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Machine learning decision support model for discharge planning in stroke patients

Abstract

Background/aim

Efficient discharge for stroke patients is crucial but challenging. The study aimed to develop early predictive models to explore which patient characteristics and variables significantly influence the discharge planning of patients, based on the data available within 24 h of admission.

Design

Prospective observational study.

Methods

A prospective cohort was conducted at a university hospital with 523 patients hospitalised for stroke. We built and trained six different machine learning (ML) models, followed by testing and tuning those models to find the best-suited predictor for discharge disposition, dichotomized into home and non-home. To evaluate the accuracy, reliability and interpretability of the best-performing models, we identified and analysed the features that had the greatest impact on the predictions.

Results

In total, 523 patients met the inclusion criteria, with a mean age of 61 years. Of the patients with stroke, 30.01% had non-home discharge. Our model predicting non-home discharge achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.95 and a precision of 0.776. After threshold was moved, the model had a recall of 0.809. Top 10 variables by importance were National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, family income, Barthel index (BI) score, FRAIL score, fall risk, pressure injury risk, feeding method, depression, age and dysphagia.

Conclusion

The ML model identified higher NIHSS, BI, and FRAIL, family income, higher fall risk, pressure injury risk, older age, tube feeding, depression and dysphagia as the top 10 strongest risk predictors in identifying patients who required non-home discharge to higher levels of care. Modern ML techniques can support timely and appropriate clinical decision-making.

Relevance to Clinical Practice

This study illustrates the characteristics and risk factors of non-home discharge in patients with stroke, potentially contributing to the improvement of the discharge process.

Reporting Method

STROBE guidelines.

Risk and protective factors associated with wound infection after neurosurgical procedures: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

To systematically evaluate the risk factors for wound infection at the surgical site after neurosurgical craniotomy by meta-analysis, and to provide an evidence-based basis for preventing the occurrence of wound infection. A computerised search of PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Wanfang database was conducted for relevant studies on risk factors for surgical site wound infection after neurosurgical craniotomy published from the database inception to November 2023. Two researchers independently screened the literature, extracted the data and performed quality assessment in strict accordance with the inclusion and exclusion criteria. STATA 17.0 software was applied for data analysis. Overall, 18 papers with 17 608 craniotomy patients were included, of which 905 patients developed wound infections. The analysis showed that underlying diseases [OR = 2.50, 95% CI (1.68, 3.72), p < 0.001] and emergency surgery [OR = 2.47, 95% CI (1.80, 3.38), p < 0.001] were the risk factors for developing wound infections after craniotomy, age < 60 years [OR = 0.72, 95% CI (0.52, 0.98), p = 0.039] was a protective factor for wound infections; whereas sex [OR = 1.11, 95% CI (0.98, 1.27), p = 0.112] and the antimicrobial use [OR = 1.30, 95% CI (0.81 2.09), p = 0.276] were not associated with the presence or absence of wound infection after craniotomy. Underlying disease and emergency surgery are risk factors for developing wound infections after craniotomy, whereas age < 60 years is a protective factor. Clinicians can reduce the occurrence of postoperative wound infections by communicating with patients in advance about the possibility of postoperative wound infections based on these factors, and by doing a good job of preventing postoperative wound infections.

Vitamin D and wound healing: Assessing skin barrier function and implications for chloasma treatment

Abstract

Chloasma, which is distinguished by irregularities in the pigmentation of skin, poses substantial challenge in the field of dermatology. The regulatory influence of vitamin D on the functions of skin cells implies that it may have the capacity to effectively treat chloasma and promote wound healing. To assess the efficacy of vitamin D in chloasma treatment and its impact on the function of skin barrier during the process of wound healing. The research spanned from April 2022 to September 2023, in Shanghai, China, examined 480 individuals who had been diagnosed with chloasma. A double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial was utilized to evaluate effectiveness of topical vitamin D3 in treatment of chloasma. Concurrently, randomized control trial investigated the effects of ingested vitamin D3 supplements on the process of wound healing. Transepidermal water loss (TEWL), chloasma severity score changes, wound size reduction and skin hydration levels were critical performance indicators. Statistically, the severity scores of chloasma decreased significantly in the vitamin D treatment group at 3 and 6 months compared with the placebo (p < 0.05). The Vitamin D group exhibited superior wound healing outcomes, including more substantial reduction in lesion size and enhanced skin barrier function, as evidenced by increased skin hydration and decreased TEWL (p < 0.05). Vitamin D substantially mitigated the severity of chloasma and has beneficial effect on wound healing and integrity of the skin barrier. Based on the results obtained, vitamin D exhibited promise as a therapeutic intervention in the field of dermatology, specifically in treatment of chloasma and promotion of wound recovery.

Effect of tumour necrosis factor‐a inhibitors exposure on surgical site infections in rheumatoid arthritis patients undergoing elective orthopaedic surgery: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

A meta-analysis investigation was executed to evaluate the effect of tumour necrosis factor-a inhibitor exposure on surgical site infections in rheumatoid arthritis patients undergoing elective orthopaedic surgery. A comprehensive literature investigation till October 2023 was applied, and 82 470 individuals with orthopaedic surgery were in the chosen investigations' starting point. Odds ratio (OR) in addition to 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was utilized to compute the value of the effect of tumour necrosis factor-a inhibitors exposure on surgical site infections in rheumatoid arthritis patients undergoing elective orthopaedic surgery by the dichotomous approaches and a fixed or random model. Tumour necrosis factor uses had significantly higher surgical site infections (OR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.21–2.25, p = 0.001) compared with tumour necrosis factor non-use in rheumatoid arthritis patients undergoing elective orthopaedic surgery. However, no significant difference was found between discontinued and continued tumour necrosis factor on surgical site infections (OR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.35–1.05, p = 0.07) in rheumatoid arthritis patients undergoing elective orthopaedic surgery.Significantly higher surgical site infections was found comparing tumour necrosis factor uses to non-use; however, no significant difference was found between discontinued and continued tumour necrosis factor on surgical site infections in rheumatoid arthritis patients undergoing elective orthopaedic surgery. However, care must be exercised when dealing with its values because of the low sample size of some of the nominated investigations for the meta-analysis.

A meta‐analysis of the effect of laparoscopic gastric resection on the surgical site wound infection in patients with advanced gastric cancer

Abstract

By conducting a meta-analysis of relevant clinical studies on the treatment of advanced gastric cancer (GC) using laparoscopic and open surgeries, we aimed to evaluate the impact of these two surgical approaches on postoperative surgical site infections (SSIs) in patients with advanced GC. We aimed to provide evidence-based support for preventing SSIs in postoperative patients with advanced GC. From database establishment until May 2023, we systematically searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang Data databases for relevant studies comparing laparoscopic and open surgeries for the treatment of advanced GC. Two researchers independently performed the literature screening and data extraction based on predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. The meta-analysis was conducted using STATA 17.0. Twenty articles involving 3084 patients met the inclusion criteria, including 1462 patients in the laparoscopic group and 1622 cases in the open surgery group. The meta-analysis results revealed that the incidence of postoperative SSIs was significantly lower in the laparoscopic group than in the open surgery group (odds ratio = 0.341, 95% confidence interval: 0.219–0.532, p < 0.001). The current evidence indicates that laparoscopic radical gastrectomy can significantly reduce the incidence of postoperative site infections in patients with advanced GC.

Impact of wound complications in obese versus non‐obese patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

This meta-analysis examined the post-operative wound effect of both obese and non-obese in total hip arthroplasty (THA) patients. To gather as complete an overview as possible, the researchers took advantage of 4 databases—PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science—to conduct a critical assessment. Following the development of inclusion and exclusion criteria, the researchers evaluated the quality of each document. A total of 9 related trials were conducted to determine the 95% CI (CI) and OR using a fixed-effect model. The final meta-analyses were conducted with RevMan 5.3. Our findings indicate that there is no statistically significant benefit in terms of post-operative wound complications among obese and non-obese patients. Obese subjects had a significantly higher risk of injury than those without obesity (OR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.04, 1.95, p = 0.03); obesity was also associated with a significantly higher risk of operative site infection than in non-obese subjects (OR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.76, 2.18, p < 0.0001); and after surgery, there was also a significant increase in the risk of post-operative wound infections among obese subjects than in non-obese subjects (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.34, 1.84, p < 0.0001). However, due to the small size of the cohort study in this meta-study, caution is required in the analysis. More randomized, controlled studies will be needed to validate these results.

Lifestyle behaviours and associated factors among people with type 2 diabetes attending a diabetes clinic in Ningbo, China: A cross-sectional study

by Naomi Carter, Jialin Li, Miao Xu, Li Li, Shengnan Xu, Xuelan Fan, Shuyan Zhu, Prit Chahal, Kaushik Chattopadhyay

The burden of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) in China is significant and growing, and this is reflected in high rates of T2DM in the city of Ningbo, China. Consequent impacts on morbidity, mortality, healthcare expenditure, and health-related quality of life, make this a problem of the utmost importance to address. One way to improve T2DM outcomes is to address lifestyle behaviours that may affect prognosis and complications, such as physical activity levels, dietary habits, smoking status, and alcohol intake. A cross-sectional survey was undertaken to describe the prevalence of being physically active, having a healthy diet, currently smoking, and currently drinking alcohol among people living with T2DM attending a diabetes clinic in Ningbo, China. Regression analysis was used to determine the factors associated with these lifestyle behaviours. We found a high prevalence of a healthy diet (97.8%, 95% CI 96.5–98.7%). Prevalence of being physically active (83.4%, 95% CI 80.6–85.9%), smoking (21.6%, 95% CI 18.8–24.6%), and alcohol drinking (32.9%. 95% CI 29.6–36.2%) appeared in keeping with those of the general population. Marked associations were demonstrated between male sex and smoking (OR 41.1, 95% CI 16.2–139.0), and male sex and alcohol drinking (OR 4.00, 95% CI 2.62–6.20). Correlation between lifestyle factors was demonstrated including between alcohol drinking and smoking, and between physical activity and reduced smoking. General diabetes self-management education programmes that address multiple lifestyle risk factors simultaneously may be beneficial in this population. Specific interventions targeting smoking cessation and reduction in alcohol drinking may be of benefit to men living with T2DM attending a diabetes clinic in Ningbo.

Fear of recurrence in postoperative lung cancer patients: Trajectories, influencing factors and impacts on quality of life

Abstract

Aims

To investigate the trajectory, influencing factors and dynamic relationships between fear of cancer recurrence (FCR) and quality of life (QOL) in lung cancer patients.

Design

Prospective longitudinal study.

Methods

Longitudinal data from 310 lung cancer patients across three hospitals in China were assessed at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months postoperatively (T1–T4). Descriptive statistics characterised patient demographics, clinical characteristics, levels of FCR and QOL. A linear mixed-effects model was employed to analyse FCR trajectories, identify influencing factors on these trajectories, and predict the impact of FCR on QOL.

Results

FCR changed significantly over time, with a slight decrease during T1–T2, an increase at T3 and gradual decline at T4. Higher fear levels were associated with female sex, suburban or rural residency, being a family breadwinner, presence of comorbidities and negative coping behaviours, and low family resilience. QOL negatively correlated with FCR, and FCR predicted lower QOL.

Conclusions

At 3 and 6 months postoperatively, lung cancer patients, especially women, suburban or rural residents, family breadwinners, those with comorbidities, negative coping behaviours and low family resilience, reported high levels of FCR. Healthcare providers should pay special attention to lung cancer patients especially during the period of 3–6 months post-surgery and offer tailored interventions to improve their QOL.

Implications for the Profession and Patient Care

Understanding the FCR trajectories, its influencing factors and its negative impacts on QOL can guide the development of targeted interventions to reduce fear and enhance well-being in patients with cancer.

Impact

Identifying the trajectories and influencing factors of fear of lung cancer recurrence in patients at different time points informs future research on targeted interventions to improve QOL.

Reporting Method

The study adhered to the guidelines outlined in the Statement on Reporting Observational Longitudinal Research.

Effect of robotic versus laparoscopic surgery on postoperative wound infection in patients with cervical cancer: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

The objective of this research is to evaluate the risk of postoperative infection and other risks associated with robotic radical hysterectomy (RRH) compared with laparoscopic radical hysterectomy (LRH). Recent studies on RRH versus LRH have not been conclusive for cervical carcinoma. Our group attempted to use meta-analyses to evaluate the effects of both RRH and LRH on postoperative outcomes in order to make sure that the best operative method was used to prevent wound infections. We looked up Cochrane Library and published databases for this research and found 594 findings. Articles were screened by title and abstract and then carefully examined for inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data extraction was performed independently by two researchers. Comparison studies were used to describe the incidence of wound complications after surgery. The publication bias was assessed using Egger regression correlation analysis. There were six trials eligible for inclusion, of which 491 RRH and 807 LRH. Depending on surgery for cervical carcinoma, it is true that there is a difference in the way that surgery affects the postoperative complications. Our analysis demonstrated that the use of robotic operation can decrease the amount of blood loss during operation as compared with routine laparoscopy (MD, −77.69; 95% CI, −132.08, −23.30; p = 0.005). However, there were no statistical differences in the incidence of postoperative wound infections (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.25, 1.19; p = 0.13) and intraoperative operative time (MD, 13.01; 95% CI, −41.38, 67.41; p = 0.64) among the two procedures. There was no statistically significant difference between these two groups of patients with severe postoperative complications. Unlike other research, the findings of this meta-analysis are not consistent with the findings of the present study, which suggest that robotic operations cannot lower the rate of postoperative wound infections. However, because of the limitations and the retrospective character of the trials covered, these findings should be interpreted with care and more extensive research is required.

Effect of fast‐track surgery on postoperative wound pain in patients with prostate cancer: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

Fast track surgery (FTS) is widely used in many procedures and has been shown to reduce complications and accelerate recovery. However, no studies have been conducted to assess their effectiveness in treating wounds after radical prostatectomy (RP). The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of FTS on RP. We went through 4 major databases. A study was conducted by PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Embase, and the Web of Science to determine the effect of comparison of FTS versus conventional surgery in RP on postoperative wound complications as of 1 July 2023. Based on the review of literature, data extraction and literature quality assessment, we conducted meta-analyses with RevMan 5.3. In the course of the study, the researchers selected 6 of the 404 studies to be analysed according to exclusion criteria. Data analysis showed that the FTS method reduced the postoperative pain associated with VAS and also decreased the rate of postoperative complications in post-surgical patients. However, there was no significant difference between FTS and conventional surgery in terms of blood loss, operation time, and postoperative infection rate. Therefore, generally speaking, FTS has less impact on postoperative complications in patients with minimal invasive prostatic cancer, but it does reduce postoperative pain and total postoperative complications.

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