement is challenging to interpret, as T2DM itself without undergoing hip or knee replacement surgery is associated with increased mortality.

☐ ☆ ✇ BMJ Open

Mannitol for cerebral oedema after acute intracerebral haemorrhage (MACE-ICH): protocol for a prospective, randomised, open-label, blinded-endpoint phase IIb trial

Por: Krishnan · K. · Grace · E. · Woodhouse · L. · Roffe · C. · Dawson · J. · England · T. J. · Hewson · D. W. · Dineen · R. A. · Law · Z. K. · Pszczolkowski · S. · Wells · K. · Buck · A. · Craig · J. · Havard · D. · Macleod · M. J. · Werring · D. J. · Doubal · F. · Sprigg · N. · Bath · P. — Julio 28th 2025 at 11:15
Background

Acute intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) is devastating with a 1 month mortality rate of ~40%. Cerebral oedema can complicate acute ICH and is associated with poor outcome. In patients with large ICH, the accompanying swelling increases mass effect and causes brain herniation. Mannitol, an osmotic diuretic, is used to treat cerebral oedema after traumatic brain injury, but its safety and efficacy in ICH is unclear. We aim to assess the feasibility of a phase II randomised, controlled trial of mannitol in patients with ICH with, or at risk of, cerebral oedema to inform a definitive trial.

Methods

The mannitol for cerebral oedema after acute intracerebral haemorrhage trial (MACE-ICH) aims to include 45 ICH participants from 10 UK sites with estimated largest diameter of haematoma volume >2 cm, presenting within 72 hours of onset with, or at risk of, cerebral oedema (limited Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)8) with or without mass effect. Participants will be randomised (1:1:1) to 1 g/kg 10% single-dose intravenous mannitol, 1 g/kg 10% mannitol followed by a second dose at 24 hours, or standard care alone. Outcome assessors will be masked to treatment allocation. Feasibility outcomes include proportion of patients approached being randomised, participants receiving allocated treatment, recruitment rate, treatment adherence and follow-up. Secondary outcomes include serum electrolytes and osmolality at days 1–2; change in ICH and oedema volume at day 5; number of participants who developed urinary tract infection, GCS and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale at day 5±2; length of hospital stay, discharge destination and death up to day 28; death and death or dependency by day 180 and disability (Barthel Index), quality of life (EuroQol, 5-D) and cognition (telephone mini-mental state examination) at day 180.

Ethics and dissemination

MACE-ICH received ethics approval from the East Midlands-Leicester Central research ethics committee (22/EM/0242). The trial is funded by a National Institute for Health and Care Research RfPB grant (203080). The results will be published in an academic journal and disseminated through academic conferences and patient support groups. Reporting will be in line with Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials recommendations.

Trial registration numbers

ISRCTN15383301; EUDRACT 2022-000283-22.

☐ ☆ ✇ BMJ Open

Gender disparities in COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in high-income countries: an umbrella review protocol

Por: Wiedermann · C. J. · Noviello · C. · Palmieri · C. · Stefanizzi · P. · Piccoliori · G. · Engl · A. · Tafuri · S. — Julio 4th 2025 at 04:45
Introduction

Vaccine hesitancy remains a critical public health challenge, especially in high-income countries. Gender differences in vaccine hesitancy can significantly affect vaccination rates and public health outcomes. The aim of this research is performing an umbrella review and meta-analysis to systematically investigate gender disparities in vaccine hesitancy for COVID-19 in high-income countries, as well as the quality, potential biases and dependability of epidemiological evidence.

Methods and analysis

The study will systematically search, extract and analyse data from reported systematic reviews and meta-analyses that focus specifically on gender differences in vaccine hesitancy. The search will include CINAHL, Cochrane Library, PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE and Epistemonikos for studies published from 2019 onward. The inclusion criteria will encompass systematic reviews and meta-analyses of non-interventional studies conducted in high-income countries. The identified factors contributing to vaccine hesitancy will be categorised based on demographic, psychological, social and economic dimensions. The methodological quality of the included meta-analyses will be assessed using the "Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist for Systematic Reviews and Research Syntheses" tool.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval is not required for this umbrella review. These results will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD42024572978.

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